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Last Post: 8/25/2016 11:15:14 AM - Followers: 46 - Board type: Free - Posts Today: 0

Sprott Physical Silver Trust 

The Sprott Physical Silver Trust provides a secure, convenient and exchange-traded investment alternative for investors seeking exposure to physical silver bullion without the inconvenience associated with direct investment.

Click Here for Comprehensive Fund Details


Reasons To Own Silver

1. With gold rapidly re-establishing itself in its true historic role as money, silver is once again coming to the fore as "poor man's gold"

As investment demand for gold inexorably rises due to the relentless debasement of all fiat paper currency, its price will rise to levels that will make it the private preserve of central bankers, sovereign wealth funds, large institutions and wealthy individuals. As a result of this phenomenon, the general public will increasingly switch its focus to silver as a refuge from paper money excesses and the impact on the silver price will be dramatic.

2. Unlike gold, silver has many industrial and medical applications which absorb a significant proportion of both new mine supply and recovered scrap

Investors seeking to position themselves in physical silver will be in direct competition with the traditional consumers and this development alone will have a salutary impact on silver prices.

3. Silver is a remarkably small market to begin with and a heavy inflow of new capital into the sector will consequently have an outsized impact on price

Silver's overall market size is miniscule with annual total supply from all sources estimated to be little more than one billion ounces. When compared to the gold market, which is small in its own right, annual availability of silver from all sources has a dollar value of roughly 15% of that of gold. In addition, some 70% of silver supply goes to its traditional demand sources (industrial, medical, jewelry) while the vast proportion of gold is available for investment demand.

4. The inventories of above-ground silver have shrunk alarmingly over the past fifty years

Above-ground silver inventories were estimated to be as high as ten billion ounces at the end of the 1950's with the vast proportion being held in the U.S and China. In the succeeding fifty years, nearly 90% of this stockpile has disappeared, attesting to silver's chronic supply-demand imbalance. To put it in context, the roughly one billion ounces in inventory today is worth some U.S $35 billion,
a figure which represents little more than one week of U.S federal debt issuance, a significant proportion of which is being monetized by the Federal Reserve.

5. Silver's industrial and medical applications are growing rapidly

Complicating investor's desires to own more silver is the rapid growth in silver's non-investment sources of demand. Silver may be the most versatile of all metals
and among its many attributes are:

a. It is one of the best conductors of electricity.

b. It is the second best reflector of light behind rhodium, but at a fraction of the cost.

c. It is a biocide and has proven very effective in killing germs.

Thus, not surprisingly, its demand is exploding in such diverse fields as modern electronics, solar panels and numerous medical applications. In many of its varied uses, it is difficult to find a cost-effective substitute and because its usage in many instances constitutes a small proportion
of the total cost of the product, its demand is relatively price inelastic.

It is interesting to note that photographic demand used to constitute nearly 33% of non-investment demand but that has virtually disappeared due to the wide adoption of digital photography and has been easily replaced by the new applications. In addition, there was a high recycling aspect to the photographic use which is largely absent in today's dynamic new uses.

6. Increased mine supply will not be a solution to accommodate rising demand

A very significant proportion of mine supply is a by-product of base metal production as there are remarkably few pure silver mines in the world. Given the world's precarious economic and financial situation, there is a high probability of economic dislocation which would severely cripple base metal demand and may lead to mine closures. That would have a significant impact on silver supply. In addition, Peru and Mexico are the world's leading silver producers, accounting for over one-third of world production and geopolitical conditions are deteriorating alarmingly in both countries, most particularly Peru.

7. There has been a significant change in the large and important Chinese market

For many years, China was known to have large above-ground inventories in conjunction with considerable mine production (by a large margin, it is the world's third largest producer behind Mexico and Peru). Accordingly, it was a substantial exporter of silver and was instrumental in contributing to the uneconomically low silver prices in past years. However, recently, their exports have slowed to a trickle and Chinese investment demand for silver has accelerated to such an extent that China has actually imported silver. Given the country's vast population, its growing wealth and its well-advertised dissatisfaction with the status of the U.S. dollar of which it is the major holder, Chinese interest in silver can't be underestimated.

8. India, the world's second most populous country, has also sharply increased its silver imports in recent years

The increase in Indian imports is not terribly surprising, given the country's predilection for precious metals and its growing wealth. However, unlike China which is a significant producer, India has to import most of its requirements and the impact of this on the small silver market is considerable.

