***(...you can click on..."Hide Intro"...to get to the message board...this page is rather long...) ...or have some fun and scroll down... SPECULATION STOCKS new location The Men Who Crashed the World Putin's Secret Riches
“The only impediment to world peace is world leaders.” Or, perhaps, we should simply comply with the more current and popular thought that “…peace is only attainable through military strength.” USA President Jimmy Carter
“A human being is a part of the whole called by us universe, a part limited in time and space. He experiences himself, his thoughts and feeling as something separated from the rest, a kind of optical delusion of his consciousness. This delusion is a kind of prison for us, restricting us to our personal desires and to affection for a few persons nearest to us. Our task must be to free ourselves from this prison by widening our circle of compassion to embrace all living creatures and the whole of nature in its beauty.” Einstein
The world is a dangerous place to live; not because of the people who are evil, but because of the people who don't do anything about it. Einstein ?
It's not what happens to you, but how you react to it that matters. Epictetus (AD 50 – 135)
If one oversteps the bounds of moderation, the greatest pleasures cease to please.
People are not disturbed by things, but by the view they take of them.
Epictetus taught that philosophy is a way of life and not just a theoretical discipline. To Epictetus, all external events are beyond our control; we should accept calmly and dispassionately whatever happens. However, individuals are responsible for their own actions, which they can examine and control through rigorous self-discipline.
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Those who can make you believe absurdities can make you commit atrocities. ...Voltaire 1694-1778
Propaganda Tools...information with a biase or misleading nature.
PSYOPS...the use of propaganda, threats, and other psychological techniques to mislead, intimidate, demoralize, or otherwise influence the thinking or behavior of an opponent.
George Orwell said in his famous book 1984 that, “first they steal the words, then they steal the meaning”, accurately foreseeing the political actions of world leaders and their manipulation of public opinion. In Orwell’s novel, the state dominates and dehumanizes its citizens through psychological manipulations that strip them of their ability to think, be objective, consider ideas. People, thus have no alternative but to accept as necessary, true, and good, whatever the state declares to be so. He called it DOUBLESPEAK or NEWSPEAK. "It is no measure of health to be well adjusted to a profoundly sick society." Krishnamerti Ball of Confusion
“Newspeak is a language devised to limit the range of thought by collapsing distinctions, undermining logic, and confining the vocabulary to a few easily pronounced and emotionally charged terms. A mind so limited cannot truly think at all; it can only respond as programmed. It will accept black as white, war as peace, hate as love; it will allow two plus two to equal five; it will adopt as ’‘goodthink” all ideas that support the state and dismiss all others as “oldthink” or “crimethink”; and it will let “doublethink” mask all contradiction. Reality itself thus becomes whatever those in authority decree - and history can be rewritten regularly to fit that reality.“ (csmonitor.com)
2016 Republican Platform
10/15 At Trump's election-night party last week, one of his prominent campaign aides, Omarosa Manigault, told the Independent Journal Review, "It's so great our enemies are making themselves clear so that when we get in to the White House, we know where we stand.... Mr. Trump has a long memory and we're keeping a list."
Demonizing Our Opponents.
One reason is the adverse effect demonizing our opponents has on the kind of public discourse democracy needs to succeed. Democratic societies require the free exchange of ideas among a populace willing and able to make informed judgments about them. But if we fail to engage in the rational examination of ideas and seek instead to work our will through vilification and personal attack, the democratic process is subverted.
We become less able to see the strengths and genuine weaknesses of alternative viewpoints. Public discourse becomes more focused on the acquisition of power and less on the pursuit of truth, more enamored of sensationalism and less attentive to the deeper issues of our times, more interested in personalities and less in the plausibility of the policies these persons advocate. Emotionalism usurps reason; can't and prejudice prosper — and democracy suffers a dearth of meaningful social dialogue.
There are also more directly moral reasons for concern. To demonize someone goes beyond saying he is mistaken or misguided. It is, as a rule, to denounce his character and to do so in moral terms. The moral status of one's character, however, is closely tied to the moral status of one's intentions. Thus, it is a conceptual confusion to say that a person's character is evil even though their intentions are good.
So What Happened...?...election 2016
Nazi propagandist Josef Goebbels said: “If you tell a lie big enough and keep repeating it, people will eventually come to believe it. The lie can be maintained only for such time as the State can shield the people from the political, economic and/or military consequences of the lie. It thus becomes vitally important for the State to use all of its powers to repress dissent, for the truth is the mortal enemy of the lie, and thus by extension, the truth is the greatest enemy of the State.”
And what does Herr Goebbels’ statement have to do with the future of the US? And why will everyone lose, no matter who wins the election?
We’ll continue to get more of what we have now: war, inflated military and intelligence service budgets, and renewed focus on irrelevant and immaterial things. Clinton’s hostility towards Russia, Syria, and Iran, plus her blind support for and deference to Israel does not bode well for America’s future. Trump’s lack of intellectual vigor, his tendency toward erratic behavior, and vow to smash ISIL mean no real change for the better. Worse, the bureaucracy, which supports the status quo, will likely operate from the shadows as the de facto government of the United States.
Steve Ballmer's project, called USAFacts Maybe there is a better way...another way.
The Market is a giant feedback loop, showing traders (and anyone who views the market) a thermometer reading of the social mood under which traders, and by extension society, are operating.
Most traders seem to think of the market is something that has some external value outside of the price attributed to it by traders. I prefer to think of it as a real-time gauge of a society’s view of their own productive capacity…or more simply put–social mood.
