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Re: kris_kade post# 353

Monday, 04/07/2014 3:23:17 PM

Monday, April 07, 2014 3:23:17 PM

Post# of 2933
Re: Data for cirrhotic patients

Please correct me if I am wrong but I believe your model does not particularly ascribe this differentiation for valuation purposes.

Correct; in the ENTA valuation model in #msg-94993406, I didn’t explicitly account for the cirrhotic subgroup, but rather assumed that GILD’s and ABBV/ENTA’s data for cirrhotic patients would be roughly comparable. Hence, if GILD’s cirrhotic data released this week at EASL are notably worse than the data from ABBV/ENTA’s TURQUOISE-2 study (#msg-96696670), this could provide a lift for ENTA.

The corolloary is also true, although it’s difficult to imagine that GILD’s cirrhotic data could be notably better then the data in TURQUOISE-2.

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