Hedge Fund players... nice look at some of the hot shots... http://www.insidermonkey.com/hedge-fund/omega+advisors/49/ Another day another talking head pleading why it is different this time explaining that more Nascrap companies have earnings failing completely to understand that earnings are transitory and that the Fed has created a massive liquidity bubble the likes of which has never been seen that has only benefited equities. Sure it's different this time if the Fed can QE forever, but given the fact that the Fed keeps floating taper trial balloons and those balloons keep getting slapped down, it shows that the Fed is getting scared... damn scared. Well the talking heads will keep preaching it's different, it's not a bubble, stocks have more to go, blah, blah, blah. The talking heads are only interested in sucking in new money so the crooks can sell to a new generation of bag holders at all time record highs. Don't worry though, the talking heads will be shocked, shocked I tell you when the Fed finally blinks and the QE liquidity bubble goes pop taking the massively over leveraged equity market with it. Hmmm. I wonder how much more QE is going to be needed to soak up the Unaffordable Healthcare Act in 2014. I doubt the Fed has the stones to go there. Banker scum will only go so far when it is their arse on the line. Until then, can we get SPX 1900? Why not 2000? It's different this time so I am told. ...CircleM... http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=115622827 Every investment has the potential to be a pet rock. ***(...you can click on..."Hide Intro"...to get to the message board...this page is rather long...) ...or have some fun and scroll down... "It is no measure of health to be well adjusted to a profoundly sick society." Krishnamerti Ball of Confusion Regression to the Mean is the most powerful law in financial physics Mean reversions out of extremes are the most powerful and profitable forces in all the financial markets. Riding one has enormous benefits for your wealth. Financial-market prices and sentiment are like a giant pendulum. The farther they are pulled to one extreme by excessive greed or fear, the farther they necessarily swing to the opposite extreme in the subsequent mean reversion. Like pendulums, these reversions don’t magically stop right in the middle at normal again. Their kinetic momentum carries them through to the opposite ends of their arcs. But overshoot extremes don’t last for long, as the universal greed necessary to fuel them quickly burns itself out. Markets are not about beliefs, but about sentiment. And, if you can track sentiment, If you can measure sentiment... then you are in a position to make your investment account grow without the need for excuses. (...this really is all you need to know about the Markets; ... **********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
Math aptitude will help you become a dealer, make Markets if you dare, excute customer orders, but you won't be able to make $$$ by speculating in the Markets. You can't, you're not smart enough. The Markets aren't predictable enough. 90% of all trading is "technical analysis" which you are too lazy to learn. The other 10% of Market movement comes from rogue waves of economic data shocks, which surprise and wash everyone overboard, destroying the latest chart pattern you were following. Its never been truer: How do you make a small fortune trading the Markets? Start with a large fortune and you might have a chance. You don't want to do this for a living. Get out while you can. ...Chris Rupkey http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=80559436 NOISE...RANDOM...CHAOS...ORDER...STRUCTURE http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=115344915 Buy low Sell high..."relative" to what?
Some RULES for this I-Hub Board............READ THIS...or ... or...
This board will be used for analysis of charts ranging in different time periods to determine signals for trading of various instruments=individual stocks, etf's and options. Please direct your comments towards technical indicators that everyone can see on a price chart: we are talking about signals and technical indicators here, not opinions or predictions or forecasts of when the next grand slam will be... share technical signals and charts with the group and if you have an active position...... Rather than being opinionated and letting your subjective bias determine which side of the market to be on, try to maintain objectivity based on technical analysis. Who is going to pay this out-of-control debt that the out-of-control government leaders of the world and USA are racking up for the younger generation by their out-of-control spending spree? Who cares? Apparently, hardly anyone cares today, because the subject does not attract votes. People want to only hear about what they are going to get, not what they are going to have to pay or sacrifice in order to get it. Raymond Merriman
One of the key items to remember as investors/traders is that the market doesn't always reflect reality. Oftentimes it reflects belief. And belief can prove to be a delusion.
"A belief held without objective examples that everyone can see is a delusion."
“Opinion is that exercise of the human will which 'lets' us make a decision without objective information and objective examples.” And is obviously ....not the best choice that promotes a healthy process.
“Discussion is an exchange of knowledge; an argument an exchange of ignorance.”
Understand the above and you will understand the phrase..."Self will run riot" and you can expect the results of this riot will be destructive for yourself first and then for others.
Dysfunctional attitudes and behaviors = "self will run riot" it is not a process that builds "character". It is not common decency, nor any form of kindness...it can only be destructive.
It is no disgrace to be wrong... disgrace happens when you choose to stay wrong...
Building character is a project you never complete.
We form our character in defining moments because we commit to irreversible courses of action that shape our personal and professional identities. We reveal something new about us to ourselves and others because defining moments uncover something that had been hidden or crystallize something that had been only partially known. And we test ourselves because we discover whether we will live up to our personal ideals or only pay them lip service.
If you feel you must GAMBLE and encourage gambling from the 5 minute or lower time frames you will be asked to take your message to the "gamblers board"...If you feel you "must offer an opinion or off topic comment; please do it after trading hours. Charts and signals at signal lines is what we want...and If you feel you do not need to answer questions on this board ...then why are you here.
I-Hub's rules state: It is the burden of each poster to ensure that their posts do not contain content that qualifies them for removal. It doesn't matter if your post contains the cure to the common cold or the best stock tip since (fill in your favorite ticker here), if it contains other content that is a violation of the site's rules of conduct, then it qualifies for removal. ...
Thank You... Kiy...ki...theMatrix You are only as good as your next trade...Kiy
This release may contain "forward-looking statements" that are within the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements are identified by certain words or phrases such as "may", "will", "aim", "will likely result", "believe", "expect", "will continue", "anticipate", "estimate", "intend", "plan", "contemplate", "seek to", "future", "objective", "goal", "project", "should", "will pursue" and similar expressions or variations of such expressions. ...
http://new.mmacycles.com/ “We have been tempted to believe that society has become too complex to be managed by self-rule, that government by an elite group is superior to government for, by, and of the people… No better symptom exists of the compact breaking apart than the European Central Bank, the U.S. Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan. They epitomize the exhaustion of elite administrative intelligence. For seven years they failed at restoring even average economic strength, disappearing now into a black hole called negative interest rates.” – Daniel Henninger, “Government Hits the Wall,” Wall Street Journal, June 30, 2016. Economic Collapse - Brexit - Euro collapse - America 2016 - Financial Crisis - Noam Chomsky and Yanis Varousfakis ...Yanis Varoufakis is a Greek economist, academic and politician, who served as the Greek Minister of Finance from January to July 2015, when he resigned. Black Swan
"First it is an outlier, as it lies outside the realm of regular expectations, because nothing in the past can convincingly point to its possibility. Second, it carries an extreme impact. Third, in spite of its outlier status, human nature makes us concoct explanations for its occurrence after the fact, making it explainable and predictable." Mohamed A. El-Erian on BREXIT Brexit has accelerated what I have characterized in my recent book as the journey to the neck of a T junction – that is to say, the exhaustion of the current road that the global economy is on, and the possibility of two contrasting transitions. In the event that governments finally step up to the economic policymaking responsibilities and stop relying excessively on central banks, the recent period of low growth and artificial financial stability would evolve into high growth and genuine financial stability. The improvements would be turbo charged by the productive engagement of cash that currently resides on the balance sheets of companies, as well as technical innovations. But if politicians continue to disappoint, low growth would turn into periodic recessions, and artificial financial stability would give way to disruptive instability. The inequality trifecta – that of income, wealth and opportunity – would worsen. Already-alarming youth unemployment would get even more deeply embedded in the structure of the economy. Political tensions would increase, as would the trust deficit in business and political elites, as well as expert opinion. What is key to stress is that there is nothing pre-destined, at least as yet, when it comes to the road out of the T junction. It depends in large part on the political decisions that will be made in the comings months and quarters. If you were forced to opt for just one outcome for Europe what would that be? Having suffered short-term disruptions, both the EU and the UK would have regained their economic and financial footing in three years. The UK would have an association agreement with the EU that allows for the smooth trade in goods and services, and that lowers the risk of tariff wars. The EU would be a somewhat smaller but much more coherent, confident and operational unit. And your biggest fear in the short-term? It would be that de-stabilizing combination of policy mistakes and financial accidents. I'm from Goldman Sachs, and I’m here to help May 3, 2016
There’s uncertainty over the US election, over Brexit, over interest rates, over the strength of the US economy, and over global trade.
Will the Bank of China devalue the yuan? Will the Bank of Japan aggressively target deflation? What will ECB president Mario Draghi do when he fails to hit his 2% inflation target?
Will Austria vote for an anti-immigration president? Will Italy’s prime minister Matteo Renzi get the constitutional reforms for Italy that he seeks? If not, will he resign as promised? What about the rise of euroskeptics in France and Italy?
The recent decline in profits and the weakness in employment numbers have brought back recession fears. But a recession is not in the cards. The reason: Economic expansions do not simply die of old age, points out Deutsche Bank Securities chief economist Peter Hooper. They die for a reason — such as Federal Reserve tightening in response to inflation, the blow up of a bubble caused by overinvestment, or an external shock like a big rise in oil prices.
While there are always wild cards out there like a major terror strike, the typical external shocks that take down economies seem unlikely. It’s doubtful the Fed will aggressively hike rates any time soon. The U.S. shale industry offers a buffer to potential oil price spikes. A sharp China slowdown could be a problem. “But Chinese officials seem to have both a desire to avoid disruptions and the resources to deal with any that do arise,” says Hooper.
...stay defensive, holding intermediate to long Treasuries (TLT, IEF, BIV, BOND, AGG), defensive funds (SPLV, USMV), liquid alternatives (OTCRX, QLENX, QMNIX), and CEF strategies (BXMX).
Low interest rates can be a great tool to get an economy in slow-down mode going again, but there always is an unwanted side effect. If credit becomes too cheap and available for just anyone, there’s bound to be ‘abuse’ in the system, as households (and companies) can spend the borrowed cash on anything they want.
We have already warned you before about the share buybacks on the financial markets, as the increasing profits (per share) are mainly inflated by lower interest expenses and a lower amount of outstanding shares, rather than really seeing a substantial improvement of the business and sector those companies are operating in.
Putin: Romania ‘in crosshairs’ after opening NATO missile defense base
“Many governments, including ours (USA), overtax their citizens to feed their own insatiable need for money. Then the legal thieves running the government and their cronies, unwilling to abide the tax levels they created, move their wealth off shore to places like Panama.” - Daniel Henninger, “Panama Bernie,” Wall Street Journal, April 6, 2016.
“To wit, the story here (about leaks of the Panama Papers) isn’t about tax evaders and offshore accounts, deplorable as they may be. It’s about public polices and incentives that make a career in politics an expedient route to personal enrichment.” Bret Stephens, “ ‘C’ is for Corruption,” Wall Street Journal, April 5, 2016.
“The Competitive Enterprise Institute finds that, last year, Congress passed a mere 114 laws and federal agencies issued a whopping 3410 regulations… A Kauffman Foundation study cites a proliferation of ‘incumbent protection’ rules as a reason for a decline in small business entrepreneurship. A Brookings Institution study shows an unheralded change in American life, business closures exceeded business starts during much of President Obama’s tenure.”
... ...the battle is on 3 fronts = Currency wars are not over... the oil wars are not over....and import/export trade wars are happening...
Tarriffs/Trade Wars. MAY 27 U.S. levies duties on corrosion-resistant steel from five countries Reuters
Trade fight: China calls new U.S. steel import duties unfair USA TODAY
U.S. panel launches trade secret theft probe into China steel Reuters
U.S. ITC votes to continue probe of imports of certain carbon, steel plates Reuters
China accuses U.S. of 'unfair methods' in steel dumping probe Reuters
The U.S. Department of Commerce ("DOC") has made its final decision on anti-dumping investigations on imports of corrosion-resistant steel and concluded that China, India, Italy, South Korea and Taiwan are selling these products in the U.S. market below their fair values and therefore, are subject to anti-dumping duties. The ruling marks yet another major step in stemming the torrent of unfairly-traded foreign imports. 03/02/2016 Department of Commerce imposed tariffs of up to 266% on cold-rolled steel imports. The U.S. government announced preliminary anti-dumping duties of 266% for China, 71% for Japan, 39% for Brazil, between 6% and 31% for the U.K., between 13% and 17% for Russia, 7% for India and between 2% and 7% for South Korea.
Negative Interest Rates
Color Codes. This is based on the CCI 20 direction...Stock symbols color codes if "letters" are colored =Green =UP...Red=down...lighter colors = less confident in direction...
...if numbers/leters/symbols are Boxed=Green =oversold..Red=overbought...§=Reverse of a Signal line(usually the CCI centerline)... ¥= first stock to turn UP after the Group/Sector has been oversold.
ETF CandleGlance XLE,XLB, XLI,XLY,XLP,XPH,XLF,XLK,IYZ,XHB,XLRE,XRT http://www.sectorspdr.com/sectorspdr/tools/sector-tracker ... http://www.barchart.com/etf/vleaders.php
XLF CandleGlance BRK.B,JPM,WFC,BAC,C,SPG,USB,CB,AIG,GS,
§XLE CandleGlance XOM,CVX,SLB,PXD,EOG,OXY,COP,HAL,PSX,KMI, *XOP...CandleGlance ...MRO,CLR,NFX,MUR,RICE,MPC,XOM,EGN,HES,XEC
§XLI industrial........ GE,MMM,HON,UTX,BA,UNP,UPS,LMT,DHR,CAT
§XLY AMZN,HD,DIS,CMCSA,MCD,SBUX,NKE,LOW,PCLN,TWC XLP Consumer Staples PG,KO,PM,CVS,MO,WMT,PEP,WBA,COST,CL
XRT Retail CandleGlance OUTR,A,ZN,MIK,PLCE,ODP,GPI,ULTA,PSMT.CAB,GME
§XLK CandleGlance AAPL,MSFT,FB,T,GOOGL,GOOG,VZ,V,INTC,CSCO
§ROBO CandleGlance ...Global Robotics&Automation...KYCCF,CYBQF,YASKF,CGNX,ISRG,OMRNF,FARO,DAIUF,NCTKF
**HACK CYBER Security... SYMC,IMPV,CYBR,FEYE,TMICF,PFPT,SAIC,BLOX,AVG,CSCO
SMH CandleGlance Semiconductor ...AMD,MVDA,CY,IDTI,IPHI,MPWR,MU,MXIM,TXN,LLTC
SKYY CandleGlance Cloud Computing ...AKAM,ORCL,EQIX,NTAP,AMZN,CSCO,OTEX.TO,EMC,JNPR,FB
IYZ Telecom... T,VZ,S,CTL,SBAC,TMUS,LVLT,FTR,TDS,SHEN
PXQ Networking... VM QCOM,CA, CSCO,CTXS,AAPL,APH,GIMA,LOGM
ICLN Global Clean Energy...CLPXF,OEZVF,CVA,CHFFF,VWSYF,
GEX Global Alt Energy ...VWSYF,ETN,TSLA,FSLR,CLPXF,ENS,NDRBF,KTWIF,CREE
XHB Home Builders RH,FBHS,WHR,LOW,MAS,HD,MHK,DHI,TPX,OC XLRE Real Estate CandleGlance SPG,AMT,PSA,CCI,WY,EQR,PLD,AVB,EQIX,HCN
XLV Healthcare ....JNJ,PFE,MRK,UNH,BMY,MDT,AMGN,GILD,ABBV,AGN
XPH... CandleGlance Pharmaceuticals...LLY,JNJ,MNK,MRK,BMY,ZTS,PFE,MYL,AGN,ENDP
§XHS... CandleGlance Healthcare Services MD,DGX,CNC,DPLO,WOOF,ABC,CHE,WCG,SCAI,DVA
XHE...CandleGlance Healthcare Equipment HTWR,DXCM,ABMD,RMD,COO,ICUI,SYK,IDXX,BCR,IART
XBI...CandleGlance Biotech...TSRO,IONS,ABBV,ALKS,MDVN,IMCY,GILD,AMGN,BIIB,XON ...(IBB...
§XTN...CandleGlance Transportation... LSTR,HRI,UPS,ALGT,CHRW,KSU,UHAL,MIC,NSC,ODFL
XAR... CandleGlance Aerospace and Defense ...LMT,HII,NOC,TGD,UTX,LLL,HON,RTN,BA,GD
XLU...CandleGlance Utilities ..NEE,DUK,SO,D,AEP,EXC,PCG,SRE,PPL,EIX TAN...CandleGlance FSLR,SCTY,GCPEF,TERP,TSL,SPWR,CAFD,ABY
URA Uranium ...DUK,SO,D,PCG,EXC,PEG,XEL,AEE,MHVYF,KEP LIT CandleGlance ...FMC,SQM,OROCF,ALB,GALXF,SGPEF,JCI,BYDDF,TSLA
XLB... Materials ...DD,DOW,MON,PX,ECL,PPG,SHW,APD,NEM,LYB XME... CandleGlance ...CDE,CNX,SWC,HL,CLF,RGLD,NEM,FCX,WOR,SCHN
SLX... CandleGlance ...RIO,VALE,TS,NUE,PKY,MT,SID,WOR,VEDL,GGB JJU Aluminum CandleGlance ...AA,ACH,CENX,KALU
COPX Global Copper ...TCK,HBM,FQVLF,TRQ,IPMLF,CSFFF,FCX,OZMLF,VDNRF
0 Oversold... 19 UP... 8 Overbought .. 8 Down... last update 09/27
1 Oversold... 11 UP... 6 Overbought ..15 Down... last update 09/27
1 Oversold... 10 UP... 5 Overbought ..18 Down... last update 09/26
0 Oversold... 13 UP... 13 Overbought .. 6 Down... last update 09/22
0 Oversold... 20 UP... 14 Overbought .. 0 Down... last update 09/22
2 Oversold... 23 UP... 8 Overbought .. 1 Down... last update 09/21
7 Oversold... 23 UP... 3 Overbought .. 1 Down... last update 09/20
7 Oversold... 23 UP... 3 Overbought .. 0 Down... last update 09/19
15 Oversold... 13 UP... 2 Overbought .. 3 Down... last update 09/16
15 Oversold... 13 UP... 2 Overbought .. 4 Down... last update 09/15
25 Oversold... 4 UP... 1 Overbought .. 4 Down... last update 09/14
24 Oversold... 2 UP... 0 Overbought .. 8 Down... last update 09/13
17 Oversold... 5 UP... 1 Overbought ..11 Down... last update 09/12
16 Oversold... 3 UP... 2 Overbought ..14 Down... last update 09/09
2 Oversold... 16 UP... 14 Overbought ... 7 Down... last update 09/08
0 Oversold... 16 UP... 14 Overbought ... 4 Down... last update 09/07
3 Oversold... 16 UP... 9 Overbought ... 2 Down... last update 09/02
13 Oversold... 3 UP... 2 Overbought ...13 Down... last update 09/01
14 Oversold... 2 UP... 3 Overbought ...12 Down... last update 08/31
10 Oversold... 3 UP... 4 Overbought ...13 Down... last update 08/30
9 Oversold... 4 UP... 4 Overbought ...15 Down... last update 08/29
SIL...Silver Miners AG,CDE,EXK,FSM,GPL,HL,MGN,MVG,PAAS,SLW,SSRI
GDX Gold Miners ABX,NEM,GG,FNV.TO,AEM,NCMGF.AX,KGC,GOLD,SLW,AU
§GDXJ...Junior Gold Mines BTG.TO,AGI,AG,PAAS,CELTF.L,HL,NG.TO,OKSKF.TO,IAG,TORXF.TO
VEGI .....PAGG ...JJA... GRU
WEAT... Wheat ...§*CORN
JO coffee... SGG sugar
...Screening Criteria: Price > $5; Est 1 Yr EPS Growth > 25%; Est 5 Yr EPS Growth > 25%; Avg Analyst Rec > Buy
*** http://x-fin.com/ ... intrinsic value of a stock index on a stand-alone basis should not be used for investment decisions: what is important is relative valuation of one index versus the other, as it allows identification of over- or undervalued sectors and national markets. We've just introduced an entirely new metric for identification of market overbought and oversold conditions - the stock market validation index. It is a unique measure of the market, as it is based on intrinsic value of stocks and has nothing to do with technical analysis. Even though we are confident of the capacity of the validation index to predict stock market movements also over the short-term horizon, we do not have yet enough statistical data to prove it. So, we would recommend to use its indications with caution.