When Markets are understood, the idea that everyone can make money is not only inaccurate but impossible and laughable. Everyone making money means there is no market, because who would be willing to taking the other side of the trade?
In addition, most traders feel they can move with the crowd to make a (paper) profit, and then get out before the crowd, turning that trade into a real profit. In theory this is sound, but remember everyone else is setting out to do the same thing. It is this crowd movement which allows traders to make money at times. Without a large portion of traders coming to the same decision markets simply would not move. It takes conviction by many traders to create a trend, then it takes euphoric acceptance that “this is the new norm” to end it and “bend it. ” It then takes mass disillusionment to crash it the other way. (vantagepointtrading.com) Regression to the Mean is the most powerful law in financial physics Mean reversions out of extremes are the most powerful and profitable forces in all the financial markets. Riding one has enormous benefits for your wealth. Financial-market prices and sentiment are like a giant pendulum. The farther they are pulled to one extreme by excessive greed or fear, the farther they necessarily swing to the opposite extreme in the subsequent mean reversion. Like pendulums, these reversions don’t magically stop right in the middle at normal again. Their kinetic momentum carries them through to the opposite ends of their arcs. But overshoot extremes don’t last for long, as the universal greed necessary to fuel them quickly burns itself out. Markets are not about beliefs, but about sentiment. And, if you can track sentiment, If you can measure sentiment... then you are in a position to make your investment account grow without the need for excuses. (...this really is all you need to know about the Markets; ...
The S&P500 Index, one of many indicator of stock market performance (by tracking big US businesses), averaged 9.5% annual returns from 1928 to 2015
Now let’s take our $5 a day, which adds up to to $1,825 a year, and put it into an S&P500 or total stock market index or mutual fund?—?which just means it should have similar performance, over the long term, as the S&P500’s 9.5% annual returns. We contribute this $5 a day in weekly or monthly chunks (this is important).
You start to accrue both the money you contributed, that $5 a day, and the 9.5% a year returns. Then those contributions and the returns, plus the second year’s contributions, earn another 9.5%. And so on and so fourth. This won’t be the exact case for the year 1 and year 2, because the stock market is SUPER unpredictable in the short term. But in the long term, you can expect decent returns.
After 25 years, we can reach over $180,000 dollars. Your contributions of $5 a day, only make up 1/4 of that total sum. 75% of that is JUST EARNINGS. Math aptitude will help you become a dealer, make Markets if you dare, excute customer orders, but you won't be able to make $$$ by speculating in the Markets. You can't, you're not smart enough. The Markets aren't predictable enough. 90% of all trading is "technical analysis" which you are too lazy to learn. The other 10% of Market movement comes from rogue waves of economic data shocks, which surprise and wash everyone overboard, destroying the latest chart pattern you were following. Its never been truer: How do you make a small fortune trading the Markets? Start with a large fortune and you might have a chance. You don't want to do this for a living. Get out while you can. ...Chris Rupkey http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=80559436 NOISE...RANDOM...CHAOS...ORDER...STRUCTURE http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=115344915 Buy low Sell high..."relative" to what?
After 35 years, we can reach half a million dollars. Can you spare $5 a day for a $500,000 payday? 87% of that is purely earnings!
Some RULES for this I-Hub Board............READ THIS...or ... or...
This board will be used for analysis of charts ranging in different time periods to determine signals for trading of various instruments=individual stocks, etf's and options. Please direct your comments towards technical indicators that everyone can see on a price chart: we are talking about signals and technical indicators here, not opinions or predictions or forecasts of when the next grand slam will be... share technical signals and charts with the group and if you have an active position...... Rather than being opinionated and letting your subjective bias determine which side of the market to be on, try to maintain objectivity based on technical analysis. ASTRO-OLOGY
One of the key items to remember as investors/traders is that the market doesn't always reflect reality. Oftentimes it reflects belief. And belief can prove to be a delusion.
"A belief held without objective examples that everyone can see is a delusion."
“Opinion is that exercise of the human will which 'lets' us make a decision without objective information and objective examples.” And is obviously ....not the best choice that promotes a healthy process.
“Discussion is an exchange of knowledge; an argument an exchange of ignorance.”
Understand the above and you will understand the phrase..."Self will run riot" and you can expect the results of this riot will be destructive for yourself first and then for others.
Dysfunctional attitudes and behaviors = "self will run riot" it is not a process that builds "character". It is not common decency, nor any form of kindness...it can only be destructive.
It is no disgrace to be wrong... disgrace happens when you choose to stay wrong...
Building character is a project you never complete.
We form our character in defining moments because we commit to irreversible courses of action that shape our personal and professional identities. We reveal something new about us to ourselves and others because defining moments uncover something that had been hidden or crystallize something that had been only partially known. And we test ourselves because we discover whether we will live up to our personal ideals or only pay them lip service.
If you feel you must GAMBLE and encourage gambling from the 5 minute or lower time frames you will be asked to take your message to the "gamblers board"...If you feel you "must offer an opinion or off topic comment; please do it after trading hours. Charts and signals at signal lines is what we want...and If you feel you do not need to answer questions on this board ...then why are you here.
I-Hub's rules state: It is the burden of each poster to ensure that their posts do not contain content that qualifies them for removal. It doesn't matter if your post contains the cure to the common cold or the best stock tip since (fill in your favorite ticker here), if it contains other content that is a violation of the site's rules of conduct, then it qualifies for removal. ...
