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Re: KMBJN post# 95820

Friday, 08/01/2014 12:59:18 AM

Friday, August 01, 2014 12:59:18 AM

Post# of 146189
You're right about news cycles. Story, here today and gone tomorrow.

Ebola has got attention in the current news cycle, and has afforded me the opportunity to read up on it.

You are not the only one who has made nonchalant comments about Ebola. Even the research, doctor who initially discovered it seems to think it is a low threat (for a global pandemic). Many doctors are saying that conditions are different in Africa, and that an outbreak in a developed Western country is unlikely.

It all makes my head hurt when I try and keep things in context, and when I think back on other diseases.

I harken back to aids a lot. Maybe it's my age, but I remember the early decade(S) of aids. Most didn't think it was much of a threat either. It too, had been known of for a decade (or more), before it became a real medical concern.

Even after the first global outbreak, most thought it would just flame out. While being a sexually transmitted disease, it was also thought to be only contracted through blood to blood contact. Many thought it would remain a problem only in a small subset of a small subset of the population. Many thought it was not transmittable heterosexually, or through most pathways. Course, who knows, maybe aids mutated and became more virulent. Viruses do that. In the early decade of aids, resources were scarce. If it hadn't become as much a political issue as a medical issue; maybe, it would have taken even longer before things really started to happen.

I'm not sure we have any fundamental disagreements. With limited resources; ebola, deserves less in resources than many other diseases. But, I will be taking this one seriously. Especially this time, since 3 countries have major issues, other countries have minor issues, protected medical workers are coming down with it, the WHO and others are having problems containing it, etc.

Then I remember the early days of aids.

Then I think, if aids had been dealt with earlier on; maybe, it never would have gotten to be such a worldwide menace. Ebola too. If there were a successful treatment today, there would likely never be a significant outbreak. Why? Because, it would never have the chance to propagate. There would be less likelihood for mutation, and the medical field would have an earlier lead on dealing with it, and dealing with any changes.

So, it's a minor problem for 99.99% of the world's population. There was a time, when aids was a minor problem too.
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