***http://www.tradingeconomics.com/japan/stock-market http://technical-analysis.forexlive.com/ http://www.thelion.com/
... ( http://www.thelion.com/bin/forum.cgi?cmd=most_searched
) http://www.chinadaily.com.cn/bizchina/index.html http://www.highshortinterest.com/ http://www.miningmx.com/ http://biohealthinvestor.com/ http://www.biomedreports.com/ http://www.biospace.com/ https://www.clinicaltrials.gov/ Leveraged S&P ETFs: Beware Of Volatility http://www.barchart.com/cheatsheet.php?sym=USO
MONEY...!!!...first the National Anthem by Pink Floyd ...
https://a-valtsev.whotrades.com/ ...about option trading... TimeFrames 10 min
Maybe its as simple as you'd like to make it...simple game of Chess.
I've Seen All Good People
Red Queen Killer Queen
TimeFrame Charts ...I'm tracking the intraday charts below about every hour...so if the date below 'Swing Trading" has today's date; I'm tracking the turns and what chart you should be focused on.
1. I've color coded the timeframes Commodity Channel Index CCI= Green=UP ...Blue =Centerline action... Red =down... ...if numbers/leters/symbols are Boxed=Green =oversold..Red=overbought...§=Reverse of a Signal line(usually the CCI centerline...§=reversal of CCI signal line... +100...centerline...-100 line)
September 28... Swing Traders...Focus on CCI Commodity Channel Index 10...15...30...60 minute charts... then daily Bias and weekly= TimeFrames.
60Minute CCI 20 BIAS is UP OVERBOUGHT ...60 minute chart can act as a proxy for the daily chart...best trades are when both 60 minute and daily bias are working together.
Daily CCI 20 Bias is UP 09/28.. reverse UP at centerline.....always trade in the direction of the daily bias... any index or ETF... this should be carved in stone...
Daily Trend is down change suggested since SEPT. 21th...The Trend is your Friend....
Weekly chart CCI 10 Bias is UP 09/21...It is always nice when both the Weekly and Daily bias are working together=pointing in the same direction...but, remember the daily chart is the driver.
CCI -104....when CCI 20 crosses CCI centerline on this 10 minute chart= you step UP to the signals on the 15 minute chart...
10AM CCI 145 ...2161.77
2:30 CCI 263 ....2168.10 4PM CCI 106 ...2171.37
15minute... ... ...there are three 15 minute charts here; then the 30minute...
WHEN 15 minute CCI crosses centerline you step UP to the 30 minute chart signals...and you become exclusive 30minute signals... 10AM CCI 154
2:30 CCI 201
4PM CCI 125
15 minute $TICK
30 minute chart...This is swing trading (not day trading) the intraday cycle...aka...30 minute exclusive trading is 10minute CCI cross centerline=you step over to use the 15minute chart signals...15 minute CCI cross centerline the 30 minute chart becomes exclusive = 30 minute CCI signals= will keep you in the cycle/trade longer and not let 10 or 15 minute chart signals take you out of a trade. The 60minute chart's role is as proxy for the daily chart; intraday 60minute CCI tends to be a laggard so all you want to see is 60minue turning in oversold or overbought to say the intraday cycle is ending and at the same time you will see 30 minute will be ready to signal a change in direction or has already signaled at the +/- 100 CCI signal line. (...and if anyone is wondering; the 5minute chart is a cycle unto itself...with many major YoYo/false signals....plus the daily and weekly charts also have their own cycle...)
30 Minute 10AM CCI 102
2:30 CCI 207 4PM CCI 192
60 MINUTE 10AM CCI 60
2:30 CCI 162 4PM CCI 188
http://www.investing.com/indices/major-indices https://online.capitalcube.com/#!/etf/us/nyse-arca/uvxy "Bull markets are born on pessimism, rise on skepticism, mature on optimism and die on euphoria." -- Sir John Templeton http://economistsview.typepad.com/economistsview/2015/09/links-for-09-17-15.html
60minute Daily Chart §10AM CCI 21 ...2161.63
2:30 CCI 24 ...2168.03
4PM CCI 33 .....2171.37 Weekly CCI 10 Bias is UP
Always trade with the direction of the daily CCI
Swing trades intraday to a couple of days. Always trade in the direction of the daily even for short term trades...if you really feel you must trade against the daily bias...you need a hair trigger...get out quick if the position moves against you. The Average True Range for SPX usually runs around 15 points. This range inceases as volatility increases
Remember...What you're looking at on an intraday charts is a daily candle or OHLC price bars "uncompressed" from the daily chart. Kind of a "micro" view of the Macro daily chart...and daily would be a micro view of the weekly chart...
Front Running a Daily chart signal. Rather than only trade the intraday cycle you can use the intraday charts to front run a daily cycle signal. When the Daily CCI is ready to move out of oversold or overbought... your goal eventually is to catch a trade from intraday that carries over onto the daily chart. It just takes some practice and patience becoming comfortable with the 3 CCI cycles Intraday/Daily/Weekly and as they sometimes line up together... synchronized and the big trade is allllll yours.
There is a "Method to the Madness of Crowds" and you can find it and define it on the charts...Technical Charting takes away some of the fear/doubt in trading... and then all you need is patience while waiting for the chart to tell you when the momentum/sentiment turns...Kiy...
Rising interest rate have two effects that tend to make gold and silver not as attractive.
1. ... rising rates boost the yields on bonds, CDs, and a number of interest-bearing assets. physical gold and silver don't pay a dividend. As lending rates rise, the opportunity cost of owning physical gold and silver rises. If rates continue to remain low, then investors aren't giving up much to instead buy into the shiny yellow and silver metals, as well as their miners.
2. ... rising lending rates have the effect of pushing the U.S. dollar higher, and the dollar and gold tend to have an inverse relationship.
10 Year Yield chart...yield down value of the 10yr Note is UP...yield UP value of the Note is DOWN Intraday sideVolume and Tracking CandleGlance Growth Stocks ACET chemical/pharmaceuticls(T/$30), ADP business software.services(T/$100), ADS business services(T$225), AEO apparel stores(T$18-22), AGX(T/$56) construction power generation/renewable energy and telecom infrastructure, AHS healthcare staffing services(T/$50), AKRX pharma/generic drugs(T/$34-39),BGSprocessed and packaged goods(T$52),CBM biotech (T$60),CNC healthcare plans for under insured(T$75-82), CNNX oil/gas pipeline/refining(T/$21, CRTOinternet services/information(T$/55), DHI residential construction(T$38), GSB software cloud based(T/?), GTT cloud networking services(T/?), HCKT management services(T/?), HLShealthcare rehabilitive treatment(T/$40-45), HQCLsolar cells/modules(T/?), IDT telcom and consumer phones(T/?), INCR biopharma and medical device(T/$50), IQNT telecom services (T/$24), IRMDmedical equipment(T/?), LOPE education (T/$53), NLS consumer fitness products (T/26), NVEE engineering services (T/$36), PLPM payment processing(T/$6.20), SCAI home health care (T/?), SCMP biopharma(T/$13-17), SEDG solar(T/$25-28), SIMO mobile storage and communication(T/$60-67), SKX footware(t/$27), SWHC guns(T/$36), TMHhealth care staffing(T/$38), USCR cement mix(T/$75), USDP railroad oil service(T/$18), WAB railroad air breaks(T/$90-100), WBMD web doctor(T/$63), YRD peer to peer loans China(T/35), ZDGE smartphone application (T/?)
Income Stocks AEO, ARKR, ASR, BLD, CALM, CBD, CCU, CGA, CNNX, DRD, ENIC, ERIC, FRED, FTEO, GSH, HIHO, HSII, IBA, IIJI, INFY, IQNT, KIRK, LPL, MIXT, NTES, NTL, NVO, PZE, QIWI, RAIL, RDY, RFIL, TEO, TSM, WIT, WWE
IYM...Basic Materials .... DD...FCX...DOW...PX...MEN...LYB...PPG...APD...IP...MOS...*GSM Accumulation/Distribution CandleGlance: GLD, GDX, SLV, SIL, XME, *SLX, ¥ JJU, URA, ¥*COPX, REMX ................... 6/2016...SPDR Metals & Mining ETF (XME) , which includes a 50.5% weight in steel industry. The broader Materials Select Sector SPDR (XLB) has a 11.9% positions in metals and mining. XME CandleGlance ......RGLD...CMP... TAHO... NEM...NUE...FCX XME Metals and Mining Timeframes
ETF Sectors Color code on the "daily" charts such as XLE...XLF...XLK...GLD...et al.
Stock symbol color codes..if "letters" are colored =CCI direction =Green =UP...Red=down....lighter colors = less confident in direction ....if symbols are Boxed=Green =oversold ...Red=overbought..(buy low/sell high...oversold you should consider buying...).§= a reversal of CCI Signal Line ( example §VVV)= CCI reversed back above +100 CCI line= letters are box in red= overbought and letters are green= some buying is happening as long as CCI remains above CCI +100).
CandleGlance: USO, *XLE,*XOP, XES, UGA, KOL ...Accumulation/Distribution
$WTIC...CCI 38...CCI -7...CCI -38...CCI -72...CCI -121...CCI -118...CCI -134...CCI -86...CCI -87...CCI -15...CCI 46...CCI -12...CCI 27...CCI -9...09/27
Volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk about the size of changes in a security's value. A higher volatility means that a security's value can potentially be spread out over a larger range of values. This means that the price of the security can change dramatically over a short time period in either direction. A lower volatility means that a security's value does not fluctuate dramatically, but changes in value at a steady pace over a period of time.
Oil volatility index...
The Best Energy ETFs
USO...CCI -63...CCI -42...CCI 30...CCI -21..CCI .-45...CCI -77...CCI -117...CCI -112...CCI -128...CCI -105...CCI -105...CCI -28...CCI 24....CCI -34...CCI 12...CCI -58...09/27
USO and UCO TimeFrames BRENT...BNO ... SCO short ...UCO
Bearx3 ERY... ...XLE...Energy...TimeFrames ... BPENER
XLE...CCI -19...§CCI 70...CCI 209...CCI 70...CCI 42...CCI -117...CCI -176...CCI -124...CCI -148...CCI -106...CCI -124...CCI -47...CCI 8...CCI -58...CCI -77...CCI -129...09/27
XOP...Oil and Nat.Gas Explor/Production XOP CandleGlance
XES...Oil and Gas Equip/Service XES CandleGlance NLR...CandleGlance Uranium... Global X Uranium ETF ........... *CCJ ...URG ...UEC ...DNN ... URRE... FCUUF ...Fission Uranium... NXGEF...NexGen Energy high grade uranium... Uranium Energy Corp.(UEC) is one of the lowest-cost producers of uranium in the United States. UEC's specialty is in-situ recovery (ISR), the most cost-efficient and environmentally friendly method of extracting uranium.
KOL...Coal...TimeFrames ... KOL CandleGlance
Thorium ...storage of spent rods is still an issue same as with uranium
Uranium Bull Market
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- LITHIUM LIT... LITHIUM ...CCI -51...CCI -120..CCI -182...CCI -150...CCI -70...CCI -50...CCI -38...CCI -77...CCI -14...CCI 10...CCI -73...CCI -88...CCI -62...09/27
LIT CandleGlance... *****SQM...SQM is forcefully exerting its dominant position as the lowest cost, highest margin incumbent lithium producer with aggressive growth plans in Argentina(09/05/16). FMC...**ALB (T/$94)... AMLM ()....*****LIXXF ()...*****LACDF (T/$1.30)Lithium ;Kings Valley Project located in northwestern Nevada... ***NMKEF ... ******GALXF...***¥LIEG... SNET rare earths and lithium... CRE.V Critical Elements lithium and rare earths Quebec...*****ORRP () Lithium mine/Nevada... *****OROCF Orocobre... NMX.TO... ... (SSMLF Nevada Energy Metals ......( ... (BCN.V) (BCRMF Bacanora ***. ***NEV.V The three largest lithium producers are the Chile-based Sociedad Quimica y Minera (SQM), American FMC Lithium (FMC), which controls the ominously-named Hombre Muerte mine in Argentina, and Albermarle (ALB). 3 companies produce 90% of the world’s lithium with SQM controlling one third of all the world’s lithium reserves. Lithium/EV/Battery **PCRFY PCRFY. Panasonic Corporation...*KNDI electric vehicle China...GELYF Geely Holding Co... BYDDF Electric vehicle China
Nevada Sunrise Gold ... http://www.nevadasunrise.ca/projects/nevadalithium/ LTUM
Lithium Corp Nevada DJIFF... Dajin Resources (DJIFF) are a minnow now in the lithium space, but their extensive holdings in the lithium triangle are truly astounding. They have some nice Nevada properties as well. TANH ... ROCEF Lithium X..
*****ALTAF()(T/$0.30) Altura Mining Australia()... RRSSF Neometals (BCRMF() Bacanora Minerals ?
*ULBI lithium battery (6.25) (CBAK-US, OGES-US, UPGI-US, EPC-US and HRG-US)...CCGI electric v ehicle (EV) charging stations ...ENS EnerSys *HPJ lithium,and nickel metal hydride rechargeable batteries... ...OGES lithium ion large format prismatic cells; small format prismatic cells; and battery modules.
OTHER/Related... RDRUY Neometals...LGEAF Korean Battery... FT.TO Fortune Minerals... LUN.TO Lundin Mining... Energy Storage companies - A new and developing area, so not easy to pick the winners here. Certainly the major battery manufacturers and lithium miners discussed above can benefit. Numerous others to choose from include... Enphase (NASDAQ:ENPH (T/$1.50) recent Sept. 23, 2016 secondary stock offering=dilution microinverter systems for residential and commercial markets in the United States and internationally. The company's semiconductor-based microinverter system converts direct current electricity to alternating current (AC) electricity at the individual solar module level. It also offers energy storage systems, including its AC battery; and system monitoring and control services.
Advanced Microgrid Solutions (private), Fronius (private), Imergy (private), Redflow (ASX:RFX), AES Corp. (NYSE:AES), NEC (OTC:NIPNF), Sharp (OTCPK:SHCAY), Younicos (private, interest held by First Solar), Southern California Edison (SCE), General Electric (NYSE:GE), EnerSys (NYSE:ENS), Johnson Controls (NYSE:JCI), Sony (NYSE:SNE), Sonnen (private) and Origin Energy (NASDAQ:ORG). Electrovaya (EFL.TO) could well be the little company that could. developer and manufacturer of portable Lithium-ion battery power solutions for the automotive, power grid, medical and mobile device sectors. The company is based in Mississauga, Ontario, Canada TARGETS
...Cormark Securities Inc. - Alec Meikle
Based on the above table comparing the major lithium triangle brine projects, we can see that of the listed pure lithium miners, Lithium Americas has the largest total resource/reserve size of 11.849m tonnes, followed by Orocobre (OTCPK:OROCF) (ASX:ORE) with 9.794m tonnes, and Galaxy Resources (OTCPK:GALXF)(ASX:GXY) with 8.373m tonnes of lithium carbonate equivalent (LCE). Of the listed pure plays Li3 Energy (OTCQB:LIEG) has the highest grade but a small deposit size at only 633,000 tonnes. Lithium Spodumene mines
Talison's Greenbushes (51% owned by China's Chengdu Tianqi, 49% by Albermarle) is the largest global lithium spodumene mine and has the highest grade, followed clearly by Pilbara Minerals (ASX:PLS). After a large gap comes Nemaska Lithium (OTCQX:NMKEF
), Altura Mining (OTC:ALTAF
) (ASX:AJM), NeoMetals (), and Galaxy Resources.
In terms of clay resources the Bacanora (OTC:BCRMF
) (TSXV:BCN) Sonora project is said to be the largest. However, some experts have concerns regarding extracting lithium economically from clay. Year producing.
2016 - Orocobre, Mineral Resources(OROCF), Galaxy Resources(GALXF), Neometals
2017 - Should see Altura Mining and Pilbara Minerals (late 2017 or early 2018) entering production.
2018 - Should see Nemaska lithium entering production.
2019 - Should see Lithium Americas entering production.
2020 - Should see Bacanora Minerals and Lithium X (ROCEF) entering production.
Cost of production.
It is generally well accepted that lithium brine projects production costs are significantly lower than spodumene or clay deposits. Having said that, spodumene and clay projects are quicker to bring to market with lower CapEx.
Lithium brine requires evaporating and processing to get to the lithium carbonate, which then contains about 18 per cent of metallic lithium. Whereas spodumene hard rock contains about 6% lithium, so is a more concentrated source of lithium ore, but more expensive to process as the rock requires crushing.
The clay and spodumene generally have higher costs of production as you can see with Galaxy's spodumene project (right side of graph below). Off course this may soon change with newer lithium extraction technologies. POSCO, Lithium Australia and Nemaska Lithium are leaders in this area. This may be just the beginning of a huge 20-year bull run for the lithium miners. A comparison would be buying the oil companies just around the time Ford (NYSE:F) started to mass produce cars. Of course, there are a lot more cars today, so the potential is even bigger.
- Goldman Sachs - "Growth in EV applications alone could triple the size of the entire lithium market from 160,000 mt today to 470,000 mt by 2025. That is based on 22% EV penetration (BEV, PHEV and HEV combined) in 2025 from under 3% today."
Deutsche Bank in its "Lithium-ion age" stated, "Global battery consumption is set to increase 5x over the next 10 years, placing pressure on the battery supply chain and lithium market. We expect global lithium demand will increase from 181kt Lithium Carbonate Equivalent (LCE) in 2015 to 535kt LCE by 2025." ...........................
EV Lithium-ion battery costs have already dropped by over 65% since 2010. In early 2016, GM (NYSE:GM) said its cells cost $145 per kilowatt-hour, and Tesla indicated it's battery pack costs were close to $200/kWhr. By 2020, they could be at the $150 mark. This means even now (2016) a 60kWh battery pack for a GM Bolt or Tesla Model 3 will cost around $12,000, and by 2020 just $9,000 or less.
The high price to be solved very soon - BYD's [1211:HK] (OTCPK:BYDDF) (OTCPK:BYDDY) hybrid Qin sells now for around $30,000, GM's all electric Bolt will cost $37,500 when released later in 2016, and Tesla's Model S will be $35,000 when released late 2017. All of these prices are typically reduced to below $30,000 after subsidies. So by 2018, there will be at least 3 different EVs available that are priced similar to the average US car price.
Lithium is the lightest known metal. Its consumption in the form of non-metallic products like lithium carbonate, chloride and hydroxide are core to a number of end markets such as batteries, ceramics, glass and industrial grease. Over the last three years, lithium has come to the attention of the mainstream media and financial institutions owing to its critical role in the manufacturing of lithium-ion batteries for consumer electronics and electric automobiles.
The vast majority of brine lithium is sourced from desserts – which boast not only lithium reserves, but also have the optimum natural evaporation conditions to process it. Major production occurs in the deserts of Nevada, Chile and Australia.
Battery applications are expected to be the growth driver for lithium in the foreseeable future. Electric vehicle developments will head this growth, underpinned by the consumption of portable electronics like tablets and power tools – the vast majority of which use lithium-ion technology.