Thank You... Kiy...ki...theMatrix You are only as good as your next trade...Kiy
This release may contain "forward-looking statements" that are within the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements are identified by certain words or phrases such as "may", "will", "aim", "will likely result", "believe", "expect", "will continue", "anticipate", "estimate", "intend", "plan", "contemplate", "seek to", "future", "objective", "goal", "project", "should", "will pursue" and similar expressions or variations of such expressions. ...
****Who is going to pay this out-of-control debt that the out-of-control government leaders of the world and USA are racking up for the younger generation by their out-of-control spending spree? Who cares? Apparently, hardly anyone cares today, because the subject does not attract votes. People want to only hear about what they are going to get, not what they are going to have to pay or sacrifice in order to get it. Raymond Merriman http://new.mmacycles.com/ ...astrology
02/20...we bring to your attention the importance of geocosmic signatures coming up in 2017 through 2020 to the Federal Reserve Board chart, and again involving Donald Trump, along with Fed Chair Janet Yellen. The most outstanding geocosmic development will begin with the Winter Solstice of December 21, 2017. This is when not only the Sun will enter Capricorn, but Saturn too, a combination that hasn’t happened since December 21, 1870 (thanks to colleague Daniel Gordon for that research). Given that the Federal Reserve Board Act was passed on December 23, 1913, with the Sun at 1° Capricorn and in opposition to Pluto at 0° Cancer, and given that Saturn will conjunct the FRB Sun and oppose the FRB Pluto, and furthermore given that Saturn rules “accountability” (as in “an audit”), and will remain in Capricorn into 2020, it is not far-fetched to think that the new administration will soon engage the Fed in some sort of power play. In fact, as of late 2016, it has already begun. That is when Saturn began transiting 13° Sagittarius through 27° Capricorn, where it forms a hard aspect to eight of the 10 planets in the Fed’s chart, plus a cross over its Descendant. That will be a lot of Saturn for the Fed to cope with. It will be a lot of Trump for the Fed to cope with, for his chart and Chairwoman Yellen’s chart are like oil on fire. Even the President feels the cosmic energy, rising like molten lava in a volcano about to erupt for the first time in centuries. This will be no ordinary two months, starting with the Mars/Pluto square of February 22, and ending with the Venus/Saturn square of April 5-21. when both also change directions (Saturn turns retrograde on the Galactic Center of 27° Sagittarius, April 5, while Venus turns direct on April 15 at 27° Pisces). They are in exact square to one another on April 8 and 21. I am not sure when this combination of Venus square Saturn, as both were changing directions, last happened. However, I am certain this is an extremely rare occurrence.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Issues... Wealth And Income Have "Trickled Up" To The Top .5% Perfectly put... Chris Hedges. "Americans are living a fantasy" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W_KHr6_MrWE ...short version... https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MI_19vfB6ks longer better version... “Hope has a cost. Hope is not comfortable or easy. Hope requires personal risk. It is not about the right attitude. Hope is not about peace of mind. Hope is action. Hope is doing something. The more futile, the more useless, the more irrelevant and incomprehensible an act of rebellion is, the vaster and more potent hope becomes. Hope never makes sense. Hope is weak, unorganized and absurd. Hope, which is always nonviolent, exposes in its powerlessness, the lies, fraud and coercion employed by the state. Hope knows that an injustice visited on our neighbor is an injustice visited on all of us. Hope posits that people are drawn to the good by the good. This is the secret of hope's power. Hope demands for others what we demand for ourselves. Hope does not separate us from them. Hope sees in our enemy our own face.”
"Hope will come with the return of the language of class conflict and rebellion, language that has been purged from the lexicon of the liberal class. This does not mean we have to agree with Karl Marx, who advocated violence and whose worship of the state as a utopian mechanism led to another form of working class enslavement, but we have to learn again to speak in the vocabulary Marx employed. We have to grasp, as Marx and Adam Smith did, that corporations are not concerned with the common good."
“Those who make peaceful revolution impossible, make violent revolution inevitable.” President John F. Kennedy
"In theory, there is no difference between theory and practice. In practice, there is." Jan L. A. van de Snepscheut
“We have been tempted to believe that society has become too complex to be managed by self-rule, that government by an elite group is superior to government for, by, and of the people… No better symptom exists of the compact breaking apart than the European Central Bank, the U.S. Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan. They epitomize the exhaustion of elite administrative intelligence. For seven years they failed at restoring even average economic strength, disappearing now into a black hole called negative interest rates.” – Daniel Henninger, “Government Hits the Wall,” Wall Street Journal, June 30, 2016.
The best way to rob a bank is to own one." William Black
End the Fed! Who owns the Fed!
Thomas Jefferson on banking
" Bold and bankrupt adventurers pretending to have money"
"If the American people ever allow private banks to control the issue of their currency, first by inflation, then by deflation, the banks and corporations that will grow up around them will deprive the people of all property until their children wake up homeless on the continent their Fathers conquered.... I believe that banking institutions are more dangerous to our liberties than standing armies.... The issuing power should be taken from the banks and restored to the people, to whom it properly belongs." The Demonetising Effect: A Cashless Society
November 10, 2016...using the U.S. election as a diversion, the world's central banks just moved one step closer to achieving its goal of creating a cashless society.