9. The silver price has been subjected to considerable manipulation through the years on Comex and other paper-based exchanges

The silver price has been subjected to a well-documented price suppression scheme for at least fifteen years. By virtue of massive paper shorting by a group of powerful bullion banks, the tiny silver market has been abused and the price rise to date, although substantial, has not come close to reflecting the virtual disappearance of above-ground inventory, the dramatic tightening in the supply-demand equation and the increasing difficulty in acquiring physical silver.
One major bullion bank J.P. Morgan Chase has been identified as a major miscreant in a number of recently filed class action lawsuits. The current outstanding paper short position on the Comex alone vastly exceeds the physical silver available on that exchange. In addition, silver's total short position in relation to the amount of annual production is so far out of line with that of other commodities, including gold, that it can only be termed ridiculous.

10. There has been a proliferation of paper silver products that soak up investor demand but do not have the physical silver backing that is alleged

There have been a number of paper silver products issued in recent years, many
of which are sponsored by the very same bullion banks accused of malfeasance in the paper silver market. A close examination of the prospectuses indicates that there is considerable leeway with respect to the actual silver backing and that the price can thus be replicated by derivatives and other paper machinations. As the public becomes more aware of this and their financial vulnerability in such vehicles, they will redirect their money away from such products into physical silver or items such as Sprott Physical Silver Trust, which is backed by documented, fully-allocated silver.

Given the extreme tightness of the physical silver market, this will have a considerable impact on price.

11. The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has been conducting an investigation into alleged silver price irregularities for the past four years

Despite copious evidence of extensive silver price manipulation provided by numerous credible sources, the CFTC has failed to conclude its inquiry, essentially confirming that there has been considerable chicanery in the market. This obvious conclusion was backed by a remarkable statement by one of the CFTC commissioners Bart Chilton over two year ago. Chilton succinctly stated "Silver markets have been subjected to repeated attempts to influence prices. There has been fraudulent efforts to persuade and obviously control that price. Any such violation of the law in this regard should be prosecuted." This statement is not surprising given the explosive information introduced at a March 2010 CFTC hearing by Andrew Maguire, a veteran silver trader. Maquire provided chapter and verse on the whole sordid scheme, including a precise prediction that unfolded exactly as advertised. However, whatever the outcome of this inquiry, it is unlikely to be anything other than constructive for future silver prices.

12. The gold-silver ratio has varied widely through the years but has declined in the past to the range of 10 or 15 to 1 in extended precious metals bull markets

The ratio of the gold price to the silver price, which is currently in the neighborhood of 50:1 and has been dramatically higher when silver was in its extended bear market in the 80's and 90's, often declines precipitously in extended precious metals bull markets to as low as 10 or 15:1. Given that we are currently in a powerful bull market with many years to run and in view of the aforementioned compelling reasons to own silver, a ratio in that range certainly seems attainable before this bull breathes its last. It is worth noting that the ratio of 15:1 correlates very closely with the ratio of gold to silver thought to exist in the earth's crust.

Conclusion

With the ongoing debasement of all fiat paper currency essentially assured by the magnitude of the debt problems overwhelming the entire world, the prices of gold and silver can only rise in these currencies in the future. In that event, a decline in the gold-silver price ratio to the low end of the historical range promises future percentage price gains in silver that may exceed those already achieved off the lows of the late 90's. If that comes to pass, silver will qualify
as one of the great investments in financial history.

Sprott Asset Management provides investors with a number of investment solutions that provide exposure to silver and silver stocks. For more information about these funds and investing in precious metals please visit:

Sources:

The Silver Institute:
http://www.silverinstitute.org/site/

CPM Group:
http://www.cpmgroup.com/main.php

U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission:
http://www.cftc.gov/index.htm

Bloomberg:
http://www.bloomberg.com/

Reuters:
http://ca.reuters.com/

GFMS; Gold Silver PGMS Research & Consultancy:
http://www.gfms.co.uk/


Daily Chart Action

 

Weekly Chart Action

 