Ceramics and glass demand will continue to require concentrates – especially in Asia, where the industry is seeing rapid growth. Industrial applications like grease, aluminum and continuous castings will continue to demand increasing amounts of lithium. http://www.energyandcapital.com/articles/lithium-the-opec-killer/5341 *******March 2016
...In the next five years, the world is going to have to increase annual lithium output from about 32,500 metric tonnes today to 100,000 in just five years.
Everyone will be driving Tesla's Model S electric car... or maybe a Chevy Bolt or a Ford Focus. These electric cars will be so cheap that they will be affordable for nearly everyone.
The big money is piling in as we speak. Vanguard has $221.2 million invested already. Fidelity is in with a $183.3 million stake. Janus Capital has dumped $188.7 million in the Metal Oil revolution.
Don't think this is some coincidence. It's been in the making for some time. By the time small investors wake up, it will be too late.
If the current volatility in the price of oil is any indication... it means we're gearing up for a major energy transition. This energy transition will be the reason for a staggering amount of wealth as Lithiuml becomes mainstream. A small stake could multiply several times over — sometimes overnight — enough to fund your retirement. It doesn't matter who likes it. It is happening, and you better get some green from this while you can. By my count, just a small, $5,000 stake could explode into a $40,000 payday. Heck, $10,000 could catapult to $80,000 in less than 12 months. That's an 800% surge based on what has happened in the past... Enough money to help you start a new retirement fund and make sure you never work another day. It's the golden goose and Aladdin's lamp all rolled in one....(just a little hype...no harm...)
Because while the U.S. pats itself on the back for the riches flowing from fracking wells, an upheaval in clean energy is quietly loosening Big Oil's grip on the automotive industry, according to Bloomberg.
In a nutshell, Tesla Motors offered the proprietary technology at the heart of its Model S electric car to any company that wants to build electric cars. Elon Musk opened his cookbook and let everyone else follow his revolutionary electric car recipe. And by the time he was done, he had all major automakers on board. BMW and Nissan shook hands on the deal and, in return, offered to throw some of their patents into the mix to push the electric car agenda forward. There was once a wall of Tesla patents in the lobby of the company's Palo Alto headquarters. They have since been removed in the spirit of the open source movement for the advancement of electric vehicle technology. The price of these sleek electric hybrids will drop from $70,000 to an affordable $25,000. Gasoline-driven SUVs and cars will be pushed out of the parking lots and driveways across America. No more messy gasoline pumps. No more dirty engine servicing. And most importantly, no more fossil fuels contributing to climate change. As the government puts it, we just cannot continue to use fossil fuels forever. Now, regardless of how you feel about climate change, the reality is that the world is mobilizing to cut its CO2 emissions. Transportation eats about 70% of all the petroleum we use, at the same time creating a staggering amount of carbon emissions contributing to climate change. China, desperate for clean skies, plans to spend $1.5 billion annually over the next 10 years to build infrastructure such as charging stations for lithium-powered electric cars. Lithium is the lightest of all metals. It has the greatest electrochemical potential and provides the highest specific energy per weight. And there's more demand for it right now than at any other time in history simply because of the adoption of electric vehicles as our new choice of transportation.
SHENZHEN, China, April 12, 2016 /PRNewswire/ -- Highpower International, Inc. ("Highpower International" or "the Company") (HPJ), a developer, manufacturer, and marketer of lithium and nickel-metal hydride (Ni-MH) rechargeable batteries, and a battery management systems and battery recycling provider, today announced that the Company recently began to receive orders, and started shipping lithium polymer batteries to DJI, a globally recognized manufacturer of commercial and recreational unmanned aerial vehicles, or drones.
Highpower International has received DJI's supplier qualification approval and began to provide lithium polymer batteries for its drones. The Company has provided its batteries for use in DJI's Phantom 3 and Phantom 4 drone products and Highpower expects to develop its relationship with DJI further continuously.
Mr. George Pan, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer of Highpower International, stated, "We are pleased to have passed DJI's requirements as a product manufacturer and supplier, which we feel is a strong verification of both our flexibility and capability to cover a wider spectrum of products at a global reach. We have worked with the leaders in innovative and developing technologies, including the expansion of drone technology for recreational use and commercial enterprises. Working with DJI is a significant milestone in Highpower's lithium battery business development and represents a new and exciting segment. As a world-leading drone brand, DJI is famous for its cutting-edge technology and rigorous requirements for its products and suppliers. Considering Highpower's comparative lithium battery advantages and DJI's high-end technologies, we feel that this is a mutually beneficial relationship that could grow over time."
DJI is a leading manufacturer of commercial and recreational unmanned aerial vehicles for aerial photography and videography. Headquartered in Shenzhen, widely considered China's Silicon Valley, DJI benefits from direct access to the suppliers, raw materials, and young, creative talent pool necessary for sustained success. Drawing on these resources, the company has grown from a single small office in 2006 to a global workforce of over 3,000.
- Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) calls "lithium the new gasoline." They forecast 22% electric vehicle (EV) penetration by 2025, and "lithium demand for all EV applications could grow more than 11x by 2025.
Macquarie Bank says "lithium is the new wonder resource in the mining sector," and that "demand is expected to systemically outstrip supply in a few years, driven by an estimated 31% CAGR of EVs to 2021."
Over the next two years, 25 new makes and models of electric cars are expected to be released. BYD and Tesla currently lead global sales.
Ford (NYSE:F) is spending USD 4.5b to add 13 new EV models to electrify40% of its vehicle line up by 2020. General Motors (NYSE:GM) has the Bolt coming, Nissan (OTCPK:NSANY) has the Leaf, Toyota (NYSE:TM) the Prius, Mitsubishi (OTCPK:MSBHY) the Highlander, and VW (OTCPK:VLKAY)(Audi/Porsche), BMW (BAMXY:OTC), Renault (OTC:RNSDF), are all moving fast toward EVs.
The Economist magazine recently called lithium "the world's hottest commodity."
Tesla's Elon Musk also recently announced that Tesla "could triple the total planned battery output of the Gigafactory to ~105 GWh of cells and ~150 GWh of battery packs - or over 3 times the current total lithium-ion battery production worldwide." He also stated around half of this capacity would be needed to cater to the growing energy storage business.
Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) is working on a secret project called Project Titan, to build an electric car. Musk believes Apple will have a car in the market by 2020.
Energy storage using lithium-ion batteries requires larger volumes of lithium especially for the utility sized 100kWh plus powerpacks. This can be another enormous driver of lithium demand.
Electric Vehicle Obsession https://twitter.com/evobsession
\ March 6, 2016 Taiyou Research surmise that 'the global market for lithium ion batteries is a fast growing one and is expected to cross $30 billion by 2020'. At present, lithium ion batteries are mostly found in consumer electronic devices, but with the advent of cells of greater capacity and power in large-format applications, their use in EVs and storage applications is increasing. Both capacity and power are important factors in batteries and, depending on the application, one takes precedence to the other. The Birth Of The Lithium-Based Economy http://etfdb.com/index/solactive-global-lithium-index/ 6 types of Lithium Batteries SOLAR
07/01/2015 According to the International Renewable Energy Agency (IREA), the amount of global energy generated from PV is expected to grow from 2% in 2016 to 13% in 2030, over six times higher. The expansion of the solar industry is guided by cost reductions, including expected reductions of about 60% over the course of the next decade.
Having accounted for 20% of new power generation capacity in 2015, PV is becoming cheaper, more prominent, and an increasingly logical alternative to fossil fuels. Let’s take a look at why solar power matters and how it will have an impact sooner than you may think. Now more than ever, there is a clear and present need for a transition to clean energy. The demand is there, and we are beginning to see a response. The basic principles of supply and demand indicate that an advance in technology will result in an increase in supply, and decrease prices in the process.
The market was quick to react to the proposed Tesla TSLA and SolarCity SCTY merger, which was first announced on June 21st. As our team reported, TSLA dropped more than 11% after hours and has yet to rebound.
However, when taking into account the massive potential in solar energy, it’s a good idea to take a step back and look at this deal under a different lens. Tesla CEO Elon musk stated that he wishes to create the “world’s only vertically integrated company offering end-to-end clean energy products to our customers.”
Musk’s vision involves consumers using their electric cars, home batteries and solar panels in complete synergy. As Vox points out, much of the doubt from the market stems from the fact that this is uncharted territory.
SolarCity aims to create micro grids that allow homes to link together and share power and energy services, all with the help of Tesla’s lithium ion batteries. These batteries are able to store and discharge energy, as well as form a grid-like service with other batteries.
Many signs point to a positive outlook on the future of solar energy. Oxford University researchers had an even more optimistic view than the IREA, estimating that PV’s share of global energy could reach as high as 20% by 2027. Businesses around the world are building power plants, increasing output and making more and more use of PV.
On Monday, a group led by Masdar, the renewable energy firm based in the United Arab Emirates, won the bidding to build a solar-power plant in Dubai. This plant is significant because it plans to generate electricity at 2.99 cents per kWh, which would set a benchmark for the cheapest PV-generated electricity thus far.
A study by the Frankfurt school indicates that developing countries have increased investment in renewable energy by 6% from 2014 to 2015, with China, India, and Brazil specifically increasing investments by 16% to $120.2B. South Africa, Mexico, and Chile are new players in the market, significantly boosting their investments as well. Growing economies are allocating more resources towards renewable energy and PV in specific, and for good reason.
Of the investment growth in renewable energy, PV takes the throne with growth of 12% compared to second place wind’s growth of 4%, a clear margin. For all intents and purposes, solar energy’s future is bright, pun intended.
How to Play
Solar energy is a comparatively young enterprise. The first solar cells were available for sale in 1956, and plenty has changed since then. From their advent to today, costs have consistently decreased and the technology has continuously improved. There is no reason to believe that PV’s growth trend will cease, meaning that it should not be counted out moving forward.
For these reasons, investors should definitely consider Hanwha Q Cells Co. HQCL and Renesola Ltd. SOL which both currently sit at a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy). Both have received upward earnings estimate revisions for Q1 as well as this fiscal year, and are worth looking into.
Bottom Line TAN... CandleGlance ***FSLR...SCTY...SPWR...ABY...***TSL...CAFD...SEDG...****JASO...*CSIQ......*JKS...*RUN... SUNEQ...TERP/GLBL VSLR.....DQ..... *IPWR...combined solar and storage, and microgrid applications... SKYS solar... RGSE solar energy engineering, procurement, and construction company... ****HQCL ...Hanwha Q CELLS Co., Ltd., a solar energy company, develops, manufactures, and sells solar cells and photovoltaic (PV) modules in the United States,South Korea, and internationally. Its principal products include PV cells, PV modules, silicon ingots, and silicon wafers. The company also develops and builds solar power projects, and sells them to third-party purchasers;
Although still experiencing growing pains, PV shows plenty of promise. In a world with increased reliance on electronics, renewable sources of energy represent a more sustainable model to meet increased needs. Although vocal doubters may serve as a cause for concern, investors should keep an open mind towards PV, and the stocks in the solar industry, for the not-so distant future.
SMH CandleGlance Semiconductor ...AMD,MVDA,CY,IDTI,IPHI,MPWR,MU,MXIM,TXN,LLTC .....
SEMI...AIXG (equip Germany) ... ACLS... Semiconductor equip. and materials... TSEM analog intensive mixed-signal semiconductor devices...
CVV (equip) ...materials or coatings for aerospace engine components, medical implants, semiconductors, solar cells, smart glass, carbon nanotubes, nanowires, LEDs, MEMS, and other applications.
LEDS... SemiLEDs Corporation develops, manufactures, and sells light emitting diode (LED) chips and LED components. Its products are used primarily for general lighting applications, including street lights, as well as commercial, industrial, and residential lighting; and specialty industrial applications, such as ultraviolet (UV) applications, curing of polymers, LED light therapy in medical/cosmetic applications, counterfeit detection....Taiwan.
***MU semiconductor systems .....
XLB...TimeFrameS ... MON... DD...FCX ... DOW... PX... NEM... §PPG... APO... LYB... ECL.. XLBCandleGlance...BPMATE
RING ...Global Gold Miners PICK...Mining Producers Index
07/2016 Steel prices vs. China SLX CandleGlance.......RIO...***VALE...PKX...¥BHP....MT...GGB..NUE...ATI...RS...*****CLF...*****X... FSUMF...MSB Steel TimeFrames COPX Global Copper Miners... JJC ***FCX...Freeport McMoran...TimeFrames .... NSU....*SCCO...TCK ...***WRN... HBM... FQVLF... TRQ... OZMLF...Australia
COPPER CandleGlance .........................................................RHWKF.PK...KGHPF>PK...IPMLF.PK...AAUK...AZC... JJU...Aluminum ETF... AA...*ACH... CENX...KALU ..... Aluminum CandleGlance
Silver is the money of Merchants (Gentlemen)
Copper (Barter) is the money of Peasants
Debt is the money of Slaves" Printing Money – Price of Gold – Preservation of Wealth
Rising interest rates have two effects that tend to make gold and silver not as attractive.
1. ... rising rates boost the yields on bonds, CDs, and a number of interest-bearing assets. physical gold and silver don't pay a dividend. As lending rates rise, the opportunity cost of owning physical gold and silver rises. If rates continue to remain low, then investors aren't giving up much to instead buy into the shiny yellow and silver metals, as well as their miners.
2. ... rising lending rates have the effect of pushing the U.S. dollar higher, and the dollar and gold tend to have an inverse relationship.
If we consider the S&P500, the Dow Jones and total U.S. debt, we can see a very interesting trend here. If we go back to the first quarter of 1980, the S&P 500 was 110 points while the Dow Jones was 865 points. Furthermore, total U.S. Debt was a measly $863 billion in the beginning of 1980.
The S&P 500 is now a whopping 2,100 points, the Dow Jones swelled to 17,800 and total U.S. Debt has ballooned to a massive $19.2 trillion. Thus, since the beginning of 1980 the S&P 500 increased 19 times, the Dow Jones index increased 21 times, while total U.S. Debt jumped 22 times.
THERE IS NO COINCIDENCE HERE FOLKS.
I explained this in my recent interview with Rory Hall at The Daily Coin:
The huge rise in the S&P 500 and the Dow Jones indexes occurred on the back of massive debt accumulation. As I discussed in the interview, an individual with $1 million in assets and $1 million in debt has a net worth of ZERO. Unfortunately, Americans had no idea that they have funneled hard-earned funds for several decades into the GREATEST PONZI SCHEME in history that is backed by nearly $20 trillion of debt.
Mainstream investors better be prepared for the GREAT FINANCIAL & MARKET ENEMA. The debt is becoming unsustainable and it will take down the market with it.... as well as the value of most paper assets.
The S&P 500 and Dow Jones flew high on Debt, and will Die on debt.
PRECIOUS METALS Will Be The Safe Haven, Especially Silver
This next chart shows how truly undervalued the precious metals are, especially silver:
If we look at the price of gold, oil and silver since Q1 1980, we see a much different picture than the S&P 500 and Dow Jones. As we can see, the average price of gold during Q1 1980 increased from $620 to $1,210 today (chart was made before the big move up on Friday). Also, the price of oil has increased from $36 in Q1 1980 to $48 today. On the other hand, the price of silver today at $16 is less than half of what it was in the beginning of 1980 ($35).
If we look at these two charts, we can plainly see the massive increase of debt made its way into the broader markets rather than gold, silver or oil. As I stated in the beginning of the article, THIS WAS DONE ON PURPOSE. Why?
1) Investors were motivated to put surplus funds to feed the Great U.S. Paper Ponzi Scheme. We must remember, a Ponzi Scheme can only work if there are new suckers willing to contribute funds in hopes of being paid off in the future.
2) The U.S. Govt & Wall Street funneling of Americans funds into a Paper Ponzi Scheme kept them from investing in physical assets such as gold and silver. This kept the value of gold and silver depressed
3) Inflation was kept low because fund flows went into the broader markets and not into energy or commodities.
Basically, inflation since the early 1980's was forced into the broader markets rather than into energy and commodities. Which means, most Americans have this false sense of WEALTH, when in all reality, they are completely broke. They just don't know it yet.
When the markets really CRACK in a big way, investors will flock into gold and silver... just like they are doing today on a lousy jobs report. However, I believe silver is a great deal more undervalued than gold. This can be seen looking at the change in price of gold and silver since 1980. Gold has at least doubled, while silver has fallen in half.
Moreover, nearly half of all silver produced was consumed by industry and is lost forever. In contrast, most gold produced since 1980 is still around in private hands as jewelry, small bar and coin form or in large bars in Central Bank vaults.
When the markets finally CRACK... and crack they will, silver will be the best performing asset in the precious metals class.
by Egon von Greyerz – October 2012
Worldwide money printing continues unabated
Just In 10 years $120 trillion have been printed making global debt $200 trillion
World GDP has gone from $32 trillion to $70 trillion 2001-2011
Thus $120 trillion debt is required to produce a $38 trillion annual increase in GDP
The marginal return on printed money is negative in real terms
Thus the world is living on an illusion of paper that people believe is money
This illusionary paper wealth will implode in the next few years
The initial trigger will be the collapse of the world’s reserve currency – the US dollar
The dollar is backed by $120 trillion of US government debt and probably NO gold
All currencies will continue their race to the bottom and lose 100% in real terms against gold
This will create a worldwide hyperinflationary depression
All assets financed by the credit bubble will go down in real terms
This includes stocks, bonds, property and paper money of course
The financial system is unlikely to survive in its present form
The banking system including derivatives has total liabilities of around $1.2 quadrillion
With world GDP of $70 trillion, the world is too small to save a financial system which is 17x greater
This is why there will be unlimited money printing and hyperinflation
The only asset that will maintain its purchasing power is gold Click here for chart
Gold has been money for 5,000 years and will continue to be the only currency with integrity
Western countries’ 23,000 tons of gold is probably gone. See recent article by Eric Sprott.
The consequence is that most of the gold in the banking system is likely to be encumbered
This means that Central Banks one day will claim it back against worthless paper gold IOUs
Thus gold and all other assets within the banking system involve an unacceptable counterparty risk
Gold should be held in physical form and stored outside the bank Nov. 24, 2015 The rising demand worldwide of gold and its falling price seem to be conflicting. However, what is playing a crucial role in the determination of precious metals prices is most likely the potential interest rate hike scenario. The Federal Reserve is on a mission to raise rates, but the economy’s backing is required. Higher rates can only be sustained if the economy is growing.
Since interest rates may rise, the demand for treasuries could see a rise, and precious metals may retreat. Not even higher consumer demand worldwide is able to buoy precious metals prices.
Gold/Silver Ratio 23 Aug. 2016
GLD...Gold...TimeFrames ....UGLD......GLL shortx2... DGZ... **************************GOLD = $2,700 in mid-2013... ******************************
GLD/DUST ... Gold... "conspiracy theory" becoming "conspiracy fact." Gold Alert June 2014 http://visualizingeconomics.com/ Ritholtz: Lessons from Gold’s Rise & Fall 10 Reasons Barry Ritholtz Is Wrong About Gold >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
***JUNE 10, 2016... Barrick remains committed to cut mining costs. Its all-in sustaining costs (AISC) fell roughly 24% year over year to as low as $706 per ounce in the first quarter of 2016. Enhanced efficiency through ongoing operating and capital cost savings actions led to lower AISC in the quarter. The company’s AISC for the quarter was also lower than its major peers such as Goldcorp GG with $836 per ounce, Newmont NEM with $828 per ounce, Kinross Gold KGC with $963 per ounce, Iamgold IAG with $1,084 per ounce, Gold Fields GFI with $961 per ounce and AngloGold Ashanti AU with $860 an ounce. In fact, according to a recent report by SNL Metals & Mining, Barrick had the lowest AISC in the first quarter, lower than the group median of $836 per ounce. Barrick also cut its AISC guidance for 2016 to $760-$810 per ounce from its earlier view of $775-$825 per ounce factoring in the impact of lower fuel prices, favorable currency rates and benefits from productivity & efficiency actions. The revised guidance also reflects a decline from $831 per ounce recorded in 2015. http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=SBGL&p=D&b=5&g=0&i=p30491257041&r=1379559878233
SIL Silver Miners CandleGlance Tahoe Resources (TAHO) is a mid-tier mining, development, and exploration firm focusing on silver and gold production with three main assets in Guatemala and Peru. The Escobal Mine (Guatemala) ...the third largest silver mine in the world!