At the height of the election drama Tuesday night, the Reserve Bank of India issued a surprise order that demonetized 500- and 1,000-rupee notes — making the country's largest bills now virtually illegal to use. This will effectively remove 80% of the physical rupees in circulation.
And the announcement of this surprise demonetization was no doubt purposefully meant to coincide with the U.S. presidential election, which was certainly going to be a huge distraction despite the winner.
Now think about what this surprise demonetization means to the Indian people for a minute...
You live in India. And you went to bed on Monday night with a 1,000-rupee note in your pocket. When you went to bed, that note was worth 1,000 rupees. When you woke up, the same note was worth nothing.
Now, people can still deposit the discontinued notes in banks and post office savings accounts until the end of the year and receive the full value. But the 500 and 1,000 notes are nevertheless discontinued, making them technically obsolete as currency. And after the end of the year, people won't be able to exchange them for digital currency.
As you can imagine, the currency ban caused a two-day mad scramble with hundreds of people standing in line at banks and in front of single ATM machines in some places.
So what was the point? And can this happen in the U.S.?
Will the Bank of China devalue the yuan? Will the Bank of Japan aggressively target deflation? What will ECB president Mario Draghi do when he fails to hit his 2% inflation target?
Will Austria vote for an anti-immigration president? Will Italy’s prime minister Matteo Renzi get the constitutional reforms for Italy that he seeks? If not, will he resign as promised? What about the rise of euroskeptics in France and Italy? Economic Collapse - Brexit - Euro collapse - America 2016 - Financial Crisis - Noam Chomsky and Yanis Varousfakis ...Yanis Varoufakis is a Greek economist, academic and politician, who served as the Greek Minister of Finance from January to July 2015, when he resigned. Black Swan
"First it is an outlier, as it lies outside the realm of regular expectations, because nothing in the past can convincingly point to its possibility. Second, it carries an extreme impact. Third, in spite of its outlier status, human nature makes us concoct explanations for its occurrence after the fact, making it explainable and predictable." Mohamed A. El-Erian on BREXIT Brexit has accelerated what I have characterized in my recent book as the journey to the neck of a T junction – that is to say, the exhaustion of the current road that the global economy is on, and the possibility of two contrasting transitions. In the event that governments finally step up to the economic policymaking responsibilities and stop relying excessively on central banks, the recent period of low growth and artificial financial stability would evolve into high growth and genuine financial stability. The improvements would be turbo charged by the productive engagement of cash that currently resides on the balance sheets of companies, as well as technical innovations.
But if politicians continue to disappoint, low growth would turn into periodic recessions, and artificial financial stability would give way to disruptive instability. The inequality trifecta – that of income, wealth and opportunity – would worsen. Already-alarming youth unemployment would get even more deeply embedded in the structure of the economy. Political tensions would increase, as would the trust deficit in business and political elites, as well as expert opinion. What is key to stress is that there is nothing pre-destined, at least as yet, when it comes to the road out of the T junction. It depends in large part on the political decisions that will be made in the comings months and quarters. If you were forced to opt for just one outcome for Europe what would that be? Having suffered short-term disruptions, both the EU and the UK would have regained their economic and financial footing in three years. The UK would have an association agreement with the EU that allows for the smooth trade in goods and services, and that lowers the risk of tariff wars. The EU would be a somewhat smaller but much more coherent, confident and operational unit. And your biggest fear in the short-term? It would be that de-stabilizing combination of policy mistakes and financial accidents. I'm from Goldman Sachs, and I’m here to help May 3, 2016
Frightening Global Rise of "Agnotology"
Culturally Constructed Ignorance... "Agnotology" “culturally constructed ignorance, created by special interest groups to create confusion and suppress the truth in a societally important issue.”
Low interest rates can be a great tool to get an economy in slow-down mode going again, but there always is an unwanted side effect. If credit becomes too cheap and available for just anyone, there’s bound to be ‘abuse’ in the system, as households (and companies) can spend the borrowed cash on anything they want.
We have already warned you before about the share buybacks on the financial markets, as the increasing profits (per share) are mainly inflated by lower interest expenses and a lower amount of outstanding shares, rather than really seeing a substantial improvement of the business and sector those companies are operating in.
“Many governments, including ours (USA), overtax their citizens to feed their own insatiable need for money. Then the legal thieves running the government and their cronies, unwilling to abide the tax levels they created, move their wealth off shore to places like Panama.” - Daniel Henninger, “Panama Bernie,” Wall Street Journal, April 6, 2016.
“To wit, the story here (about leaks of the Panama Papers) isn’t about tax evaders and offshore accounts, deplorable as they may be. It’s about public polices and incentives that make a career in politics an expedient route to personal enrichment.” Bret Stephens, “ ‘C’ is for Corruption,” Wall Street Journal, April 5, 2016.
“The Competitive Enterprise Institute finds that, last year 2015, Congress passed a mere 114 laws and federal agencies issued a whopping 3410 regulations… A Kauffman Foundation study cites a proliferation of ‘incumbent protection’ rules as a reason for a decline in small business entrepreneurship. A Brookings Institution study shows an unheralded change in American life, business closures exceeded business starts during much of President Obama’s tenure.”
... ...the battle is on 3 fronts = Currency wars are not over... the oil wars are not over....and import/export trade wars are happening...
