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Moderator: Tom Veale Assistants: PDAH Boardmarks: 54
Created: 2/26/2002 6:07:10 PM Board type: Free
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Perverse Investment Candidates(PIC)
list began January 1st of 2001.
 
YEAR AIM/PIC Gain/Loss R.O.C.A.R.* SPY Index
2001 +14.8% +19.9% - 9.2%
2002 -15.8% -20.2% -23.0%
2003 +40.5% +57.7% +26.4%
2004 + 8.5% +16.47% + 8.6%
2005 + nil + nil + 3.0%
2006 + 9.2% +12.8% +13.8%
2007 YTD + 3.0% + 4.5% + 8.4%
*ROCAR = Return On Average Capital At Risk


How would you like to choose investments that had
"annual growth rate of sales, cash flow, earnings,
dividends and book value that together have averaged 13% or
more over the last 10 years and be expected to average at
least 13% in the coming 3-5 years."
?

This list is derived from Value Line's "Highest Growth
Stocks" list (page 39). It's my feeling that these
stocks would make great possibilities for investing using
simple timing strategy of buying when they're Timeliness
#5 and selling when they get to Timeliness #1.
Many of these stocks also have exhibited other traits that
would make them good AIM Management candidates. Here's how
AIM has managed these stocks since they came to the list:

http://www.aim-users.com/pic.htm

(More info on AIM:
http://www.siliconinvestor.com/stocktalk/msg.gsp?msgid=15592776 )

How important is it that we wait until the "Highest Growth Stocks" reach a "Timeliness" of #5? Look at the graphic below. As you can see, all the time CSCO was part of the 1999 and 2000 BUBBLE, it was rated HIGHER than #5. In October of 2000 with the
price down nearly 38% it was still ranked #2 in Timeliness. It
was ONLY AFTER the stock had lost about 75% of its SHARE Price
that Value Line decided that it was
"#5, Lowest Timeliness For The Next Twelve Months."



Now look below at CSCO's history since joining my PIC list. Please note that it's performed adequately in a terrible market and that AIM has done a reasonably good job of maintaining value and limiting risk.



(Disclaimer - Some of the stocks shown are
owned by me in my personal account.)

Always study any company carefully before
actually investing.

Best regards,
Tom
PostSubject< Older
#476   Here's one more I almost forgot: Tom Veale 10/31/2007 3:39:09 PM
#475   Here are some recent PIC stocks: Tom Veale 10/31/2007 3:26:08 PM
#474   Final Report on Keane............... Tom Veale 6/6/2007 4:06:11 PM
#473   Final Report on SWFT.................. Tom Veale 5/14/2007 12:12:19 PM
#472   Commerce Bancorp (CBH) joins the PIC List as Tom Veale 4/16/2007 3:05:41 PM
#471   Hi AH, Yea, whada shame! I'll have to Tom Veale 4/6/2007 1:04:08 PM
#470   "URBN NYT and TIF all reached a point aim hier 4/6/2007 10:17:37 AM
#469   We've closed out four PIC List positions since Tom Veale 4/2/2007 1:27:08 PM
#468   PIC Stock URBN tripped a Sell order today: Tom Veale 12/4/2006 4:19:05 PM
#467   Forbes, Page 90, of the March 28th, 2005 Tom Veale 11/8/2006 11:11:59 AM
#466   www.aim-users.com/wtslap.gif Tom Veale 11/7/2006 4:05:23 PM
#465   www.aim-users.com/wmsp.gif Tom Veale 11/7/2006 4:05:05 PM
#464   www.aim-users.com/vodp.gif Tom Veale 11/7/2006 4:04:52 PM
#463   www.aim-users.com/sunwp.gif Tom Veale 11/7/2006 4:04:37 PM
#462   www.aim-users.com/rylp.gif Tom Veale 11/7/2006 4:04:21 PM
#461   www.aim-users.com/ppcp.gif Tom Veale 11/7/2006 4:04:05 PM
#460   www.aim-users.com/mntp.gif Tom Veale 11/7/2006 4:03:43 PM
#459   www.aim-users.com/kssp.gif Tom Veale 11/7/2006 4:03:23 PM
#458   www.aim-users.com/chuxp.gif Tom Veale 11/7/2006 4:03:07 PM
#457   www.aim-users.com/cdnp.gif Tom Veale 11/7/2006 4:02:34 PM
#456   Final Reports are now given for APCC, CDNS, Tom Veale 11/7/2006 4:02:12 PM
#455   In reviewing Value Line's current projections for the Tom Veale 11/1/2006 1:51:53 PM
#454   Ross Stores................... Tom Veale 10/31/2006 4:16:11 PM
#453   Manitowoc Company.................. Tom Veale 10/31/2006 4:15:29 PM
#452   Kohl's Department Store....................... Tom Veale 10/31/2006 4:14:25 PM
#451   Helen Of Troy.................... Tom Veale 10/31/2006 4:13:33 PM
#450   Cognos.................. Tom Veale 10/31/2006 4:12:47 PM
#449   O'Charley's................. Tom Veale 10/31/2006 4:11:51 PM
#448   Chico's FAS............. Tom Veale 10/31/2006 4:11:03 PM
#447   Cognex Corp............... Tom Veale 10/31/2006 4:09:45 PM
#446   Hi MM, This first one will be near Tom Veale 10/31/2006 1:39:29 PM
#445   Hey MM, I'll freshen the graphs for all Tom Veale 10/31/2006 1:05:47 PM
#444   Hey Tom re: "The first week of October..." minstrlman 10/31/2006 10:55:54 AM
#443   The first week of October has proved to Tom Veale 10/10/2006 5:27:05 PM
#442   Another new PIC stock this week. CHS, Chico's, Tom Veale 9/13/2006 12:02:53 AM
#441   Four PIC List stocks triggered AIM designated buys Tom Veale 8/28/2006 3:43:40 PM
#440   Jabil Circuits (JBL) joins the PIC List of Tom Veale 8/28/2006 12:47:57 PM
#439   Hi Tom, DonCarlson 8/23/2006 4:14:18 PM
#438   Hi Don, Just for fun I looked at Tom Veale 8/23/2006 4:10:56 PM
#437   Hi Don, Okay that helps quite a bit. Tom Veale 8/22/2006 2:59:09 PM
#436   Hi Tom, the fair value has no DonCarlson 8/22/2006 2:33:24 PM
#435   Hi Don, So only 9% of the 100 Tom Veale 8/22/2006 8:23:02 AM
#434   Hi Tom, DonCarlson 8/21/2006 6:27:17 PM
#433   Hi Don, Here's their current 100 highest growth Tom Veale 8/21/2006 12:48:36 PM
#432   Hi Don, Re: Pic List Review.................. Tom Veale 8/21/2006 12:15:45 PM
#431   Hi Tom,...additional views of the Pic List DonCarlson 8/20/2006 1:11:12 PM
#430   Doing a bit of PIC List maintenance. I Tom Veale 7/28/2006 2:48:48 PM
#429   Here's an interesting view of the various PIC Tom Veale 7/28/2006 2:17:53 PM
#428   This week's prices tripped a lot of buying Tom Veale 7/19/2006 3:00:47 PM
#427   PIC List Alert!.................................. Tom Veale 6/10/2006 10:31:56 AM
PostSubject< Older