Last year, Tahoe produced 20.4 million ounces of silver in concentrate from Escobal.
Not only is it one of the largest, but it's also one of the lowest-cost silver mines around. During 3Q 2015, Tahoe reported AISC from the Escobal Mine at $9.72 an ounce. And that is in today's market where an ASIC of $15.00 per silver ounce is considered “low-cost.” The La Arena Mine (Peru) A gold and copper mine with both oxide and sulfide mineralization. Tahoe is currently producing gold from the lower-cost oxide material. Last year, the company produced 230,000 gold ounces in doré from La Arena. During 3Q 2015, Tahoe reported AISC from La Arena at $729 per gold ounce. The Shahuindo Mine (Peru) The company expects annual production to average over 150,000 ounces. In total, the project contains 1.91 million ounces of gold reserves.
In addition to these assets, Tahoe also owns interests in a few exploration projects; also located in Guatemala and Peru. https://sdbullion.com/silver/royal-canadian-mint-silver-maple-coins/canadian-silver-maple-leaf >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
This year, Tahoe expects silver production to range between 18 million and 21 million ounces with an AISC ranging between $10 and $11.
The company also expects to produce 200,000 to 250,000 ounces of gold with AISC at $950 to $1,050 an ounce.
PPLT Platinum $PALL ........................................................................ PALL GLTR... gold silver platimum palladium Physical Precious Mental Basket Shares ETF ... Platinum...Palladium
Stillwater Mining Company (NYSE/SWC), which is an American-based firm that not only produces platinum and palladium from mining operations, but also has recycling facilities for spent catalytic converters. The company is the largest producer of platinum and palladium outside Russia and South Africa.
Another option for playing mining stocks in this area is The Sprott Physical Platinum and Palladium Trust (NYSEArca/SPPP), a closed-end fund that holds both metals physically.
Let's face it: both of these precious metals are difficult to find and are located in only a few places around the world. We simply can't print more platinum and palladium. Platinum (PPLT)....***(SPPP) ... http://moneymorning.com/2013/03/13/stocks-to-watch-4-ways-to-ride-the-nanotech-revolution/AT..?.ELR.TO Eastern Platinum, JLP.L Jubilee Platinum, NKP.AX Nkwe Platinum, PDL.TO North American Palladium, PLA.AX Platinum Australia, *PLG Platinum Group Metals, NKL.V Prophesy Platinum Corp, **** SWC Stillwater
What’s driving palladium? Rick Rule, chairman of Sprott US Holdings, also recently made that case. Writing for Uncommon Wisdom, he noted that the fundamentals for palladium — as well as platinum — “are uniquely suited to the current investment environment,” laying out the main factors he sees as casting a bullish light on the metals.
For instance, South Africa, Zimbabwe and Russia produce 90 percent of the world’s palladium, according to Rule, but supply from all three is being hampered by a variety of issues, including:
- Production declines: relatively few palladium mines are profitable, and in recent years miners have been closing those that do not at least break even. That’s a problem because unlike gold and silver, which are mined, but can also be gleaned from above-ground sources like vaults, palladium supply is essentially entirely derived from mines.
South African catch-22: South African mines are unprofitable because in order to keep employment levels up, the government will not allow modern machinery to replace workers. However, mining companies cannot afford to pay these workers adequately because their mines are not making money. They also have no money to develop new ore bodies.
Resource nationalism: Rule notes that Robert Mugabe, president of Zimbabwe, plans to push for the nationalization of his country’s mining industry in the next election. The nation is rich in palladium, but if Mugabe is successful, it will become much less appealing to miners.
Aging Russian mines: Though Russia is more politically stable than South Africa and Zimbabwe, its palladium mines are old and their ore grades are declining.
As supply dwindles, Rule believes that demand is set to grow, driven mainly by the following factors:
With demand set to grow as supply declines, Rule believes that “[p]latinum and palladium are still undervalued relative to the benefits they provide, but they cannot remain this cheap much longer.” They are set to go “higher, perhaps much higher — potentially creating a lot of wealthy speculators along the way.” >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
*REEMF...RAREF... LYSDY...GOLDF...***QRMLF...ARAFF... AVL.TO ... **UURAF ...**MLLOF...AVLNF... HUDRF... CandleGlance ...
ASX.LYC ...ASX.ARU ...GOOGLE NMREF
Rare Earth Primer ....
Uses of Rare Earths Part One: Light Rare Earths
Uses of Rare Earths Part Two: Heavy Rare Earths
24/7 Wall St. reviews hundreds of analyst research reports each week. There are almost endless calls about stocks to buy and stocks to sell, but it is in these low-priced and small-cap stocks where the analyst calls seem to be the most aggressive. Some of these calls come with upside price targets higher by 50%, 100% or even more than current prices.
Investors need to understand that small-cap stocks and low-priced stocks generally have much more implied risk than S&P 500 stocks or Dow Jones Industrial Average stocks. There is a reason there are hardly any analyst reports calling for Dow or S&P 500 stocks to rise 50% or 100%, but there are in the small-cap and low-priced stocks. Please also keep in mind that small-cap and low-priced stocks would almost never pass a “widows and orphans” suitability test for investors. http://seekingalpha.com/article/1729842-investor-enthusiasm-for-graphene-strong-as-graphene?source=yahoo
Graphene...(speculation)... NGPHF NGPHF Northern Graphite.. GPHOF .....¥FCSMF...*§ZENYF .... http://seekingalpha.com/article/3985951-will-supply-graphite-fast-growing-battery-industry
TSX-based companies: CVV (equip) ...materials or coatings for aerospace engine components, medical implants, semiconductors, solar cells, smart glass, carbon nanotubes, nanowires, LEDs, MEMS, and other applications. Graphene Supercapacitor Prototype http://www.technologyreview.com/view/521651/graphene-supercapacitors-ready-for-electric-vehicle-energy-storage-say-korean-engineers/
Graphene update ...... more Graphene
How to Invest in Graphene 3D printing LMRMF 3D SystemS DDD), Stratasys ¥SSYS
... ExOne XONE
... Voxeljet §VJET Materialise *MTLS... AMAVF
Fuel Cell Technology ...about **BLDP http://www.theprepperjournal.com/2014/04/24/will-gold-and-silver-be-valuable/ XBI...CandleGlance Biotech...BIIB,AMGN,CELG,GILD,REGN,VRTX,ALXN,ILMN,MLY,INCY Types of Fuel Cells Ceramic/Solid Oxide Fuel Cells BLDP
... *PLUG ...**FCEL ...*HYGS MagneGas MagneGas Corporation, an alternative energy company, creates and produces hydrogen based alternative fuel through the gasification of carbon-rich liquids in the United States and internationally. The company produces gas bottled in cylinders and distributes to the metalworking market as an alternative to acetylene. It offers MagneGas, a fuel that primarily comprises hydrogen; and Plasma Arc Flow refineries that produce gas. The company also sells and licenses the plasma arc technology for the processing of liquid waste. The company was founded in 2007 and is based in Tarpon Springs, Florida.
CPXX and FLXN ... http://www.fool.com/investing/2016/05/27/2-sizzling-hot-biotech-upstarts-to-buy.aspx
PTLA ... http://www.fool.com/investing/2016/05/28/portola-pharmaceuticals-does-new-data-get-it-back.aspx
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- https://www.ishares.com/us/products/etf-product-list#!type=ishares&tab=overview&view=list GLOBAL World Markets Candle
Country ETFs...CandleGlance Portugal PGAL..Spain EWP...Switzerland EWL ...Turkey TUR...Sweden EWD...Poland EPOL... Denmark *EDEN... Finland EFNL... Norway ENOR...
EZU Europe CandleGlance .....Austria EWO.. Belgium EWK ... France EWQ.. Germany EWG ... Greece GREK... Ireland IRL ... Italy EWI......Netherlands EWN...
United Kingdom EWU...
Japan *EWJ... China *YAO....FXI.. China sm cap §ECNS... Hong Kong *EWH... Malaysia *EWM....Taiwan *EWT...S. Korea *EWY... Indonesia IDX...Vietnam VNM... Thailand THD... Philippines EPHE.... Singapore §*EWS...*** India EPI... Australia *EWA....
Latin America ILF...Brazil §EWZ...Columbia GXG... Chile ECH...Peru EPU... Argentina ARGT
Israel EIS... Egypt... EGPT .... S. Africa *EZA... Russia *RSX... Canada EWC...Mexico **EWW...
0 oversold... 19 up... 5 overbought ... 21 down...Last Update...09/28
3 oversold... 10 up... 4 overbought ... 29 down...Last Update...09/27
0 oversold... 7 up... 3 overbought ... 35 down...Last Update...09/26
0 oversold...18 up... 11 overbought ... 16 down...Last Update...09/23
0 oversold...19 up... 21 overbought ... 3 down...Last Update...09/22
2 oversold...36 up... 5 overbought ... 2 down...Last Update...09/21
6 oversold...32 up... 1 overbought ... 6 down...Last Update...09/20
12 oversold...25 up... 1 overbought ... 5 down...Last Update...09/19
25 oversold...13 up... 0 overbought ... 7 down...Last Update...09/16
20 oversold...17 up... 0 overbought ... 7 down...Last Update...09/15
28 oversold... 6 up... 0 overbought ... 9 down...Last Update...09/14
27 oversold... 1 up... 1 overbought ... 14 down...Last Update...09/13
16 oversold... 4 up... 7 overbought ... 17 down...Last Update...09/12
14 oversold... 2 up... 8 overbought ... 20 down...Last Update...09/09
3 oversold...12 up... 23 overbought ... 6 down...Last Update...09/08
4 oversold...13 up... 25 overbought ... 2 down...Last Update...09/07
4 oversold... 6 up... 25 overbought ... 2 down...Last Update...09/06
4 oversold...18 up... 15 overbought ... 7 down...Last Update...09/02
12 oversold... 4 up... 7 overbought ... 21 down...Last Update...09/01
13 oversold... 2 up... 1 overbought ... 28 down...Last Update...08/31
6 oversold... 3 up... 2 overbought ... 32 down...Last Update...08/30
6 oversold... 2 up... 1 overbought ... 34 down...Last Update...08/29
3 oversold... 3 up... 2 overbought ... 35 down...Last Update...08/26
2 oversold... 5 up... 1 overbought ... 36 down...Last Update...08/25
5 oversold... 4 up... 3 overbought ... 30 down...Last Update...08/24
2 oversold... 5 up... 6 overbought ... 31 down...Last Update...08/23
2 oversold... 2 up... 3 overbought ... 36 down...Last Update...08/22
0 oversold... 2 up... 18 overbought ... 24 down...Last Update...08/18
Europe Financials EUFN...DB... Europe "short" EPV ... EURO short EUO... Japan 'short' EWV...
Japan http://www.tradingeconomics.com/japan/stock-market EWJ...Japan .... EWV...short ...
WisdomTree Japan hedged Financials (DXJF) iShares Japan Small Cap Index (SCJ) WisdomTree Global Ex-U.S. Growth (DNL) WisdomTree Japan SmallCap Dividend (DFJ) WisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity Fund (DXJ)
If you are REALLY bullish about Japan, there is a leveraged ETF that is designed to deliver double the return - both up and down - of the main Japanese stock market index: the ProShares Ultra MSCI Japan Index (EZJ).
There are also a handful of Japanese stocks that are traded on the NYSE and Nasdaq, such as Canon (CAJ), Honda (HMC), Kubota (KUB), Panasonic (PC) and Toyota (TM) to name a few. EEM...Emerging Markets TCTZF,BABA,CHLKF,BIDU,IDCBF,.................... EEV short
...other.... ..... Trading Brazil ..EWZ...PBR...VALE...BRAQ Global X Brazil Consumer GLOBAL CONSUMER KXI Global Consumer Staples Index Fund CHIQ Global X China Consumer §INCO EG Shares India Consumer
YINN China Bullx3 ....ASHS.......CHIX... BABA...CHL....HGSH ...CEO...PTR...BIDU...LFC...SNP .*JD...CHIQ..YIN.....Tencent (OTCPK:TCEHY) - China's leading social platform owner ............... YINN CandleGlance... YANG...China Bearx3 EWH Hong Kong FXI...China 25 Index...FXP...China 25 Short
China ETF....CandleGlance ...CCIH China's Yuan will not become a reserve currency 09/16/2014 Bloomberg report said the People’s Bank of China would begin a 500 billion yuan standing lending-facility to the country’s five largest banks.
EWC...Canada ETF............ RY...BNS...SU...ABX...BMO...POT...CNQ ......CP..... Canada CandleGlance Canadian dollar EWW...Mexico ETF
CARZ Global Auto Index Fund ...TOYOF,F,GM,HNDAF,DDAIF,SZKMF,TSLA,FUJHF,NSANF BIDU BABA TSLA AAPL...TimeFrame Samsung (OTC:SSNLF) GS...Goldman Sachs IBM...Intl Business Machines CAT...Caterpiller...TimeFrames NFLX ... Netflix TimeFrames HD...PFE...GE...CVX...BA...PG...JPM... SBUX... EADSY Air Bus $VIX...TimeFrames ...VXX ...$VIX Ratio
...CALI sells and trades in imported automobiles in China... F...GM... BYDDF... KAR
*MBLY Triple Digit Stock develops computer vision/machine learning/data analysis/localization/mapping for advanced driver assistance systems and autonomous driving technologies primarily in Israel.... Mobileye...We believe the stock’s reaction to the Tesla news was an overreaction because 1) Tesla comprises about only 1% of Mobileye’s revenue today 2) Mobileye said that of its $1.1BN 2019 revenue target, Tesla contributes ~2% (or ~$17MM on 350K cars).” Anderson sets a $60 price target; the stock is rebounding, up $2, or 4.4%, at $47.33. Anderson writes that his own digging suggests the split had been in the works for some time, and that graphics chip maker Nvidia (NVDA) is likely being tapped by Tesla to produce an alternative: Our sense from talking with industry sources is that the relationship between Mobileye and Tesla has been headed to this outcome for some time. We believe Tesla would like to push the envelope more with autonomous features and increasingly with their own algorithms. Our best guess at this point (based on our checks) is that Tesla will eventually migrate to a hardware solution from Bosch with processing done by Nvidia using internally-generated Tesla algorithms. ISNS... Image Sensing Systems, Inc. develops and markets software-based computer enabled detection products and solutions for the intelligent transportation systems industry. Its video and radar processing products are used in traffic, security, police, and parking applications, such as intersection control, highway, bridge and tunnel traffic management, venue security, entry control, LPR, and traffic data collection. Image Sensing Systems, Inc. offers various vehicle and traffic detection products, such as Autoscope video systems and RTMS radar systems that convert sensory input collected by video cameras and radar units into vehicle detection and traffic data used to operate, monitor, and enhance the efficiency of roadway infrastructure. The company sells its products to end users comprising federal, state, city, and county departments of transportation, port, highway, tunnel, and other transportation authorities; law enforcement agencies; and parking facility operators, as well as system integrators or other suppliers of systems and services that are operating under subcontracts in connection with road construction contracts. Image Sensing Systems, Inc. was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in St. Paul, Minnesota. NVDA... http://traderprep.com/2016/08/04/4-automakers-betting-on-nvidia/ ...Tesla’s co-founder and CEO, Elon Musk, has promoted NVIDIA’s GPUs as a key element for driverless car technology. At the 2015 GPU Technology Conference last year, Musk said that what NVIDIA is doing with its Tegra GPU’s will prove “really important for self-driving in the future.” While Tesla uses NVIDIA’s GPUs, it doesn’t currently use NVIDIA’s Drive PX system, though there’s no reason why it couldn’t in the future. Why all of this matters for NVIDIA investors NVIDIA’s self-driving car focus is becoming increasingly important because of the technology’s quick adoption by both automakers and consumers. IHS Automotive estimates that between now and 2035, there will be 76 million vehicles on the road with some level of self-driving capabilities. Cheaper technology is spurring growth, as is evidenced by Honda’s $20,040 Civic, which can drive itself on the highway. The driverless-car market is expected to grow to $42 billion by 2025, according to Boston Consulting Group, and it’s clear that NVIDIA’s mapping out a plan to grab as much of that market as possible with its current automotive partnerships.
MOAT... Warren Buffett type stocks...http://www.investopedia.com/articles/fundamental-analysis/08/moats.asp
LNKD,PII,HOG,BIIB,ABC,LLY,VAR,CERN,MSFT,AMGN The "Stealth Dividend" Strategy
PowerShares Buyback Achievers (PKW)
UUP...TimeFrames ...UDN bear
UUP 60 minute
Investment rule: If a corporate officer quits his or her job unexpectedly, sell the stock first and ask questions later.
Speculation Stocks ...
Just be careful... Pumps & Dumps 101 Stock symbols color codes if "letters" are colored =Green =UP...Red=down...lighter colors = less confident in direction...if symbols are Boxed=Green =oversold..Red=overbought..Blue=centerline action...§=Reverse Signal line
............. In the Year 2525 ***HIMX (T/$14)I-PHONE KILLER...semicndtr, display driver integrated circuits (ICs), timing controllers used in televisions (TVs), laptops, monitors, mobile phones, tablets, digital cameras, car navigation, et al... §KOPN
(T/$4.50) Kopin Corporation semicndtr...wearable technologies and display products...
develops, makes and markets virtual and augmented reality gaming, training, and simulation products. MVIS
(T/$3.00) Microvision makes PicoP scanning technology for three-dimensional sensing and image capture. IMMR (T/$12) Immersion Corporation...the creation of the sense of touch to the user through the use of vibrations or motions. Immersion is one of the leaders in this technology, also known as kinesthetic communication. *OCLR (T/$10.00) lasers and optical components... Semi/Cloud/Biometrics ACLS...Semiconductor equip. and materials..CNIT..Internet service company that provides cloud-based platform China...
PRCP 3D scanning products, laser scanners ... PYDS electronic payment... *PSTG (T/16) Provides flash memory-based enterprise storage hardware... WATT wire-free charging of electronic devices at a distance... *CPST microturbine... ***ANY (T/$1.50) tech. cloud, storage...FTR (T/$5.80)telecom fiber-to-the-home and fiber-to-the-node broadband... NXTD(T-$4) biometrics security mobile devices, electronic wallet virtually any magnetic stripe card allow single electronic card to replicate cards for MobileBio VoiceMatch ... IWSY () biometrically enabled software-based identity management ... USAT (T/$6)wireless networking, cashless transactions, asset monitoring... BIO/Pharma/Medical CMRX oral antivirals...CBYL Phase III clinical trial designed to provide rapid sustained relief from pain associated with osteoarthritis... MRNS biopharm epilepsy and neuropsychiatric disorders... **INFI (T/$2) treatment of blood cancers...**IPCI pharmaceutical company,... DNAI DNA interference (DNAi) technology platform for patients with cancer and hematological diseases. ATOS biopharmaceutical breast cancer. ***CARA
(T/$7-12) ...pain relief targeting opioid receptors...DRRX
(T/$4)... TTNP Pharma... treatments for chronic diseases, such as Parkinson's disease. The company offers Probuphine, a product candidate for long term maintenance treatment of opioid dependence, which maintains a stable, around the clock blood level of the medicine buprenorphine in patients for six months following a single treatment. ROSG
(T/$3.50) MicroRNAs are a group of genes that are produced using instructions encoded in DNA. NVTR () CyBorg Technology...neuroscience MNKD commercial-stage diabetes drug and device maker. *BCLI adult stem cell therapies for neurodegenerative disorders ALS... ONCS(T/$3-5) electroporation delivery device, melanoma... ***ENDV bioelectronics(T/1.50)... Bioelectronic device, treat acute liver failure (ALF) and other inflammatory conditions in vital organs and stem cells for the creation of next-generation cell therapies. §*ARWR (T/$15) biopharm, RNA interference mechanism that silences disease-causing genes...