Tarriffs/Trade Wars. MAY 27, 2016 U.S. levies duties on corrosion-resistant steel from five countries Reuters
Trade fight: China calls new U.S. steel import duties unfair USA TODAY
U.S. panel launches trade secret theft probe into China steel Reuters
U.S. ITC votes to continue probe of imports of certain carbon, steel plates Reuters
China accuses U.S. of 'unfair methods' in steel dumping probe Reuters
The U.S. Department of Commerce ("DOC") has made its final decision on anti-dumping investigations on imports of corrosion-resistant steel and concluded that China, India, Italy, South Korea and Taiwan are selling these products in the U.S. market below their fair values and therefore, are subject to anti-dumping duties. The ruling marks yet another major step in stemming the torrent of unfairly-traded foreign imports. 03/02/2016 Department of Commerce imposed tariffs of up to 266% on cold-rolled steel imports. The U.S. government announced preliminary anti-dumping duties of 266% for China, 71% for Japan, 39% for Brazil, between 6% and 31% for the U.K., between 13% and 17% for Russia, 7% for India and between 2% and 7% for South Korea.
Negative Interest Rates
Color Codes Colors are based on the CCI 20 (Commodity Channel Index signal lines) ... if "letters" are colored =Green =UP...Red=down...lighter colors = less confident in direction...if leters/stock symbols are Boxed=Green =oversold..Red=overbought...§=Reverse of a Signal line(focus is the CCI centerline)... ¥= first stock to turn UP/Down after the Group/Sector has been oversold.
Earnings Observations and Valuations JAN. 06,2017 http://seekingalpha.com/article/4034920-s-and-p-500-weekly-update-outlook-2017-change-air-brings-new-highs-equity-markets
We all know by now that earnings rule the day and on that score with valuations stretched, the earnings picture has to keep improving if the markets are to continue higher. Analysts' expectations for growth in earnings and revenues will have to come to fruition to keep the long term trend in tact.
Valuations will remain a headwind for stocks as many analysts look to them as being unattractive. Additionally, while TINA (There Is No Alternative) has helped to justify higher valuations in the past, moves in fixed income markets towards the end of 2016 should remind investors that as rates rise, TINA looks less attractive. Despite the unattractive valuations that many complain about, though, there are two things to point out.
First, after more than a year of declines, earnings have troughed and that should help valuations going forward. Second, despite the overhang of rising rates we could still be in an environment where the fed funds rate is 1% or slightly higher at the end of this year. That is not a scenario that would entice me to load up on fixed income assets. The valuations in the table below should come as no surprise now. We are in a mature bull market, the days of seeing stocks and sectors well under their historical norms has passed.
Individual Stocks and Sectors JAN. 2017 http://seekingalpha.com/article/4034920-s-and-p-500-weekly-update-outlook-2017-change-air-brings-new-highs-equity-markets
Last year it was "take what the market gives you". I won't be abandoning or changing that strategy. Energy and Financials were good opportunities that presented themselves to investors in 2016. I will offer an opinion on what I believe works in 2017. First will be what I feel are the continuing momentum plays, then the undervalued, unloved, and left behind companies that are prime situations to rebound this year.
Emerging leadership is coming from the Materials (NYSEARCA:XLB), Energy (NYSEARCA:XLE), and the Financials (NYSEARCA:XLF). As momentum plays, I continue to favor these sectors on dips. Rio Tinto (NYSE:RIO) and Teck Resources (NYSE:TECK) are favorites of mine in the Materials space. Both have come off of their highs, can consolidate and move higher in 2017.
E&P energy companies were standouts in the back half of last year and any name on this list is worthy of a look on any pullback. Those stocks will cool down some and could trade sideways for a while, but I do not believe the upward trend is over given my outlook for WTI. Look for Marathon Oil (NYSE:MRO) and Oasis Petroleum (NYSE:OAS) to be leaders of the pack this year.
Banks moved higher once the election results were announced. The siege from D.C is perceived to be over. They now will serve up a trifecta for investors. Balance sheets, valuation and now the prospect for growth. They have moved and moved swiftly. The uptrend isn't over and investors need to be nimble in adding the largest money center banks on any pullbacks. One that hasn't exploded is a name to now consider. Bank Of New York Mellon (NYSE:BK). It currently sells at a discount to its peers.
ETF CandleGlance XLE,XLB, XLI,XLY,XLP,XPH,XLF,XLK,IYZ,XHB,XLRE,XRT
http://www.sectorspdr.com/sectorspdr/tools/sector-tracker ... http://www.barchart.com/etf/vleaders.php
Rising bond yields are good for financials like banks and insurers, but are bad for bond proxies like utilities (and REITs).
03/15... The Fed hiked rates today as expected, with expectations for two more hikes this year. Judging from immediate market reactions, the Fed announcement is being viewed as somewhat dovish. For one thing, bond yields are dropping. With yields falling, bond prices are having a strong day. Junk bonds, which have been correcting lately, are especially strong. That's also positive for stocks. Rate sensitive stock groups like utilities and REITs are leading a strong market response. Falling yields, however, are weighing on bank stocks. The dollar is also dropping.
XLF CandleGlance (15.3%)BRK.B,*JPM,WFC, ***BAC (T/$24H-26),C,SPG,USB,CB,*AIG,*GS,
§KRE CandleGlance KEY,FITB,RF,HBAN,PNC,CFG,MTB,STI,BBT,ZION
FAZ ...financial Bear 3x... ZPAS ...PUMP AND DUMP...?