Monthly Annotated $Silver w/$USD Chart






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#640   What The Next Gold Confiscation Will Look Like Pro-Life 08/25/16 11:15:14 AM
#639   The Greatest Lie Ever Told Pro-Life 07/21/16 10:26:04 PM
#638   Gold And Silver Smell Central Bank Blood Pro-Life 07/19/16 05:55:48 AM
#637   $SILVER w/a MONSTER move... +$1.23 today. Pro-Life 07/01/16 09:16:04 PM
#636   THE UPCOMING, HISTORIC SILVER SHORTAGE Pro-Life 06/19/16 03:05:28 PM
#635   The $SILVER bull is on!!! Is there any doubt??? Pro-Life 06/11/16 09:48:05 AM
#634   Gold & Silver power ahead yesterday... $USD tanks hard. Pro-Life 06/04/16 09:57:22 AM
#633   Gold & Silver shouting: "System failure dead ahead". Pro-Life 05/01/16 08:35:12 PM
#632   A Powerful Signal for the Coming Silver Rally Pro-Life 04/24/16 08:11:46 AM
#631   Pick a dip, buy a dip... I bought Pro-Life 04/20/16 04:58:04 PM
#630   Pro-Life thanks, Sprott demand billions in Silver - NYBob 04/19/16 03:18:07 PM
#629   Knowing where metals are heading, not too late. $UPERMAN 04/19/16 10:17:01 AM
#628   i wish i jumped in last week :-( Bertsllc 04/19/16 10:03:16 AM
#627   www.kitco.com/images/live/silver.gif $UPERMAN 04/19/16 09:19:25 AM
#626   PSLV’S SECONDARY OFFERING – A MAJOR, MAJOR BLOW Bertsllc 04/08/16 05:13:30 PM
#625   Yea it's gotta be a correction on the jt6455 03/21/16 03:59:40 PM
#624   $GOLD down but $SILVER up... break down in Pro-Life 03/21/16 03:41:54 PM
#623   Yup jt6455 02/12/16 10:42:01 AM
#622   All metals gaining solid traction. Pro-Life 02/03/16 10:46:44 AM
#621   Bad juju on the horizen... Pro-Life 01/27/16 09:53:17 AM
#620   I saw that it's an interesting metric jt6455 01/27/16 09:36:23 AM
#619   What Crisis Is The Gold/Oil Ratio Predicting This Time? Pro-Life 01/26/16 10:03:10 PM
#618   Retirement Funds are being forced to liquidate this jt6455 12/23/15 11:15:45 AM
#617   See... IMPORTANT SILVER KEY FACTORS: 3 Must See Charts Pro-Life 12/16/15 06:18:58 PM
#616   Jeff Nielson: Silver's Thirty Year Mystery Part II Pro-Life 12/03/15 01:11:38 AM
#615   Jeff Nielson: Silver's Thirty Year Mystery Part I Pro-Life 12/03/15 01:03:10 AM
#614   Sprott Issues Open Letter to Unitholders of Central Pro-Life 12/03/15 01:02:34 AM
#613   I spell "oversold" - PSLV Pro-Life 11/29/15 09:41:04 AM
#612   Sprott Unleashed: “Everything is a Lie… I Dream Pro-Life 11/22/15 08:56:04 PM
#611   I really like this a ton!!! TY!!! Pro-Life 11/22/15 08:37:55 PM
#610   There's a tool that you can use to DownWithPumpers 10/30/15 01:32:17 PM
#609   Don't get fleeced... hold the metal in your hands... Pro-Life 10/29/15 02:30:52 PM
#608   Jim Willie calls PSLV the "real" deal amongst ETF's... Pro-Life 10/29/15 02:28:42 PM
#607   LOADED... Chris Powell: Gold market manipulation update Pro-Life 10/29/15 02:27:10 PM
#606   Jim Sinclair- Silver Will Be Gold On Steroids Pro-Life 09/05/15 06:35:18 PM
#605   This is not much of a pop... 4%... Pro-Life 04/27/15 03:24:12 PM
#604   Any thoughts, will this news cause follow through rdragon 04/27/15 02:45:52 PM
#603   Sprott Announces $898m Hostile Bid For Physically-Backed Gold Pro-Life 04/26/15 08:38:42 PM
#602   $SILVER had a HUGE day... Pro-Life 02/13/15 04:58:15 PM
#601   The bottom's neigh... chart's forming a higher low... Pro-Life 01/30/15 11:51:26 PM
#600   A Major Silver Shortage Must and Will Occur Pro-Life 01/19/15 11:47:08 PM
#599   Funny how a 10% move looks overbought... PSLV Pro-Life 01/13/15 10:19:36 AM
#598   The charts are patheticly weak... Pro-Life 12/27/14 12:01:17 AM
#597   Video: Stacking silver, is your stack profitable? Pro-Life 12/23/14 09:00:25 AM
#596   And now, a new multi, multi-year low... wow... Pro-Life 12/23/14 08:59:02 AM
#595   NICE gap up today... PSLV Pro-Life 12/09/14 09:27:02 PM
#594   What a reversal of fortunes today... last night's Pro-Life 12/01/14 03:02:10 PM
#593   Silver/gold getting torched tonight in electronic markets... Pro-Life 11/30/14 09:55:03 PM
#592   Gold and silver recover big today from overnight slide.. Pro-Life 11/14/14 10:24:01 AM
#591   Sprott Money YouTube Channel: Pro-Life 11/11/14 11:12:59 PM
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