SSH (T/$1.20) early-stage medical device,cardiac and coronary diseases ... *NNVC nano-biopharmaceutical viral infections CALA...small molecule drugs directed against tumor metabolism and tumor immunology targets... HEB biotech for the treatment of viral and immune based chronic disorders... CHEK
(T/$5-6) medical diagnostics company, engages in the development of an ingestible imaging capsule that utilizes low-dose X-rays for the screening for precancerous polyps and cancer. ***MHTX.() nanomedicine... §AMDA (T/$2 )biomaterials, Valeo silicon nitride spinal fusion devices...
THLD biopharmaceutica... *****QURE (
T/$21) Gene Therapy... **§ONVO ONVO human tissues that could be employed in drug discovery and development, tissue patches for repair or replacement damaged tissues/organs... *LBIO biotech, adoptive cell therapy using tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes treatment of metastatic melanoma, bladder, lung, breast, and HPV-associated cancers.... APDN (T/$8) Applied DNA Sciences Inc. NVAX
recombinant nanoparticles vaccines... *PRAN biotech development of therapeutic drugs in Australia... *OBMP () Bio cancer vaccines...* EDAP High Intensity Focused Ultrasound (HIFU)(kidney stones, and Urology Devices and Services. BIOC (T/$1.20) cancer diagnostics company, develops and commercializes proprietary circulating tumor cell (CTC) and circulating tumor DNA assays utilizing a standard blood sample.... BLFS hypothermic storage and cryopreservation solutions for cells and tissues, reduce post-preservation necrosis and apoptosis...Bothel,Wa. *SBOT (T/$7)... Biotech...keyhole limpet hemocyanin (KLH) protein... HTGM
T/$5...develops and markets technology platforms that facilitate the routine use of complex molecular profiling. Zika virus BCRX (T/$6)... XON (T$44)... INO (T/13) biopharmaceutical, zika virus,Ebola...... CERS (T/$9)... SNGX () (T/$3) bioterrorism... ERB diagnostic test kits automated systems that are used to aid in the detection of disease markers primarily in the areas of autoimmune, infectious diseases, clinical chemistry, hematology, and diabetes testing... HLTH ...outpatient surgery facilities PSID () Thermomedics was a valuable target to PSID because its product, the “Caregiver(R)” non-contact thermometer, seems to be a great complementary product to PSID’s soon-to-be-commercializedFirefly Dx unit. The Firefly Dx is a real-time, lab-in-hand solution to test for pathogens such as Ebola in under 20 minutes. For homeland security applications, a non-contact thermometer would be a great vetting tool to bring a potential high-risk patients to a secondary clearance for a further screening (with the Firefly Dx) for say, Ebola or any other spreadable threat. Based on our review of public announcements, it is clear that Thermomedics has a strong platform of distribution partners and GPOs to leverage its growth Medical/Robotics/Equip MZOR (T/30)...Mazor Robotics http://www.fool.com/investing/general/2016/05/28/does-mazor-robotics-deal-with-medtronic-make-it-2.aspx TITXF () robotic surgical system for application in minimally invasive surgery... STXS robotic systems and instruments for the treatment of abnormal heart rhythms...“The Niobe system is perhaps the most revolutionary invention in the field of cardiac ablation, enabling remote anatomic mapping of electrical currents and eradication of difficult-to-reach arrhythmias with unparalleled safety and pinpoint precision,” said Tung. “Our acquisition of Stereotaxis’ latest generation remote magnetic navigation platform will enhance a highly respected electrophysiology (EP) program that is regarded as a global leader in ablation therapy, research and education, especially in the treatment of ventricular tachycardia (VT), and will greatly improve patients’ lives.” TRXC (T/$2) commercialization of surgical robotic systems NSTG NanoString Tech (biotech) Alt-Energy ***MXWL MXWL (ultra Capacitors) .. energy storage and power delivery products, ultra-capacitor cells... CDTI diesel emissions control systems... ARTX artx defense and security products sells rechargeable and primary batteries, and smart chargers to the military... ***ERII (T/$16-20)energy recovery devices and turbochargers for water desalination/.makes equipment for the oilfield that makes fracking more efficient .. . AMSC (T/$10-11) wind turbine systems... RVLT..(T/$20).sells light emitting diode (LED) lighting solutions... MNGA (T/$1.50) converts liquid waste into hydrogen based fuels...***OPTT ocean wave electricity...
VTNR recycle industrial waste... CWST (T/11)water treatment... §HCCI (T/16) oil clean up parts cleaning... DSX (T/$3) shipping... ANW shipping, LNG/LPG carriers operates as a marine fuel logistics company that markets and supplies refined marine fuel and lubricants to vessels in port, at sea, and on rivers worldwide SHIP
... LQMT () amorphous metal ( metallic glass/glassy metal) solid metallic material, usually an alloy, disordered atomic-scale structure. *LKAI () mining/explores for gold, silver, lead, and zinc metals... NIOBF
() niobium/scandium/titanium project located in Nebraska... GARWF ()Golden Arrow Resources gold, silver, lead, zinc, and copper. CHNR iron, zinc, and other nonferrous metals in the Peoples Republic of China
***AMCO () import, sale, and distribution of metal ore and non-ferrous metals in China... SPU SkyPeople Fruit Juice SVU (T/$5.50-6)wholesale and retail grocer... ***INUV internet advertising and digital publishing() ***KTOS KTOS
..(T/$7) Unmanned Systems segment provides unmanned aerial, ground, seaborne and command, control, and communications systems. TINY venture capital invest in technology ... *CRESY agriculture Argentina... 17 oversold... 23 UP... 14 overbought...34 DOWN.... LAST UPDATE 09/27 19 oversold... 24 UP... 13 overbought...33 DOWN.... LAST UPDATE 09/27 16 oversold... 32 UP... 14 overbought...30 DOWN.... LAST UPDATE 09/26 11 oversold... 44 UP... 21 overbought...14 DOWN.... LAST UPDATE 09/23 14 oversold... 43 UP... 20 overbought...13 DOWN.... LAST UPDATE 09/22 15 oversold... 43 UP... 17 overbought...16 DOWN.... LAST UPDATE 09/21 17 oversold... 34 UP... 15 overbought...24 DOWN.... LAST UPDATE 09/20 19 oversold... 37 UP... 13 overbought...24 DOWN.... LAST UPDATE 09/19 25 oversold... 33 UP... 13 overbought...20 DOWN.... LAST UPDATE 09/16 26 oversold... 30 UP... 11 overbought...21 DOWN.... LAST UPDATE 09/15 26 oversold... 25 UP... 8 overbought...31 DOWN.... LAST UPDATE 09/14 28 oversold... 23 UP... 8 overbought...29 DOWN.... LAST UPDATE 09/13 22 oversold... 28 UP... 8 overbought...31 DOWN.... LAST UPDATE 09/12 22 oversold... 25 UP... 10 overbought...32 DOWN.... LAST UPDATE 09/09 14 oversold... 33 UP... 16 overbought...23 DOWN.... LAST UPDATE 09/08 17 oversold... 33 UP... 18 overbought...28 DOWN.... LAST UPDATE 09/06 27 oversold... 24 UP... 15 overbought...19 DOWN.... LAST UPDATE 09/02 26 oversold... 21 UP... 6 overbought...32 DOWN.... LAST UPDATE 09/01 15 oversold... 27 UP... 9 overbought...36 DOWN.... LAST UPDATE 08/30 21 oversold... 31 UP... 9 overbought...44 DOWN.... LAST UPDATE 08/29 Removed solar, graphite, gold to their setors above... 20 oversold... 28 UP... 7 overbought...47 DOWN.... LAST UPDATE 08/26 24 oversold... 24 UP...10 overbought...39 DOWN.... LAST UPDATE 08/25 19 oversold... 27 UP...17 overbought...36 DOWN.... LAST UPDATE 08/24...add APDN...CWST...ICGQF...GARWF 15 oversold... 33 UP...18 overbought...33 DOWN.... LAST UPDATE 08/23 16 oversold... 36 UP...18 overbought...28 DOWN.... LAST UPDATE 08/22 18 oversold... 28 UP...21 overbought...28 DOWN.... LAST UPDATE 08/19 ...other stocks ... NAVB... Lymphoseek, a receptor-targeted small-molecule radiopharmaceutical used in the evaluation of lymphatic basins that may have cancer involvement in patients; and Manocept platform to target the CD206 mannose receptor expressed on activated macrophages. MLER... flying cars http://moller.com/
HGSH ...T/3.00 ...China HGS Real Estate Inc. develops real estate properties in the People's Republic of China. The company engages in the construction and sale of residential apartments, car parking lots, and commercial properties. It develops multi-layer, sub-high-rise, and high-rise apartment buildings, as well as office buildings. China HGS Real Estate Inc. was founded in 1995 and is headquartered in Hanzhong, China. INGN oxygen concentrators **UAMY.
.. produces and sells antimony, silver, gold, and zeolite products in the United States. The company's Antimony division offers antimony oxide that is primarily used in conjunction with a halogen to form a synergistic flame retardant system for plastics, rubber, fiberglass, textile good...
EBS...Biodefense division markets BioThrax to treat anthrax disease; Anthrasil treatment of inhalational anthrax; BAT treat botulinum disease; VIGIV address adverse events from smallpox vaccination; and RSDL removal or neutralization of chemical agents, T-2 toxins, and various pesticide-related chemicals from the skin. NuThrax, a next generation anthrax vaccine; UV-4B for dengue and influenza infections; GC-072, the compound in the EV-035 series of broad spectrum antibiotics for Burkholderia pseudomallei; VAX161C, a recombinant pandemic influenza vaccine; and PreviThrax, a recombinant protective antigen anthrax vaccine, as well as other products addressing public health threats and emerging infectious diseases. Its Biosciences division markets IXINITY to prevent bleeding episodes in people with hemophilia B; WinRho SDF to treat autoimmune platelet disorders and hemolytic disease of the newborn; HepaGam B post-exposure prophylactic treatment of hepatitis-B; and VARIZIG for post-exposure prophylactic treatment of varicella zoster virus. This division?s investigational stage product candidates include otlertuzumab, a protein therapeutic for Chronic Lymphocytic Leukemia; MOR209/ES414 for metastatic castration resistant prostate cancer under collaboration with MorphoSys AG; ES210, a protein therapeutic for inflammation-related indications; 5E3, a monoclonal antibody therapeutic for Alzheimer's disease; and other protein therapeutic product candidates primarily for the treatment of immuno-oncology. In addition, the company provides contract manufacturing services to third-party customers. Emergent BioSolutions, Inc. was founded in 1998 and is headquartered in Gaithersburg, Maryland. AUO liquid crystal displays and other flat panel displays, solar and water re-cycling DSCI.
.. Advanced Wound Care segment offers MEDIHONEY dressings for managing non-chronic and hard-to-heal wounds, including chronic ulcers, burns, and post-operative wounds; TCC-EZ system for patients with diabetic foot ulcers; AMNIOEXCEL for tissue repair, reconstruction, and replacement; and AMNIOMATRIX that is used as a wound covering in the treatment of localized tissue defects. This segment also provides XTRASORB dressings, which convert fluid within the dressings to a gel and lock the exudates into the dressings; BIOGUARD dressings for prophylactic use in the prevention of hospital or community acquired infections through wound sites; ALGICELL AG antimicrobial dressings; and occlusive dressings, such as hydrocolloids, foams, hydrogels, alginates, additional silver antimicrobial dressings, cleansers, and DERMAGRAN products. The company?s Traditional Wound Care segment offers gauze sponges and bandages, non-adherent impregnated dressings, retention devices, paste bandages, and other compression devices; adhesive bandages and related first aid products; private-label wound care products; wound closure strips, nasal tube fasteners, and catheter fasteners; and general purpose and specialized skin care products. Derma Sciences, Inc. markets its products to acute care, extended care, home health care, nursing homes, hospitals, wound and burn care clinics and physician offices through direct sales force, independent distributors, and manufacturers? representatives. JVA.
... Coffee CCC
Calgon Carbon EXAS.(T/22)..colorectal cancer test kit VEEV
(T/43)Cloud sftware for drug companies http://my.fool.com/profile/TMFEBCapital/activity.aspx
XXII ...plant biotechnology allows it to decrease or increase the level of nicotine in tobacco plants
(Google)***DMPID ... commercializing anti-cancer therapies
TTNP... developing Probuphine for the long term maintenance treatment of opioid dependence. Its Probuphine is designed to maintain a stable, around the clock blood level of the medicine buprenorphine in patients for six months following a single treatment; and utilizes ProNeura, a novel, proprietary, and long-term drug delivery technology. The company?s ProNeura is also used in developing products for the treatment of other chronic conditions, such as Parkinson?s disease. It is also developing Fanapt (iloperidone), an atypical antipsychotic for the treatment of schizophrenia. The company was founded in 1992 and is based in South San Francisco, California.
AKTX... Biotech tx rare autoimmune and inflammatory disease
WPX. http://wealthyventurecapitalist.com/ "They must find it difficult ...Those who have taken authority as the truth, rather than truth as the authority." - Gerald Massey There is no easy walk to freedom anywhere and many of us will have to pass through the valley of the shadow of death again and again before we reach the mountaintop of our desires. "No Easy Walk to Freedom" Nelsen Mandela
.. independent oil and natural gas exploration and production. KITE removes a person’s T-cells, engineers them to seek and destroy cancer, multiplies them by the billions then re-introduces them into the body. And although early stage, the results thus far have been extremely positive. KITE is currently conducting a phase I study of their cell therapy in patients with non-Hodgkin lymphoma, has made positive remarks about the progress in press releases and plans to present all of the data at the American Society of Hematology in December— this could potentially be market moving news so traders may look to position themselves accordingly. SPCL (GOOGL)...Solaris Power Cells, Inc. is a developmental stage diversified "Green" Energy Storage manufacturer offering residential and commercial users turnkey, renewable energy storage solutions (ESS). Solaris manufactures the Solaris PESA™ "Passive Electron Storage Array"™, for limited use electric vehicles such as golf cars and Mega Energy Storage Systems. (ESS) The Solaris PESA™ is a 100% lead-free, solid-state storage (ESS) solution that makes renewable energy greener and better by allowing applications to utilize more of the energy generated. The Solaris Power Cell™ is capable of providing energy storage to applications normally reliant and equipped with highly toxic lead acid, nickel metal hydride or lithium-ion batteries.
(Google) ...CHEK medical diagnostics ingestible imaging capsule that utilizes low-dose X-rays for the screening for precancerous polyps and colorectal cancer. http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=CNTF&p=D&b=6&g=1&i=p42902282396&a=317577632&r=1380316841388
The Brutal Truth About Today’s World Fed Rate Hike As for hiking rates, well we leave it to Ben Bernanke who said it best earlier this year: "No Rate Normalization During My Lifetime" Message to Congress on Curbing Monopolies. April 29, 1938
The Sad Truth About Today’s World Illustrated By Steve Cutts
Art isn’t all fairytale photoshoots and landscape shots – it can also act as catalyst of change. And Steve Cutts thinks that many things in the world should be different. Work shouldn’t be a grinding, soul-crushing rat race for the almighty dollar. Consumerism shouldn’t hold a vice-like grip on our lives. And social media, well, we need to throw-off the shackles we so eagerly put on ourselves. Wouldn’t life be better then?
........... Wish You Where Here .........
...... Hey You .....
The Lie We Live
Investment bubbles and high animal spirits do not materialize out of thin air. They need extremely favorable economic fundamentals together with free and easy, cheap credit, and they need it for at least two or three years. Jeremy Grantham
Unhappy events abroad have retaught us two simple truths about the liberty of a democratic people.
The first truth is that the liberty of a democracy is not safe if the people tolerate the growth of private power to a point where it becomes stronger than their democratic state itself. That, in its essence, is Fascism—ownership of Government by an individual, by a group, or by any other controlling private power.
The second truth is that the liberty of a democracy is not safe if its business system does not provide employment and produce and distribute goods in such a way as to sustain an acceptable standard of living.
Bubble Right In Front Of Our Faces
Universal Principles of Successful Trading
...this is idiot "doublespeak" and this jackass ran the biggest banking Crook outfit in the world... ... “I know you think you understand what you thought I said, but I’m not sure if you realize that what you heard is not what I meant.”
- Alan Greenspan, former Federal Reserve Board Chair...
........................................................................... Unicorn Market=
eazy money at very low interest has companies buying back shares.................................................................................... Kashmir
... part 2... Kashmir
Bloomberg/Businessweek cover...from Aug. 31, 2015 Draggin The Line
... say what ...? The Logical Song
...soon the BEARS will get to party... Hold On
I know there's pain
Why do you lock yourself up in these chains?
No one can change your life except for you
Don't ever let anyone step all over you
Open your heart and your mind
Is it really fair to feel this way inside?
Some day somebody's gonna make you want to
Turn around and say goodbye
Until then baby are you going to let them
Hold you down and make you cry
Don't you know?
Don't you know things can change
Things'll go your way
If you hold on for one more day
Can you hold on for one more day
Things'll go your way
Hold on for one more day
Nice way to show how the investor sentiment cycle lags behind the business cycle, yet manages to follow it . . . Ritholtz.com "There are no relationships or equations that always work"
"Know thyself and know thy foibles and make sure your facts are right"
Regarding that second quote, he went on to further say:
Countries, institutions, and financial instruments may change over time, but human nature does not.
"At the extreme moments of fear and greed, the power of the daily price momentum and the mood and passions of 'the crowd' are tremendously important psychological influences on you. It takes a strong, self-confident, emotionally mature person to stand firm against disdain, mockery, and repudiation when the market itself seems to be absolutely confirming that you are both mad and wrong."
- Economists Kenneth Rogoff and Carmen Reinhart... One of the key items to remember as investors/traders is that the market doesn't always reflect reality. Oftentimes it reflects belief. And belief can prove to be a delusion. “What does the market know?” Is the market smart, meaning you should take your lead from it? Or is it dumb, meaning you should ignore it? Especially during downdrafts, many investors impute intelligence to the market and look to it to tell them what’s going on and what to do about it. This is one of the biggest mistakes you can make. As Ben Graham pointed out, the day-to-day market isn’t a fundamental analyst; it’s a barometer of investor sentiment. You just can’t take it too seriously. Market participants have limited insight into what’s really happening in terms of fundamentals, and any intelligence that could be behind their buys and sells is obscured by their emotional swings. It would be wrong to interpret the recent worldwide drop as meaning the market “knows” tough times lay ahead. I based the above reference to Ben Graham on his famous observation that in the long run the market’s a weighing machine, but in the short run it’s a voting machine. In other words, in the long term the consensus of investors figures out what things are really worth and moves the price there. But in the short term, the market merely reflects consensus opinion regarding an asset’s future popularity, something that’s highly susceptible to the ups and downs of psychology.