OIL http://stockcharts.com/freecharts/candleglance.html?SILJ,AG,EXK,CDE,GPL,axu,AUMN,MAG.TO,PAA.TO,FVI.TO,MND.TO,SSO.TO|B|H10,3|0 Junior
03/24 U.S. Crude Oil Inventory Up by 5 Million Barrels Last Week... This pushed the total to 533 million barrels.
What it means – Another week, another record amount of oil in storage. The inventory of gasoline and distillates fell slightly, but no one cared. The steady increase in oil points out that there's a lot of the black gold sloshing around the world, even though OPEC and its co-conspirators have purportedly held down production for almost five months.
With the price of oil back under $50 as U.S. frackers come back on line, OPEC has a decision to make. Does the group try to extend its production cuts beyond the May expiration, or does it just throw in the towel and call it a day? Chances are, they'll take the middle path. They will extend the production cuts, but in name only. The members will cheat, each wanting to pad its pockets before the price of oil drops lower.
XLE CandleGlance (7.3%) XOM,CVX,SLB,PXD,EOG,OXY,COP,HAL,PSX,KMI,... APA Apache (T/$97)...ECR (T/$5) ....(ERY bear)... $BPENER
*XOP...CandleGlance exploration and production...MRO,CLR,NFX,MUR,RICE,MPC,XOM,EGN,HES,XEC ...APA Apache (T/$97)... ESV ($8)... WLL...
***XES...CandleGlance equip/services...RIG (T/$16), ATW (T/$10-15),HP,*SLCA,HAL,PTEN,SLB,DO(T/$19),SPN (T/$20-27?),BHI...
................................................ESES (T/$2.20)...HCLP (T/$22H)... CCLP (T/$6)... FRAC (T/$17)
OIH oil services ... NOV, CLB, TS
***BOIL ...Nat. Gas ... KMI (T/$23)...oil/gas pipeline Potential double in 2 years 6/20 $18.79 ... ****EPD (T/$32)
XLI CandleGlance (10.4%).... GE,MMM,BA,HON,UNP,UTX,UPS,LMT,CAT,GD ...DHR, *FTV, CETX... CX (T/10) ...X (T/21-30)
XLY Discretionary (12.6)...AMZN,CMCSA,HD,DIS,MCD,SBUX,PCLN,NKE,LOW,TWX, ...TWC
XLP Consumer Staples (10.2%)...PG,KO,PM,CVS,MO,WMT,PEP,WBA,COST,CL
XRT Retail CandleGlance OUTR,A,ZN,MIK,PLCE,ODP,GPI,ULTA,PSMT.CAB,GME
XLK CandleGlance (20.1%) ...AAPL,MSFT,FB,T,GOOGL,GOOG,VZ,V,INTC,CSCO
SMH CandleGlance Semiconductor ...AMD...(T/$16.50),MVDA,CY,IDTI,IPHI,MPWR,MU,MXIM,TXN,LLTC ...INTC (T/$42)
BOTZ...Global Robotics and Artificial Intelligence.. ISRG,MBLY,TRMB,JBT,IRBT,BRKS,FARO
§ROBO CandleGlance Global Robotics&Automation...KYCCF,CYBQF,YASKF,CGNX,ISRG,OMRNF,FARO,DAIUF,NCTKF, YASKF,RAVN,FANUF,KRNNF,DAIUF,ROCK,ABLZF,NCTKF,AVAV,AMANF,ARAY,HOLI,JNPKF,BRKS
WEAR wearable technologies/components IRTC,DXCM,BSX,AAPL,GGNDF,BEAT,KN,TASR,PODD,ABT ...Market estimates vary widely, but a recent report by Grand View estimates the enterprise wearables market will be valued at more than $20B by 2025.
SKYY CandleGlance Cloud Computing ...AKAM,ORCL,EQIX,NTAP,AMZN,CSCO,OTEX,JNPR,FB ...BBRY ... §2YEXT (T/$14H-18) 4 brookers like this...
HACK Cyber Security... IMPV,BLOX,PANW,QLYS,JNPR,SAIC,FTNT,CSCO,SYMC,CHKP.........***CYBR(T/$55-60),FEYE,TMICF,PFPT,AVG...
SNSR CandleGlance Global Internet Of Things...STM,SWKS,MBLY,GRMN,ST,BRCD,DXCM,JCI,SLAB,BDC,IDCC,ADI
IYZ Telecom... T,VZ,TMUS,CLT,SBAC,LVLT,S,FTR,SHEN ....TDS....(WIN
PXQ Networking... QCOM,APH,AAPL,CHKP,CSCO,VMW,CA,CTXS,FNSR,BLOX ...GIMA,LOGM,... SSNI (T/$11H) Smart Grid IOT... INFN (T/$14.50)
PRIVX ... Silicon Valley venture capital,late stage,pre-IPO companies...
XHB Home Builders RH,FBHS,WHR,LOW,MAS,HD,MHK,DHI,TPX,OC ....ITB
XLRE Real Estate CandleGlance (2.7%) SPG,AMT,PSA,CCI,WY,EQR,PLD,AVB,EQIX,HCN
XLV Healthcare (13.3) ....JNJ,PFE,MRK,UNH,BMY,MDT,AMGN,GILD,ABBV,AGN ....$BPHEAL
XPH...CandleGlance Pharmaceuticals...LLY,JNJ,MNK,MRK,BMY,ZTS,PFE,MYL,AGN,ENDP... PPH Pharmaceutical... ABC bellwether
XHS... CandleGlance Healthcare Services MD,DGX,CNC,DPLO,WOOF,ABC,CHE,WCG,SCAI,DVA
XHE...CandleGlance Healthcare Equipment HTWR,DXCM,ABMD,RMD,COO,ICUI,SYK,IDXX,BCR,IART
XBI...CandleGlance Biotech...TSRO,IONS,ABBV,ALKS,MDVN,IMCY,GILD,AMGN,BIIB,XON ...(IBB...BIB...
IHI Medical Devices MDT,ABT,TMO,DHR,SYK,BDX,ISRG,BAX,ZBH CTSO (T/$10)...Cytosorbents
IHF Healthcare Providers
IYT...CandleGlance Transportation... LSTR,HRI,UPS,ALGT,CHRW,KSU,UHAL,MIC,NSC,ODFL ...XTN
SEA CandleGlance Shipping TNK,EURN,TGP,NMM,SSW,SFL,TK,TNP, ... SEA vs. VALE
XAR... CandleGlance Aerospace and Defense ...LMT,HII,NOC,TGD,UTX,LLL,HON,RTN,BA,GD
XLU...CandleGlance (2.9%) ...Utilities ..NEE,DUK,SO,D,AEP,EXC,PCG,SRE,PPL,EIX ...NRG...
GEX Global Alt. Energy...TSLA,VWSYF,ETN,GAM,ENS,FSLR,CREE,ITRI,ORA,POWI,CVA,...CLPXF,NDRBF,KTWIF,NIBE B
ICLN Global Clean Energy...CLPXF,OEZVF,CVA,CHFFF,VWSYF,
§PHO Water Resources WAT,ROP,ECL,DHR,HDS,IEX,PNP,TTC,AOS,XLY,RXN,AWK,VMI...TTEK,WTR,
CGW Global Water Index... BGERF,AWK,DHR,PNP,XYL,IEX....... (CDZI...Water Utility)
Xylem Inc (NYSE:XYL) is a major provider of water industry engineering solutions. The company has a large presence in China as well. Increasing urbanization, coupled with a massive population, could be a recipe for water supply disaster in China.
Pentair plc. Ordinary Share (NYSE:PNR) specializes in all things water. The company provides products and services in water purification and filtration. Additionally, PNR provides irrigation management, desalination and aquaculture systems services.
According to Pictet Asset Management analyst Arnaud Bisschop, water filtration is key. PNR’s consumer-targeted water filtration products may soon be the best option for people living in regions lacking clean water.
URA Uranium ...DUK,SO,*D,*PCG,EXC,PEG,XEL,AEE,MHVYF,KEP LIT CandleGlance ...FMC,SQM,OROCF,ALB,GALXF,SGPEF,JCI,BYDDF,TSLA
XLB... Materials (2.85%) ...DD,DOW,MON,PX,ECL,PPG,SHW,APD,NEM,LYB XME... CandleGlance ...CDE,CNX,SWC,HL,CLF,RGLD,NEM,FCX,WOR,SCHN
SLX...CandleGlance ...RIO,VALE,TS,NUE,PKY,MT,SID,WOR,VEDL,GGB JJU Aluminum CandleGlance ...AA,ACH,CENX,KALU
COPX Global Copper ...TCK,HBM,FQVLF,TRQ,IPMLF,CSFFF,FCX,OZMLF,VDNRF... (CPER)
3 Oversold... 15 UP... 7 Overbought ... 14 Down... last update 06/28...9UP...1DOWN
7 Oversold... 12 UP... 8 Overbought ... 16 Down... last update 06/27...2UP...8DOWN
3 Oversold... 20 UP... 12 Overbought ... 8 Down... last update 06/26...2UP...8DOWN
10 Oversold... 14 UP... 9 Overbought ... 10 Down... last update 06/23...6UP...3DOWN
12 Oversold... 10 UP... 8 Overbought ... 13 Down... last update 06/22...4UP...6DOWN
13 Oversold... 6 UP... 8 Overbought ... 16 Down... last update 06/21...3UP...7DOWN
10 Oversold... 5 UP... 9 Overbought ... 17 Down... last update 06/20...1UP...9DOWN
5 Oversold... 16 UP... 14 Overbought ... 9 Down... last update 06/19...8UP...2DOWN
9 Oversold... 2 UP... 7 Overbought ... 25 Down... last update 06/15...3UP...7DOWN
1 Oversold... 7 UP... 11 Overbought ... 22 Down... last update 06/14...4UP...6DOWN
1 Oversold... 13 UP... 13 Overbought ... 15 Down... last update 06/13...9UP...1DOWN
2 Oversold... 8 UP... 11 Overbought ... 23 Down... last update 06/12 ...5UP...5DOWN
2 Oversold... 7 UP... 10 Overbought ... 20 Down... last update 06/09 ...7UP...3DOWN
4 Oversold... 6 UP... 20 Overbought ... 11 Down... last update 06/08 ...4UP...6DOWN
6 Oversold... 4 UP... 18 Overbought ... 14 Down... last update 06/07 ...4UP...5DOWN
4 Oversold... 5 UP... 17 Overbought ... 16 Down... last update 06/06 ...3UP...7DOWN
5 Oversold... 5 UP... 25 Overbought ... 7 Down... last update 06/05 ...3UP...7DOWN
4 Oversold... 5 UP... 27 Overbought ... 5 Down... last update 06/02
5 Oversold... 8 UP... 21 Overbought ... 7 Down... last update 06/01
8 Oversold... 7 UP... 14 Overbought ... 12 Down... last update 05/31
The inflation pipeline has three stages. The first stage is the price of raw materials. The second stage is the price companies pay for raw materials (producer price inflation). The third stage is what companies charge consumers for their products (CPI inflation). It all starts with the direction of commodity prices. Strangely, that's the part that economists (and the Fed) pay no attention to. How can economists expect to predict the final stage of CPI inflation, if they ignore the first stage which is the direction of commodity prices? ...John Murphy StockCharts.com
PICK...Global Mining Producers Index x Gold and Silver ...