What do big price declines mean? They mean market participants sense fundamental deterioration. But what price declines say is reflective, not predictive. They tell you about the events that have occurred, and how investors have reacted to them. They don’t tell you anything that the average investor doesn’t know about future events. And, again, I’m firmly convinced (a) the average investor doesn’t know much, and (b) following average opinion won’t help you attain above average results. I
nvestors rarely maintain objective, rational, neutral and stable positions. Fundamentals – the outlook for an economy, company or asset – don’t change much from day to day. As a result, daily price changes are mostly about (a) changes in market psychology and thus (b) changes in who wants to own something or un-own something. These two statements become increasingly valid the more daily prices fluctuate. Big fluctuations show that psychology is changing radically.
Future price movements can only be predicted on the basis of the relationship between price and fundamentals. And, given the market’s short-term volatility and irrationality, this can only be done in the long-term sense.
Crowd of people gather outside the New York Stock Exchange following the Crash of 1929
They say those who forget the lessons of history are doomed to repeat them.
As a student of market history, I’ve seen that maxim made true time and again. The cycle swings fear back to greed. The overcautious become the overzealous. And at the top, the story is always the same: Too much credit, too much speculation, the suspension of disbelief, and the spread of the idea that this time is different.
It doesn’t matter whether it was the expansion of railroads heading into the crash of 1893 or the excitement over the consolidation of the steel industry in 1901 or the mixing of speculation and banking heading into 1907. Or whether it involves an epic expansion of mortgage credit, IPO activity, or central-bank stimulus. What can’t continue forever ultimately won’t.
The weaknesses of the human heart and mind means the swings will always exist. Our rudimentary understanding of the forces of economics, which in turn, ultimately reflect the fallacies of people making investing, purchasing, and saving decisions, means policymakers will never defeat the vagaries of the business cycle.
"Men, it has been well said, think in herds; it will be seen that they go mad in herds, while they only recover their senses slowly, and one by one." Extraordinary Popular Delusions and the Madness of Crowds ...Charles Mackay 1841
***************************************************************************************** Cognitive dissonance is when one's brain holds two opposing ideas and believes both.
One needs to understand an elementary principle about human psychology: A person's wants and desires influence more than his behavior. They influence his thinking, as well, and even his powers of perception. This is true even with regard to things that would be otherwise intuitively obvious. Psychologists say that when a person is confronted by ideas or facts that are at odds with his pre-existing notions, what results is "cognitive dissonance," a sort of static in the human psyche. This "static" has the power to distort or even block perception.
When disturbing information creates "cognitive dissonance," the "static" discredits the information, so that a person does not feel compelled to cope with it, even if it is true. If a fact or idea is sufficiently contrary to his or her "status quo," the threatening data can be prevented from entering their consciousness at all! In effect, "cognitive dissonance" is a tremendously powerful "self-preservation" mechanism which can completely override the human desire for truth.
Criminally INSANE and Mass INSANITY Staying sane in a society gone mad is not easy. Millions of people believe themselves to be sane, but they have really just adapted to an insane society, so they appear sane within the warped paradigm of that insane society. The truly sane people appear to be insane in an insane society. It’s enough to drive a man crazy.
....and the same holds true for the Markets...sometimes more sometime less insane...our job is to show you how to step outside that insanity we call "The Markets" and make practical objective trades... not trades run from our subjective internal feelings
...it really is easy and simple; its just that humans... they seem to complicate everything they touch...People are funny that way...quirky...
And so there you have it. The Crazy has been upgraded to Crazier, and there’s no reason evenCrazierStill isn’t just around the corner. People are funny that way. (...proves my statement " Humans aren't complicated...they just complicate everything ...and then on top of complicated everything... Humans... they want a guarantee..." LOL...Lol...lol...LOL ....LoL ... Does this guarantee a Market drop in 2016...?... ABSOLUTLY!!! The guarantee is iron-clad. Well... of course it doesn’t guarantee a thing. It’s just……interesting... Some key items to remember as investors/traders is that the market doesn't always reflect reality. Oftentimes it reflects belief. And belief can prove to be a delusion. Markets are not about beliefs, but about sentiment. And, if you can track sentiment, If you can measure sentiment... then you are in a position to make your investment account grow without the need for excuses. (...this really is all you need to know about the Markets; ... "I am a Citizen of the World, and my Nationality is Goodwill." - Socrates 470/469 – 399 BC
... ... TIME ... ...
... ... ...Ball of Confusion
... ... ... I'm Yours Price Tag
It holds true that Humans aren't complicated they just complicate every thing...it also holds true that Humans seem to have to go to the extremes with everything before concensus asks to draw it in a bit to the middle road = seek some "balance" here people (... like reverting to the mean...)...to an outside observer humans really do appear to be a bunch of YoYos...(Concensus in government seems to have come to a standstill...gridlock and laws come in packages of thousands of pages...perpetuates the insanity of the people in power ...and they think they're "Normal"...this isn't normal...why aren't there more humanitarians in congress...more mothers in congress...can't just have a bunch of people with law degrees that says they can argue any point about anything to absurdity...just look at who's running for president...more of the same or outright insanity...that's some great choices for a great country isn't it...so don't forget to vote... In philosophy, "the Absurd" refers to the conflict between (1) the human tendency to seek inherent value and meaning in life and (2) the human inability to find any. In this context absurd does not mean "logically impossible", but rather "humanly impossible".
...IF we are going to find answers...the desire for TRUTH must be present...
IT’S NOT THAT IT CAN’T BE DONE. IT IS JUST HARD TO GET EVERYONE GOING IN THE SAME DIRECTION WHEN SO MANY ARE OPERATING WITH A DIFFERENT UNDERSTANDING OF WHAT WAS AGREED TO AND WHAT THEY ARE SUPPOSED TO BE DOING. CLARITY OF PURPOSE AND ROLE IS IN SHORT SUPPLY.
"They must find it difficult ...Those who have taken authority as the truth, rather than truth as the authority." - Gerald Massey
... the fact is that quite frequently we behave as if controlled by little green men from outer space. We are the only species on the planet that is always at odds with each other, with practically all other species, and with the planet itself. We are the only species with wars, jails, ghettos and mental institutions, where we act and live worse than animals would anywhere. What have we done to ourselves as a species? What is the force that binds us to selfish deeds?
EGO is the original sin...
“It is selfish desire and anger, arising from the passions; these are the appetites and evils that threatens a person in this life.” ...the outbursts of our ego: anger, envy and hate.
Don Miguel Ruiz, in his work, The Four Agreements Companion Book, also talks about inorganic beings who feed on our fear and divisiveness, explaining it as mythology and allegory: Our own demons (fear, envy . . .) that can turn into allies (love, kindness . . .) depending on our energy and attitude. Don Miguel says that the Judge in us (ego), the Victim in us (also ego) grows to the point of becoming a Parasite that destroys our awareness and enslaves us. He explains that our Belief System (collective ego) reinforces the delusive program of our individual egos and magnifies the challenge.
In Castaneda’s words: The protective guardian (ego) becomes a jealous, despotic guard who robs our energy to feed itself, while obliterating our connection to the Spirit.
Ramana Maharshi says, when the I thought sprouts at an early age. Whereupon the ego assumes separation and limitations, and we start creating our troubles. It seems that Satan, the Beast, Mara, the Flyer and the Ego are one and the same.
For the fact is that as a species, we live in a state of constant selfish preoccupation, which is causing great harm not only to ourselves but to all sentient beings. And it behooves us to control our pernicious ego, and discipline our minds, so that we can evolve into human beings with inner sight. ... although awakening is in the present moment, there is an effort to be made, for there is a habit to break: our internal dialogue. And we do need, as the Buddha teaches, the right effort. Presence is acquired with the right effort, for the ego will try to assert itself repeatedly; it will try until we see the necessity of a still mind with our very core. Having a disciplined mind is the only way to control our ego-induced self-reflection, the darkness of selfishness. A disciplined mind is the key to happiness. “Let thine eye be single . . .”
The act of following our breath will immediately place us in the present moment, away from the morass of mental imagery. Basui and Ramana Maharshi also recommend the method of self-inquiry to arrive at inner silence.
“Who am I?” We must ask the question repeatedly, with the intention of bypassing the ego to find out who we really are. Who is reading this? Who wants to know?
* * *
At times, when I am about to succeed at stilling my mind, a different dialogue pops up. This time the dialogue is about explaining to somebody what I am doing and how, so that they can do it also. This dissertation seems worthy but it’s also useless; there is no one there for me to explain anything. No matter how worthy the dissertation seems, it is empty talk; I am talking to myself, and probably the situation will never happen.
And even if it did, it is not happening at the moment. It’s the ego again, the monster with three thousand heads. Zen Buddhist monks say that even thinking about the Buddha is a waste of time. Our sages do not want us to think about them or worship them; they want us to be like them, present. The right thought is the thought reflecting what is occurring right now.
Another thing worth considering is that upon gaining ground, a stream of negative thoughts can erupt in your mind. As if someone, who knows your weaknesses, is feeling threatened by your progress and trying to stall you. Sometimes the thoughts are incongruous or grotesque, and seem to pop out of nowhere; they are completely unrelated to the present moment. These intruding states of mind should help you realize that the ego is not only a foreign installation, but a foreign installation, who, although our own creation, has a will and an energy of its own. And it tries to reassert itself. The challenge is clearly cut out for us. The ego has to be taken for what it is, a mere point of reference in a dream. Our senses feed us incomplete and therefore misleading information.
Life is full of paradoxes, isn’t it? The ego doesn’t really exist, it’s just a thought. But we need it to be able to operate in a world that is itself a thought, an interpretation of energy, a dream. The Toltecs call themselves warriors because the conquest of the self is the greatest of all conquests; it requires a sustained effort; it requires unbending intent.
The following quotes go to the gist of the matter. The first one illustrates the challenge that we face; the second shows the way to meet that challenge:
“Lack of vigilance is like a thief, who slinks behind when mindfulness abates. And all the merit we have gathered in, he steals, and down we go to lower realms.”
—Shantideva in The Way of the Bodhisattva
“The more I doubted, the more I meditated, the more I practiced. Whenever doubt arose I practiced right at that point.
Wisdom arose. Things began to change. It’s hard to describe the change that took place. The mind changed until there was no more doubt. I don’t know how it changed. If I were to try telling someone, they probably wouldn’t understand.”—Ajahn Chah in Food for the Heart According to what I have found there is not much of an "I" anywhere.
This "I" that we put so much stock on is not the same from day to day, or from moment to moment; everything is interconnected. I have verified that nothing in this world is actually explainable; it is all energy in motion. You see, magic is afoot, although we have the uncanny ability to ignore it completely. We live in a daze; we live in confusion, a confusion caused precisely by our undiciplined ego, our self-absorption. But who is this "I" anyway? Who are we really? I leave you with the question; for it behooves all of us to do our homework, our due diligence. Rio Guzman
https://plus.google.com/117689065373889967059 http://www.trueactivist.com/this-artwork-is-probably-the-most-accurate-and-scary-portrayal-of-modern-life-weve-ever-seen/#.VlspBpyN-5A.google_plusone_share “The real hopeless victims of mental illness are to be found among those who appear to be most normal. "Many of them are normal because they are so well adjusted to our mode of existence, because their human voice has been silenced so early in their lives, that they do not even struggle or suffer or develop symptoms as the neurotic does." They are normal not in what may be called the absolute sense of the word; they are normal only in relation to a profoundly abnormal society. Their perfect adjustment to that abnormal society is a measure of their mental sickness. These millions of abnormally normal people, living without fuss in a society to which, if they were fully human beings, they ought not to be adjusted.” ? Aldous Huxley, Brave New World Revisited
Your mind is blocking and distorting most of the life coming to you. Your five senses sense life. Your mind produces and sends you things that it makes up. It creates and sends you thoughts, fears, desires, emotions, ETC. It converts life into its mental code for life. It attempts to turn all of life into words, mental pictures, abstract thoughts, or bytes of data. We need to get a hold of our minds quickly, they have become too powerful to let them control our lives. We need to take control of them, and we do that by learning the truth. The truth of life has been revealed and it turned out ot be better than anything we could have imagined. The truth will set you free from the mind, and give you the best life here and now. Google Truth Contest and read the top entry. Why let your own mind hurt you? The age of the mind is coming to an end, the age of truth, understanding, peace, and love is here.
The degree of truth that can survive every test will set men free to soar....
"It is no measure of health to be well adjusted to a profoundly sick society." Krishnamerti
“We are not human beings on a spiritual journey. We are spiritual beings on a human journey.” Stephen R. Covey
...in The Beginning of the End of the old system...
The Holy man at the grocery checkout and the 100th Monkey... I make a comment about the people giving their money to the rich in the big tax give away recently. I feel like we're just cattle for the slaughter. He said something like we are seeing the beginning of the end of the old system. He was not concerned about the surface issue: artifacts of a dying system. He felt that change is already afoot and we are already on a path to major changes sometime in 2012....2013...2014...2015...2016...
I commented on his positive attitude and he said "I'm not positive: I have transcended!"
The hundredth monkey effect is a supposed phenomenon in which a learned behavior spreads instantaneously from one group of monkeys to all related monkeys once a critical number is reached. By generalization it means the instantaneous, paranormal spreading of an idea or ability to the remainder of a population once a certain portion of that population has heard of the new idea or learned the new ability. The story behind this supposed phenomenon originated with Lawrence Blair and Lyall Watson in the mid-to-late 1970s, who claimed that it was the observation of Japanese scientists.
The Holy Man, as I now call him
, out of basic respect, told me that the idea that we have to rely on each other - as opposed to institutions like banks and government - is the idea that is spreading and it is reaching critical mass in human society in general.
The wikipedia article goes on to report that the idea of the '100th monkey effect' was discredited, it appears it had been somewhat overstated to begin with.
But as a teaching analogy for where humans are now particularly with our global telecommunications and travel, we are all more and more able to communicate. So a '100th monkey effect' is entirely possible with humankind without any sort of actual mysticism involved.
Capitalism is the old system. It is based on greed and selfishness and has run its course. And it has damaged the planet and countless numbers of people in its greedy exploits.
The most recent massive giveaway to the wealthy is part of the old pattern. Capitalists take from the poor and feather their own massive nests.
The Holy man seems to think that system is going to end far sooner than I do, that it is already underway and irreversible.
Here's hoping he's right. 'Each time a man stands up for an ideal, or acts to improve the lot of others, or strikes out against injustice, he sends forth a tiny ripple of hope, and crossing each other from a million different centers of energy and daring, those ripples build a current which can sweep down the mightiest walls of oppression and resistance.' Bobby Kennedy
So you want a guarantee...?... Lol Lol lol...
As former Fed Chairman Alan Greenspan famously said in his 2005 Congressional testimony on Social Security...I believe that we should maintain the principles of Social Security, but I think the existing structure is not working. Until we construct a system that creates the savings that are required to build the REAL assets, so that the retirees have REAL goods and services. We don’t have a system that is working. We have one that basically moves cash around and we can guarantee cash benefits as far out and whatever size you like, but we cannot guarantee their purchasing power.
Criminally INSANE and Mass INSANITY creates an idiot culture... "They must find it difficult ...Those who have taken authority as the truth, rather than truth as the authority." - Gerald Massey Democracy is not a free ride... Freedom... Woody Harrelson 'Ethos Time to Unslave Humanity "Our ethos is all that we currently hold to be true. It is what we currently act upon. It governs our manners, our business and our politics." Howard Zinn Ethos is an appeal to ethics, and its a means of convincing someone of the character or credibility of the persuader.
Alice and Wonderland...
Would you tell me, please, which way I ought to go from here?'
'That depends a good deal on where you want to get to,' said the Cat.
'I don't much care where -' said Alice.'Then it doesn't matter which way you go,' said the Cat'
But I don't want to go among mad people,' Alice remarked.
'Oh, you can't help that,' said the Cat: 'we're all mad here. I'm mad. You're mad.'
'How do you know I'm mad?' said Alice.
'You must be,' said the Cat, 'or you wouldn't have come here.'
Mad Hatter - They're Coming to Take Me Away
Pathos is an appeal to emotion, and is a way of convincing an audience of an argument by creating an emotional response.
Logos is an appeal to logic, and is a way of persuading an audience by reason.
..................................................................................................... Takin' Care of Business
What does 'what the market will bear' mean?
The phrase “whatever the market will bear” is typically used in economic discussions. Primarily, when discussing how fees for various products or services are set you’ll hear the phrase offered as some explanation for what is really exploitation of the market. It only works well in a non-competitive environment. Adam Smith, the pioneer of political economy who authored An Inquiry Into the Nature and Causes of the Wealth of Nations, would have considered this type of power — as unrestrained greed — that supports the idea of “whatever the market will bear” as a thing too terrible to imagine.
But then, Smith was passionate about liberty, reason, and free speech. He was a classical liberal, a believer in“natural liberty”, but not quite the free-wheeling laissez-faire libertarian those who frequently co-opt his theories apparently believe him to be.
Smith believed there was a danger in too much concentration of power which naturally occurs on the side of businesses and the rich in an unregulated environment. There are some interesting parallels between Smith’s concerns about the collusive nature of business interests and the problem of our dying Constitution and the consequent perversion of our criminal justice system.
Corporatocracy is a term used as an economic and political system controlled by corporations or corporate interests. It is a generally pejorative term often used by critics of the current economic situation in a particular country, especially the United States. This is different to corporatism, which is the organisation of society into groups with common interests.
Self-interested competition in the free market, [Smith] argued, would tend to benefit society as a whole by keeping prices low, while still building an incentive for a wide variety of goods and services. Nevertheless, he was wary of businessmen and warned of their “conspiracy against the public or in some other contrivance to raise prices.”[footnote deleted] Again and again Smith warned of the collusive nature of business interests, which may form cabals or monopolies, fixing the highest price “which can be squeezed out of the buyers”. Smith also warned that a true laissez-faire economy would quickly become a conspiracy of businesses and industry against consumers, with the former scheming to influence politics and legislation. Smith states that the interest of manufacturers and merchants “…in any particular branch of trade or manufactures, is always in some respects different from, and even opposite to, that of the public…The proposal of any new law or regulation of commerce which comes from this order, ought always to be listened to with great precaution, and ought never be adopted till after having been long and carefully examined, not only with the most scrupulous, but with the most suspicious attention.”
Smith also believed,
The subjects of every state ought to contribute towards the support of the government, as nearly as possible, in proportion to their respective abilities; that is, in proportion to the revenue which they respectively enjoy under the protection of the state.
The rich should contribute to the public expense, not only in proportion to their revenue, but something more than in that proportion. How amazing it is, then, that the rich and the conservative so frequently try to justify their dangerous and corrupting acquisition of power by relying upon Adam Smith.
But what has this to do with criminal defense and with the corruption of the criminal justice system?
A number of things, including that “collusive nature of business interests, which may form cabals and monopolies, fixing the highest price ‘which can be squeezed out of the buyers’” and the misplaced laissez-faire attitude of judges towards them. http://www.rhdefense.com/2011/03/11/whatever-the-market-will-bear
Capitalism is an economic system in which the means of production are privately owned, supply, demand, price, distribution, and investments are mostly set by the private sector and market forces rather than by economic planning by the government; profit is distributed by owners who invests in businesses. It also refers to the process of capital accumulation.
Capitalism... is the old system. It is based on greed and selfishness and has run its course. Debt has been used to degrade everything including human lives to a monetary calculation that eliminates all social obligations to each other. This is especially observable in the later development of "capitalism that has reduced society to a system of practical debt slavery." Government debt to private parties has been used to manipulate and corrupt government for private ends, particularly, in the present debt paradigm called capitalism.
And it has damaged the planet and countless numbers of people in its greedy exploits. ...the idea that we have to rely on each other - as opposed to institutions like banks and government - is the idea that is spreading and it is reaching critical mass in human society in general.
Corporations are persons who have no moral conscience
They are special kinds of persons which are designed by laws to be concerned only for their stockholders.