CPER...Copper ...JJC... FCX
SLX Steel ... RIO,TX,VEDL,VALE,TS,NUE,STLD,PKX,MT,RS ... X
SIL Silver Miners AG,CDE,EXK,FSM,GPL,HL,MGN,MVG,PAAS,WHT,WPM=SLW, SSRI
§GDX Gold Miners ABX,NEM,GG,FNV.TO,AEM,NCMGF.AX,KGC,GOLD,SLW,AU... AUY ... OGC.TO (T/$5)
¥GDXJ...Junior Gold Mines BTG.TO,AGI,AG,PAAS,CELTF.L,HL,NG.TO,OKSKF.TO,IAG,TORXF.TO www.mcoscillator.com https://www.tipranks.com/stocks/fcx http://www.shadowstats.com/ https://www.marketbeat.com/
UGA...Gasoline Fund ...KOL... Coal
VEGI Global Agriculture ...PAGG Global Agriculture ...JJA Agriculture Subindex... GRU Grains ... WEAT... Wheat ...*CORN...
UBC Livestock... COW
JO coffee... SGG sugar
...Screening Criteria: Price > $5; Est 1 Yr EPS Growth > 25%; Est 5 Yr EPS Growth > 25%; Avg Analyst Rec > Buy
*** http://x-fin.com/ ... intrinsic value of a stock index on a stand-alone basis should not be used for investment decisions: what is important is relative valuation of one index versus the other, as it allows identification of over- or undervalued sectors and national markets. We've just introduced an entirely new metric for identification of market overbought and oversold conditions - the stock market validation index. It is a unique measure of the market, as it is based on intrinsic value of stocks and has nothing to do with technical analysis. Even though we are confident of the capacity of the validation index to predict stock market movements also over the short-term horizon, we do not have yet enough statistical data to prove it. So, we would recommend to use its indications with caution.
***http://www.tradingeconomics.com/japan/stock-market http://technical-analysis.forexlive.com/ http://www.thelion.com/
... ( http://www.thelion.com/bin/forum.cgi?cmd=most_searched
) http://www.chinadaily.com.cn/bizchina/index.html http://www.highshortinterest.com/ http://www.miningmx.com/ http://biohealthinvestor.com/ http://www.biomedreports.com/ http://www.biospace.com/ https://www.clinicaltrials.gov/ Leveraged S&P ETFs: Beware Of Volatility http://www.barchart.com/cheatsheet.php?sym=USO http://www.thechairmansblog.com/ http://etfdb.com/etf/
MONEY...!!!...first the National Anthem by Pink Floyd ...
https://a-valtsev.whotrades.com/ ...about option trading... TimeFrames ....when 10 MINUTE CCI 20 crosses CCI centerline on this 10 minute chart= you step UP to the signals on the 15 minute chart 10AM CCI 111 ...2430.04 ...2432.22
Maybe its as simple as you'd like to make it...simple game of Chess.
I've Seen All Good People
Red Queen Killer Queen
TimeFrame Charts ...I'm tracking the intraday charts below about every hour...so if the date below 'Swing Trading" has today's date; I'm tracking the turns and what chart you should be focused on.
Color Codes Colors are based on the CCI 20 (Commodity Channel Index signal lines) ... if "letters" are colored =Green =UP...Red=down...lighter colors = less confident in direction...if leters/stock symbols are Boxed=Green =oversold..Red=overbought...§=Reverse of a Signal line(focus is the CCI centerline)... ¥= first stock to turn UP/Down after the Group/Sector has been oversold.
JUNE 28... Swing Traders...Focus on CCI Commodity Channel Index 10...15...30...60 minute charts... then daily Bias and weekly= TimeFrames.
6O minute CCI Bias is UP...60 minute chart can act as a proxy for the daily chart...best trades are when both 60 minute and daily bias are working together.
Daily CCI 20 Bias is UP§... always trade in the direction of the daily bias... any index or ETF... this should be carved in stone...
Weekly chart CCI 10 Bias is DOWN 06/26 ...It is always nice when both the Weekly and Daily bias are working together=pointing in the same direction...but, remember the daily chart is the driver.
11AM CCI 149 ...2432.50
12PM CCI 84
...2439.17 2PM CCI 98
...2441.56 4PM CCI -56
...this is idiot "doublespeak" and this jackass ran the biggest banking Crook outfit in the world... ...
- Alan Greenspan, former Federal Reserve Board Chair...
eazy money at very low interest has companies buying back shares.............. ...................................
When disturbing information creates "cognitive dissonance," the "static" discredits the information, so that a person does not feel compelled to cope with it, even if it is true. If a fact or idea is sufficiently contrary to his or her "status quo," the threatening data can be prevented from entering their consciousness at all! In effect, "cognitive dissonance" is a tremendously powerful "self-preservation" mechanism which can completely override the human desire for truth.