Corporations have no soul
to save and they have no body to incarcerate
. Volkswagen AG told regulators this week that another 75,000 diesel vehicles sold in the U.S. contain software that government officials have said can evade emissions tests...5 years of lies and no jail time. "The World is a Business"
... Mad as Hell
... "We" Day...noApathy
... >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> Slaves to DEBT Get yourself a set of Balls and put them on...you're going to need them... The Collapse of The American Dream Explained Debt = Money. This is the most important thing you can understand about modern finance. America is now 17 Trillion dollars in debt. That is roughly $53,000 dollars per citizen. Most of this debt has been falsely imposed on America by the banking organization. Collapse of The American Dream Explained ...more links.
Understand this first...DEBT...
Consider for a moment the broad stretch of financial history. It used to be that currency was backed by gold and loans were backed by tangible assets (e.g., mortgages are typically backed by homes). Both instruments gave their owners legal claims to real assets in the event of default. This approach helps establish trust between two parties in a transaction.
During much of the 19th century, the world operated on what is known as the classical gold standard, in which currencies were backed more or less one-for-one with gold. Why did this come about? Why did any country ever have a gold standard? Because people can trust gold — in an absolute sense. Governments can’t print gold. But the world has long since abandoned the classical gold standard, so the fundamental trust and stability conveyed by gold is almost always out of sample in the context of today’s data and mathematical tools.
Likewise, back in the 19th century, loans were fully backed by tangible assets. Lenders would let other people borrow only if they had the right to recover money if a borrower defaulted. And government debt typically traded with a risk premium over corporate bonds. By backing loans with collateral, borrowers don’t need income to fulfill their obligations to lenders. Collateral creates trust in the financial system.
Over time, however, the use of real assets to back these claims, whether currency or loans, has been whittled away by numerous small changes. Today, currency is no longer backed by anything, and loans are increasingly backed by nothing but the earning power of the borrower. So, the fundamental reason for people to trust currency and credit has slowly shifted from a sound claim on tangible assets to a speculative claim on future income. Now, so long as future income is healthy, there isn’t necessarily a problem. Trust is intact. But what happens when the future income fails to materialize? That’s right: default. So, the transition from relying on tangible assets to future income increases the risk to the entire system. This is systemic risk.
Where exactly does this systemic risk show up? Is it in time series data of security prices or spreads from the past 10, 20, or 30 years? No. Is it in your factor exposures relative to the benchmark? How could it be? Is it even showing up in interest rates or spreads? Hardly.
Curiously, over the last 25 years, the United States has seen a marked increase in credit without collateral in the form of credit cards, student loans, bank financing, junk bonds, government bonds, etc. With these instruments, borrowers repay by using their future income to meet obligations. By charging high rates of interest, lenders anticipate a percentage of borrowers won’t have adequate future income and will default. Therefore, lenders charge interest rates in excess of the expected default rate to earn a spread (among other things). But this comes with a cost. Borrowers must have income in order to repay. At the macro level, personal income must grow and jobs must be abundant in order to have healthy credit markets. In the absence of a healthy economy, it all comes racing back to trust. And without income or collateral, trust becomes scarce. http://blogs.cfainstitute.org/investor/2015/07/15/risk-is-the-dark-matter-of-portfolio-management/
... it all starts with the ability of a Leviathan government to fund itself through infinite debt that it never intends to repay. Infinite money enables infinite government. (from comments on ZeroHedge.com)
_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ http://www.moneychimp.com/glossary/ Book value/Residual value/Intrinsic value Some fundamentals... this is a need to know/understand...
...historical P/E ratio is 15.9... S&P 500 will set new highs in 2016 P/E ratios
Secular Bull Market - A look ahead
As we have witnessed, energy earnings, or lack thereof, have been discussed ad nauseum. Back in January, I noted that all market participants would have to reconcile what impact that would have on the earnings picture to formulate their strategy going forward. Now the strength of the USD has entered the earnings picture as well. In my case it has made me pause, reflect on all of the conflicting issues and wrestle with the possible outcomes. I did just that before I could decide on a confident outline to allow me to put forth a 6 month (end of '15), and 12 month (mid '16) projections.
The "Base", "Bull" and "Bear" cases for YE 2015 and Mid 2016
***Feb 22 ...as of the first 2 months of 2016...we are seeing $121 estimates for the S&P 500 and in the chart below =Economy stalls...Energy and Strong $Dollar issues deepen, earnings growth of 2-3%...PE's retract= PE of 15 or 16 times earnings...= the recent low was 1810 and the high of this week was 1930... so the next 3 charts and projections; for now appear overly optomistic for 2016 and beyond...
Year 2015 estimate: $119.23/share... Year 2016 estimate: $133.95/share.... Year 2017 estimate: $149.49/share
Sept. 01, 2015... CAPE (Cyclically Adjusted Price Earnings) ratio. It’s a cousin of the popular price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio.
The P/E ratio divides the price of an index or stock by its earnings-per-share (EPS) for the past year. A high ratio means stocks are expensive. A low ratio means stocks are cheap.
Robert Shiller's CAPE ratio is the price/earnings ratio with one adjustment. Instead of using just one year of earnings, it incorporates earnings from the past 10 years. This smooths out the effects of booms and recessions and gives us a useful long-term view of a stock or market. Right now, the S&P’s CAPE ratio is 24.6…about 48% more expensive than its average since 1881.
$$$ Live long and prosper $$$
You think you want to trade stocks...this is what you're up against... What Is A "Velocity Logic" Event?
...understand this and you can "own it ALL." A little distraction here...about the "human" condition, before we get on to the Technicals... BUBBLE Cowboy JP Morgan crooks This Is Why There Are No Jobs in America Economy and Culture
The Federal Reserve was founded in 1913, 100 years ago. At that time, gold was defined by law at $20/oz. Today, the (maniuplated) market price of gold is $1,200/oz, a change by a factor of 60X. Instead of manipulating the amount of dollars in the accounts and wallets of every American, they have done something more evil, they have manipulated the value of the dollar. Moreover, they did it primarily in an attempt to manipulate the behavior of citizens, by fooling them through suppressing the time-value of money.
When coupled with income tax on the inflation in nominal value of capital assets like land, it amounts to the greatest theft of private wealth to the benefit of government in all of human history.
We have the opportunity, through a Convention to Consider Amendments to the Constitution, to peacefully redefine and repair the funcations and powers of the Federal Government. In the past people were worried that such a convention would result in a net loss of precious rights. I think it should be clear that the trajectory we are presently on shows that our rights are already being actively destroyed starting with our property. Now it should be clear that government is also at war with our privacy.
Thomas Benton said that in searching history he could find but one parallel to Andrew Jackson. That was Cicero, who destroyed the conspiracies of Cataline and saved Rome. He did for Rome what Jackson did when he destroyed the bank conspiracy and saved America.
What differentiates "stocks, bonds, real estate and other financial assets" from gold is merely the ease at which we can come up with a story that we believe to be true about the investment's future.
Without income, or some other quantitative input that we perceive adds to a greater certainty of value, gold's story is simply harder for us to fabricate.
Anarchy is all about the ability of each individual to be in charge of his or her own life without predetermined restraints. If you injure someone or damage something, you’re responsible. Otherwise, society has no claims on you, certainly none enforced by the power of the state. There is no state …. What The Government Doesn't Want You To Know About Your Rights
(This guy should run for governor AND FIX THE GOVERNMENT NOT SET PEOPLE UP TO BE ARRESTED...he needs to make it clear that a public protest is to make all traffic stops go to court and then maybe the government will stop their abuse... )
The People's ISSUE:
Greed is good, and high-speed trading is better—if you want to rig the market (Wikimedia Commons)
High Frequency Trading and Front Running the news
I can't blame a soul for pulling out of the stock market after today. Without answers about what happened, it makes a ton of sense. Because this whole business of stocks has been sacrificed on the altar of high-frequency trading and the protected broker interests and nobody is protecting the little guy any more. Jim Cramer
"To achieve world government it is necessary to remove from the minds of men their individualism, loyality to family traditions, national patriotism, and religious dogmas."
Brock Chrisholm, Director U.N. World Health Organization 1948-1953
Declaration of Independence says the following:
"That whenever any Form of Government becomes destructive of these ends, it is the Right of the People to alter or to abolish it, and to institute new Government, laying its foundation on such principles and organizing its powers in such form, as to them shall seem most likely to effect their Safety and Happiness."
...................................................... Prudence ..........................................................................
Has there ever been a time in the last 100 years that the people were more ready to "alter or abolish" our government?!
We the People should be mad...
A new law scheduled to commence on January 1, 2014 known as FATCA is engineered to keep folks from opening bank accounts outside of the country.
We have now joined the former East Germany, North Korea, Cuba, Iran, the former USSR, and 1930’s Germany on the list of countries with laws designed to keep our citizens from leaving the country, and in some cases prevent a return should they manage to leave.
The Story of Your Enslavement
“If we have become a debt society, it is because the legacy of war, conquest, and slavery has never completely gone away.” "It is no measure of health to be well adjusted to a profoundly sick society." Krishnamerti
Government debt to private parties has been used to manipulate and corrupt government for private ends, particularly, in the present debt paradigm called capitalism.
M2 Money Supply is considered to be a broader measure of the money supply—it includes savings accounts, deposits, and non-institutional money market funds, in addition to the currency already in circulation.
In 2000, the M2 Money Supply was around $4.5 trillion. Now it hovers close to $11.0 trillion.
Wait, there’s more! The Federal Reserve continues to create $85.0 billion a month in new money, pushing the money supply even higher. And “tapering” quantitative easing doesn’t mean the Federal Reserve will stop printing fiat currency; it just means they will slow the pace of printing.
The damage has already been done. While inflation may not be a concern to people today, going forward it could be a huge problem. Look at the fast rebound in gold bullion prices following the recent price correction; look at the jump in the yield on 10-year U.S. Treasuries—these are indicators of inflation ahead. An already strained U.S. consumer who needs to buy goods and services to run his or her household can vouch for this today.
The Libor scandal
"" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">; rel="nofollow" target="_blank" >http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-04-13/goldman-sachs-cdos-bet-against-clients-misled-congress-senate-panel-says.html[tag][/tag]
Everything you need to know that the media is not telling you...
We the people should be Mad...MAD AS HELL
...fear blinds us to opportunity; greed blinds us to danger - emotions cause "perceptual distortion'" where we only see the part of the picture that our beliefs allow us. ...Chowder SeekingAlpha.com http://seekingalpha.com/article/2801595-selling-guidelines-for-self-directed-investors
Looking at some definitions first...and later I will provide some answers...Ki...
"To achieve satisfactory investment results is easier than most people realize; to achieve superior results is harder than it looks." - Benjamin Graham
Buy low... Sell high...relative to what...?
The central philosophy of contrarian investing is founded on the belief that the worse things seem to be, the greater opportunity there is for profit. The trickiness of contrarian investing is deciphering Mr. Market's rationality from its irrationality. (MF)
TimeFrame Trading... (... and it really is as easy as a simple moving average...don't let WallStreet and economist's or bankerCROOKS intimidate you...
Make sure you are trading in the direction of the trend. Buy dips if the trend is up. Sell rallies if the trend is down. If you’re trading the intermediate trend, use daily and weekly charts. If you are day trading, use daily and intra-day charts. In each case, let the longer timeframe chart determine the trend, and then use the shorter term chart for timing.
Moving averages provide "objective" buy and sell signals. They tell you if the existing trend is still in motion and help confirm a trend change. Moving averages do not tell you in advance, however, that a trend change is imminent. (If you have been paying attention; you would know that the "GRAIL" averages prove that last statement wrong...)
The bias of the market is to drift upwards in the absence of bad news. It goes up roughly 2/3 of the time and down only 1/3 of the time.
The "what" (price action) is more important than the "why" (News, earnings, so on). All known information is reflected in the price. Buyers and sellers move Markets based on expectations and emotions (fear and greed). Markets fluctuate. The actual price may not reflect the underlying value. (stockcharts.com)
Big Percentage movers. Stocks that are making big-percentage moves either up or down are usually in play because their sector is becoming attractive or they have a major fundamental catalyst such as a recent earnings release. Sometimes stocks making big moves have been hit with an analyst upgrade or an analyst downgrade.
Regardless of the reason behind it, when a stock makes a large-percentage move, it is often just the start of a new major trend -- a trend that can lead to huge profits. If you time your trade correctly, combining technical indicators with fundamental trends, discipline and sound money management, you will be well on your way to investment success. (theStreet.com)
The charts below are from Alex's "side volume" charts...larger volume at certain price levels may suggest Support/Resistance... Kiy's charts with 6 period Moving Averages applied to the CCI 20 oscillator: CCI crosses the average; consider it a warning of "change"...especially when the crossover happens from the overbought or oversold levels... ***and when deciding how to act at centerline on the 30 minute and 60 minute charts...
Signals at signal lines... listen to the signals...pick a price and act on it.
The psychological affect of the rapid rise in interest rates might begin to become a slight drag on economic growth.
The housing market comprises many variables, and interest rates are just one of them. Incomes, we know, are not rising rapidly, but the housing market inventory is extremely tight. That dichotomy has been bullish for home prices so far, but at some point, higher interest rates will begin to become a larger factor.
Because the overall economic growth of America is still relatively weak, if rates continue rising, this would have an impact on the housing market. 30 minute MFI...Money Flow Index Mining CandleGlance GDX CandleGlance ..... GDXJ CandleGlance Silver Mining 10 yr Yield Bond Market Misconceptions, Facts, and Fallacies; Bond Market About to Collapse? http://forex.tradingcharts.com/ Paralysis By Analysis >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
...the day the dream died http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pDe6QCqFu4c&NR=1
South Korean flag is the only flag that carries a philosophy... the flag is called Taegukki (which means, "Great Extremes").
The white in this philosophical flag represents peace and purity. Symbolically, the Yin-Yang symbol represents opposites; it is the belief that all things in the universe have two, opposite aspects that cannot exist without the other. The kwae trigrams are from the I Ching; the broken bars symbolize yin (dark and cold) and the unbroken bars symbolize yang (bright and hot). The four Kwae represent: heaven (three unbroken bars), the Earth (three broken bars), water (one unbroken line between two broken bars), and fire (one broken bar between two unbroken bars). The Kwai trigrams are placed in such a way that they balance one another, heaven is placed opposite Earth, and fire is placed opposite water. The official lie is most effective when we want to believe the lie more than we wish to know the truth.
Cognitive Dissonance Cognitive dissonance is when one brain holds two opposing ideas and believes both.
One needs to understand an elementary principle about human psychology: A person's wants and desires influence more than his behavior. They influence his thinking, as well, and even his powers of perception. This is true even with regard to things that would be otherwise intuitively obvious. Psychologists say that when a person is confronted by ideas or facts that are at odds with his pre-existing notions, what results is "cognitive dissonance," a sort of static in the human psyche. This "static" has the power to distort or even block perception.
When disturbing information creates "cognitive dissonance," the "static" discredits the information, so that a person does not feel compelled to cope with it, even if it is true. If a fact or idea is sufficiently contrary to his or her "status quo," the threatening data can be prevented from entering their consciousness at all! In effect, "cognitive dissonance" is a tremendously powerful "self-preservation" mechanism which can completely override the human desire for truth.
bankerCROOKS and KILLERS
...and You and I... http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AYmeJlm7Gcg&feature=endscreen
Lyrics ...and You and I ...http://www.youtube.com/watch?NR=1&v=QFyW_11Y_PQ&feature=endscreen<>
III. The Preacher the Teacher (...a sense of a new world to look forward to...)
(***...a message from Aquarius...preachers and teachers best listen... politicians...also) Yes - Soon
THERE CAN BE NO PEACE UNTIL WE FIND PEACE WITHIN http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6H7rk1rfp7c Psychology...Singularity...I-robot...Borg...as humans become obsolete
"All matter is merely energy condensed to a slow vibration. We are all one consciousness experiencing itself subjectively. There is no such thing as death, life is a dream, and we're the imagination of ourselves."
"The Matrix has you." - Want out?
Waking up from this Matrix- Training for Eternity- Seekers- http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=U9HtZFb_VtM
Finite...INFINITE...12/21/12...winter solstice "It is no measure of health to be well adjusted to a profoundly sick society." Krishnamerti
...Comments... How can our elected representatives in congress understand anything when they don't participate in the same health care, pension, or many other plans that American voters do?
It's time to remove the 2 party system and have one group that cares about what will rebuild this country to regain our place amoung the world leaders.
One bill one vote, line item vetoing, term limits for all of them, no pay when no balanced budget, accountability for misconduct, no more lobbyists, etc.
I know this will never happen because our system of government is so large and misguided that greed has taken over in place of what is right for this country. I hate what my kids are going to have to endure as they grow up.
...and lets cut out all the undecleared WARS ...now...Animals - We Gotta Get Out Of This Place We were warned
"Even among the president's supporters, one is hard put now to find anyone who doesn't recognize that Mr. Obama's original appeal to hope and change has given way to search and destroy… The original argument for the Obama presidency was that this was a new, open-minded and liberal man, intent on elevating the common good. No one believes that now." - Daniel Henninger, Wall Street Journal, January 31, 2013. <<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<< >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> Bitcoin is the Sewer Rat of Currencies
? How Bitcoin Will End the Nation State Bitcoin: The Sexiest Non-Solution Of All Time? BitCoin gets "wonky" First Bitcoin investment fund launches Bitconned: SEC busts alleged Bitcoin Ponzi scheme CROOKS in Costa Rica use bitcoin for money laundering How Did Bitcoin Become a Real Currency? Bitcoin...Mish Bitcoin Venture Capitalist Roger Ver's Journey to Anarchism BitCoin Exchange BitCoin Trader...
Intermission........ >>>>>>>> Forever Young >>> Feeling Good>>>>>>>>>Kashmir Cover ...........Does Anybody Really Know What Time It Is? .....................Baker Street “I consider that the chief dangers which confront the coming century will be religion without the Holy Ghost, Christianity without Christ, forgiveness without repentance, salvation without regeneration, politics without God, and heaven without hell.”
...Do I dare Disturb the universe? In a minute there is time For decisions and revisions which in a minute will reverse. For I have known them all already, known them all— Have known the evenings, mornings, afternoons, I have measured out my life with coffee spoons; I know the voices dying with a dying fall Beneath the music from a farther room. So how should I presume? ...T.S.Eliot >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>presume, suppose, take it (as given), take for granted, take as read, conjecture, surmise,conclude, deduce, infer, reckon, reason, think,fancy, believe, understand, suppose to be the case without proof Dream On ....... War of the Worlds...The Spirit of Man... WAR OF THE WORLDS 1hour:35minutes Gold is MONEY...Pink Floyd...Ka-Chang...that chick has a fine behind......MOnEY, MONEY...Price Tag...http://ibankcoin.com/
Oh let the sun beat down upon my face, stars to fill my dream
I am a traveler of both time and space, to be where I have been
To sit with elders of the gentle race, this world has seldom seen
They talk of days for which they sit and wait and all will be revealed
Let me take you there. Let me take you there ... Kashmir
William Booth Founder of The Salvation Army
<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<< Free Trade Zones STOCK MARKET...Tools...and More...
Why Technical indicators are the choice...The problem we run into is that valuation is not a timing tool. A momentum trader will tell you from personal experience that overpriced stocks can and do get more expensive. Value investors will tell you from their personal experience that cheap stocks can get a whole lot cheaper. Mean reversion does not occur immediately after an asset moves away from its long-term trend. Any bond trader can tell you that from their personal experience of the past 30 years.
Analyzing Price Action: Velocity and Magnitude Posted on April 14, 2015 by Cory Mitchell, CMT (...also follow some of the many links he has posted...
Price is the ultimate indicator, it tells the real story. While other technical indicators may help interpret price data, price is the basis from which (most of) those indicators are derived. It follows that having advanced price-action-analysis skills will aid your trading. Use to confirm or filter out trade signals via price or other indicators.
Velocity and Magnitude: Why They’re Important When Analyzing Price Action
Every price wave within a trend can be judged based on velocity and magnitude. That means throughout the trend assessments can be made about the probability of trades in regards to that trend.
If a trend is strong based on velocity and magnitude we know that we want to take the next valid trade signal (based on our trading plan) that will get us into that trend. If velocity and magnitude are significantly weakening then the trend may be ending and therefore the next trade signal may be filtered out, or our expectation/target for the trade lowered.
Analyzing Price Action: Magnitude
Magnitude in regards to analyzing price action simply refers to the length of price waves, relative to other price waves of consequence. If the price runs for a long way in one direction without a significant pullback, then that run has strong or large magnitude. During a trend we want to see the impulse waves (waves in the direction of the trend) have large magnitude relative to the pullbacks.
Short waves have little or weak magnitude. The price is not moving aggressively in one direction. During a trend, pullbacks should have weak magnitude relative to the impulse waves of the trend.
Magnitude is not measured in absolutes, it is always relative. Waves are measured against recent waves, as well as the overall outlook. In figure 1 the trend is down because the impulse waves are larger than the smaller pullbacks. Toward the middle of the chart there are some stronger pullbacks, relative to recent down waves. While this may deter us from taking a short position for a period of time, looking at the overall outlook the pullback is not big enough to rival the major down waves.
Here are some basic guidelines for analyzing price action with magnitude:
- The trend is confirmed by waves of large magnitude in the trending direction.
A reversal has begun, or deeper pullback is underway, when a wave of large magnitude (relative) occurs against the prior trend.
A trend may be losing momentum if small waves start to occur in the trending direction. The trend isn’t over yet, it is just potentially weakening (it’s possible to have several slow waves in the direction of the trend, only to be followed by another strong wave renewing the strength of the trend–this is why we don’t assume the trend is over just because there are small waves in the trending direction).
Pullbacks of small magnitude, relative to the impulse waves of the trend, confirm the trend.
Compare a pullback to other pullbacks, impulse waves and the overall trend. Do the same for impulse waves; comparing them to other recent impulse waves, recent pullbacks and the overall trend.
It can also help to view another time frame as well. If trading off a 1-minute chart, (like above), it may help to view a 5 minute chart as well. This will provide a slightly broader perspective, and you may notice some relative strengths or weaknesses in waves that you hadn’t noticed on the shorter time frame chart.
Analyzing Price Action: Velocity
Velocity is how fast price covers distance, and is used in conjunction with magnitude.
A very fast price move which covers a significant distance (relative) shows greater conviction than a move that moves very slowly.
Figure 2 shows the same chart as above, yet we can also use velocity to analyze this chart, in conjunction with magnitude. Moves down are not only larger than pullbacks, but they occur faster than the pullbacks–the impulse waves down cover more distance in a quicker amount of time.
Having magnitude and velocity on the side of the market you are trading is ideal (ie. taking short positions when strong velocity and magnitude are to the downside).
Velocity is most applicable when combined with magnitude. A short burst of velocity isn’t particularly important, since it could just be one or two big orders being filled in the market. A move of large magnitude which also has velocity shows a lot of power and conviction, and may either confirm the trend (if in the trending direction) or indicate a reversal (if moving against the trend).
Extremely large moves with substantial velocity (both relative to recent price action) usually indicate some sort of news announcement or some unusual event. In such cases, technical analysis is generally useless, and it is recommended traders step aside until valid signals based on more stable market conditions emerge.
Analyzing Price Action – How to Use This Information
Analyzing price action is a constant task. Being able to adjust to new information is critical.
Traders may wish to develop some guidelines or rules about velocity or magnitude in their trading plan. While these concepts are relatively simple to understand in theory, I consider them advanced trading techniques because they have the potential to turn a rule-based system (which most new traders use) into a hybrid trading system–one which has rule-based elements incorporated with more subjective elements such as interpreting velocity and magnitude.
Subjective or hybrid type systems are harder to test. Basically you need to hone your price analysis skills in a demo account, and only when you see–over many trades–that using this information provides you with an edge should you attempt to implement this knowledge using real money.
Agreeing that something works, or can aid your trading, is very different than actually being able to do it, and use that knowledge in real time trading. Therefore, practice, practice, practice. It is always easier to do this in hindsight, yet this will be the starting point as you begin to practice using these concepts. Go through historical charts and analyze velocity and magnitude and how it impacted the trend, as well as potential trades you may have taken. Then proceed to trade using this information in a demo account, marking up charts in real-time, noting changes in velocity and magnitude, and how those changes affect the price waves that follow (see 5 Step Plan for Forex Trading Success).
Realize that velocity and magnitude are constantly in flux. We must look at an overall picture of what is occurring as well as note details about each wave. This is the study of current price waves relative to recent price waves. There is still an element of uncertainty. Everything can look great and we will still lose trades. By analyzing price action based velocity and magnitude–and being able to effectively act on the information we interpret and alter our expectations/targets–hopefully those losing trades will happen slightly less often for you. By Cory Mitchell, CMT Follow me on Twitter @corymitc and check out our Facebook page.
The American people know... inflation is not well under control, for they know how far the purchasing power of a dollar has dropped when they go to the supermarket or service station.
They are pretty sure they are not getting reasonable value from the taxes they pay.
When an economist tells them that growing the nation's debt over the past 12 years from $6 trillion to $16 trillion is not a problem, and that doubling it again will still not be a problem, this simply does not compute. They know the trajectory we are on.
When politicians claim that this tax increase or that spending cut will generate trillions over the next decade,they are properly skeptical over whether anyone can truly know what will happen next year, let alone a decade or more from now.
They are wary of grand bargains that kick in years down the road, knowing that the failure to make hard decisions is how we got into today's mess. They remember that one of the basic principles of economics is scarcity, which is a powerful force in their own lives.
They know that a society's wealth is not unlimited, and that if the economy is so fragile that the government cannot allow failure, then we are indeed close to collapse. For if you must rescue everything, then ultimately you will be able to rescue nothing.
They also know that the only reason paper money, backed not by anything tangible but only a promise, has any value at all is because it is scarce. With all the printing, the credibility of our entire trust-based monetary system will be increasingly called into question.
And when you tell the populace that we can all enjoy a free lunch of extremely low interest rates, massive Fed purchases of mounting treasury issuance, trillions of dollars of expansion in the Fed's balance sheet, and huge deficits far into the future,they are highly skeptical not because they know precisely what will happen but because they are sure that no one else--even, or perhaps especially, the policymakers—does either. http://www.econmatters.com/ In the parallel universe that financial markets inhabit... This is your brain on stocks
5 Brain Flaws that make you a lousy investor The 'monarchs of money' The case for more public scrutiny of the central banks. 40% of Highest Paid CEOs Were Bailed Out, Booted, or Busted JPMorgan FRAUD
"It is no measure of health to be well adjusted to a profoundly sick society." Krishnamerti Fascism, which rules the world today, is unjust because the people who are politically connected—not necessarily economically productive—do best. Doug Casey Trinity: A deja vu is usually a glitch in the Matrix. It happens when they change something. Things are falling apart--that is obvious. But why are they falling apart? The reasons are complex and global. Our economy and society have structural problems that cannot be solved by adding debt to debt. We are becoming poorer, not just from financial over-reach, but from fundamental forces that are not easy to identify or understand. We will cover the five core reasons why things are falling apart: ...there never has been a resumption of rapid economic growth with oil at or near $100 a barrel. The economic engines just don't rev on this expensive energy. "It is no measure of health to be well adjusted to a profoundly sick society." Krishnamerti
...and the PiPer will lead us to "reason."
...that the Law ought to embody Justice - oftentimes, this is simply not the case. Indeed, when evil people author laws, it is only by accident or mistake that they coincide with justice at all.
The 19th century French scholar and author of The Law, Frédéric Bastiat, reminds us, "It is easy to understand why the law is used by the legislator to destroy in varying degrees among the rest of the people their personal independence by slavery
, their liberty by oppression
, and their property by plunder
. This is done for the benefit of the person who makes the law, and in proportion to the power that they hold."
Dodd-Frank itself, a sprawling document that employs 30,000 pages
of rules to merely preserve the existing system
. “If we want everything to stay the same, everything must change,” Wolf writes, quoting a character from the Italian epic The Leopard. - See more at: http://www.thefiscaltimes.com/Columns/2014/09/12/Six-Years-After-Lehman-s-Bankruptcy-Wall-Street-Reckless-Ever#sthash.vBfwQqX4.dpuf
Lawmakers criticized the Federal Reserve and other government agencies for failing to hold individuals accountable for the actions that led to the financial crisis despite reaching record settlements with some of Wall Street’s biggest banks over mortgage misdeeds. http://blogs.wsj.com/law/2014/09/09/warren-faults-banking-regulators-for-lack-of-criminal-prosecutions/
The questions prompted Fed Gov. Daniel Tarullo, the regulatory point man at the central bank, to suggest the Fed could ban individuals at large banks from working again in the industry even if the bank reached a legal settlement with the government over misdeeds. Mr. Tarullo said during a Senate Banking Committee hearing Tuesday the Fed was “conducting investigations” to that effect, but didn’t elaborate.
(I still think she should run for president...) http://si.wsj.net/public/resources/images/BN-DS345_Warren_G_20140716120535.jpg
“You are supposed to refer cases to the Justice Department when you think individuals should be prosecuted,” Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D., Mass.) told Mr. Tarullo and other regulators Tuesday, adding that hundreds of individuals were prosecuted after the savings and loan crisis in the 1980s. “Without criminal prosecutions, the message for every Wall Street banker is loud and clear. If you break the law, you are not going to jail but you might end up with a much bigger paycheck.”
Sen. Richard Shelby (R., Ala.), who could take the gavel of the committee should Republicans re-take the Senate in the November elections, said he agreed with Ms. Warren’s outrage over the lack of jail time for bankers – a noteworthy statement since the two don’t often agree on policy.
Mr. Shelby however laid the blame on the U.S. Justice Department rather than banking regulators who don’t have the power to bring criminal charges against bank executives. No one in the financial sector or elsewhere should be “able to buy their way out from culpability when it’s so strong it defies rationality
– I agree with her on that,” Mr. Shelby said. “Ultimately, it seems like the Justice Department seems bent on money rather than justice and that’s a mistake.”
The Justice Department has reached civil settlements with several big banks related to the sale of flawed mortgage securities ahead of the crisis, including a $13 billion deal with J.P. Morgan Chase JPM +0.68% & Co., a $7 billion settlement with Citigroup Inc.C +1.02% and a record $16.65 billion agreement with Bank of America Corp.BAC +1.07%
A Justice Department representative did not immediately respond to a request for comment.
Mr. Tarullo, who was interrupted several times by Ms. Warren in his response
, said regulators have at times asked firms to fire employees who did wrong and have “shared all the information that the Department of Justice needed.” The pair also had a testy exchange after the hearing, with Ms. Warren waving her arms as she appeared to express displeasure with Mr. Tarullo’s on-the-record answers. *******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
CROOKS... Banker Crooks...this is very educational...
Sunday morning...some crooks you can appreciate if you are a crook...
These 5 crooks are the ones most responsible for the financial corruption presently in motion. These 5 crooks undermined The Glass Steagall Act which protected Americans from Bank exploitation thru derivative fraud. Later in 1999 they got Bill Clinton to sign the repeal of The Glass Steagall Act.
The Elites Responsible For Orchestrating The Destruction Of The Glass Steagall Act Of 1933:
Rothschild Federal Reserve:
This sea change in regulation was orchestrated by Sanford Weill and assisted by Robert Rubin, who became the second in command at Citibank after his stint at The U.S.Treasury.
Rubin, was Clinton’s Secretary of Treasury and was instrumental in getting The Gramm-Leach-Bliley Act passed. Larry Summers, was then his current Secretary Of Treasury who is now one of Obama’s economic “advisors”. What goes around comes around, they are all culpable. Jamie Dimon Puts His Money Where His Mouth Is Too Big To JAIL
"It is no measure of health to be well adjusted to a profoundly sick society." Krishnamerti http://www.roadtoroota.com/public/190.cfm The system is now broken.
Hubruis...excessive pride or self-confidence; arrogance...
"We see what we want to see unless we make a conscious effort to see what is really there." -...anon.
...We live in unusual times of Yo&Yo ...maybe some understanding can be found here...to build from...
The yin and yang principles act on one another,
affect one another and keep one another in place. - Chuang Tzu ...and keep one another in balance. China is still growing, whether at a rate of 7 or 5 percent. To put that in perspective, “China creates a new Italy every 18 months, a new Portugal every quarter, a new Greece every month and a Cyprus every week,” http://www.visualcapitalist.com/china-consumes-mind-boggling-amounts-of-raw-materials-chart/ ... YINN... China Bullx3 yinn ............... Shanghai ....... Hong Kong....... TAO ............... YANG...China Bearx3 yang..... .............................................................. CHOP
Stock Buyers Worship Statue of Bull over Bear in Xiamen
China's $5 Trillion in Toxic Bank Debt Is About to Collapse https://www.thestreet.com/story/13449814/1/china-s-5-trillion-in-toxic-bank-debt-is-about-to-collapse-here-s-how-to-profit.html?puc=yahoo&cm_ven=YAHOO
Jeremy Schwartz, WisdomTree's director of research, told IBD. He advised ETF investors to be aware of how much of their portfolio is in state-owned enterprises. The WisdomTree China ex-State-Owned Enterprises (NASDAQ:CXSE) was recently revamped to screen out businesses partially or fully owned by the government.
Even though the U.S economy is about twice the size of China's, the Asian giant's M2 money stock is 70% greater than the U.S.
Just in Q1 of this year (2013), credit expanded by $1 trillion in China, equivalent to an entire year's Fed quantitative easing. Yet despite excessive money creation, the Chinese Yuan rose 9% against the dollar since 2008, making the Yuan more overvalued.
The birth of a global currency
China's bankerCROOKS...nothing ever changes...crooks can ruin an economy anywhere they want to... ‘Trading in the Zone,’ by Mark Douglas ‘Psychology plays a very important role in trading, and the development of a proper trader’s mindset should not be taken for granted. The unsuccessful trader has firm belief and expectations that are often not met by the market. When the outcome doesn’t match the expectation, the trader feels pain and often views the market in a threatening way. Once this occurs, traders are doomed to fail unless they can recognize what is wrong and develop the proper winning attitude of a successful trader.’ Adopt the following essentials for trading success: • Every moment is unique: The trade either works or it doesn’t • Anything can happen: Develop a resolute, unshakeable belief in uncertainty. The market has no responsibility to give us anything or do anything that would benefit us. • Markets are neutral: The market does not generate happy or painful information, therefore, no threat exists. Our expectations formed from our original beliefs are the sole source of any happiness or pain. • Losses are okay: Losing and being wrong are inevitable realities of trading since anything can happen. Taking small losses is part of a successful trader’s job. • Accept risk: Fully acknowledge the risks inherent in trading and accept complete responsibility for each trade (not the market). When a loss occurs, do not suffer emotional discomfort or fear. Think in probabilities. • Monitor emotions: Learn how to monitor and control the negative effects of euphoria and the potential for self-sabotage. • Abandon search for Holy Grail: Attitude produces better overall results than analysis or technique. ...hmmm...? • Rigid rules, flexible expectations: Adopt rigidity in your trading rules and flexibility in your expectations.’
Please read/study//take to heart the following bullet points on the mental aspect of trading. Once a trader has a system that works, trading becomes 100% mental.
http://seekingalpha.com/article/1552372-distinguishing-alpha-from-noise "Most of the time common stocks are subject to irrational and excessive price fluctuations in both directions as the consequence of the ingrained tendency of most people to speculate or gamble ... to give way to hope, fear and greed." Benjamin Graham
• Note the paradox
• How do we stay disciplined and calm during constant uncertainty?
• Answer: Accept the risk
• Possibility of uncertain outcome must be accepted or conscious or unconscious you will try to avoid it
• Don’t be afraid, it causes you to freeze up and make costly mistakes (ex: sports – golf)
• The market doesn’t hurt you, you do
• Good traders are not afraid
• Good traders flow in and out of trades without emotion
• Ever changed a target or stop order?
• Scared of losing money (i.e. fear)
• …or scared of leaving money on the table (i.e. greed)
• Retail traders have no boss and no rules – too much freedom.
• Trading is on 24/7, hence the danger
• You need to create the rules yourself
• Discipline, discipline, discipline!
• It’s not easy, but worth it in the end
• Stay true to a system or else you will not know what works. Build confidence
• You finally found what you were looking for -Trading offers ultimate freedom, hence the difficulty to insert rules.
• The two biggest mistakes:
1. not predetermining stop-loss levels
2. not cutting losses at those levels
• Those are mental errors, nothing else… certainly not the market’s fault
• No reason to be afraid if you know the probabilities
• The outcome of any single trade is uncertain…
• On any given trade anything can/will happen
•…but the probabilities over time work in your favor
• So…it’s ‘simply’ a matter of sticking to your rules!
• The outcome of one trade has nothing to do with the outcome of the next.
• When you get a signal, fire, don’t shy away and second guess
• Keep emotions at the sporting event
• Do not get angry or overly joyful over trades
• The more you stick to your rules, the more you start trusting yourself and build confidence
•And your rate of success goes through the roof
Robin Griffiths, the renowned technical strategist, once opined that “Trading is a traffic light system. At a traffic light, you wait for it to turn green and then you go. You don’t try to predict when it’ll go green.”
Unfortunately, far too many investors believe that to achieve success in the stock market one must become supreme master of the crystal ball by creating a complex methodology that will predict where the market is headed. In reality, this is the absolute antithesis of what market wizards will tell you. For that reason, I think Robin’s metaphor is spot on.
At a traffic light, you sit patiently with your foot on the brake; when the light turns green, you hit the gas and off you go. It’s straightforward, and the average Joe who drives generally follows this program. You don’t try to predict when the light will change; you simply respond appropriately when it does.
There you have it – my trading methodology in a nutshell. Occasionally, I do remind myself that I’m not in the business of trying to divine the market’s direction. I’m in the business of reacting to it.
I maintain that Wall Street is the world’s most sophisticated disinformation machine ever devised. Ask yourself how often you’ve witnessed the marketing and hype influencing the market so much more than the actual facts and data.
It is exactly for this reason that I trust my charts, believing that their price and volume tell me everything I need to know to separate market noise from profitable trading signals. I watch and I wait for their signals to turn ‘green’, then I take my foot off the brake, step on the gas and just click the ‘buy’ button.
What this amounts to is ‘evidence-based trading for dummies.’ That’s not to suggest there’s no skill involved. Stepping on the gas and clicking the ‘buy’ button still requires a trader to channel his or her unemotional android side. Plus there is all the resourceful stalking, position sizing and stop-setting that should go on before you trade. But my point is this: don’t allow yourself to become confounded and bewildered, thereby freezing at the intersection . Instead, when the light turns green, take your foot off the brake and step on the gas. Trade well; trade with discipline! -- Gatis Roze Where do stock market ‘experts’ learn their trade? The data used in economic forecasting models is based on surveys, estimates, sampling and good old-fashioned guessing. No surprise then that the track record of forecasters is no better than what one would expect from coin flipping and why economic data is often revised months after initial numbers are announced. Given the large number of forecasters, a few will make accurate calls through luck alone, achieving notoriety and keeping the forecasting sham alive. But random chance is a heartless task master. Few will repeat their success and their 15 minutes of fame will soon end. There are no economic theories whose adherents have a better forecasting ability than others. Consensus forecasts are no more likely to be correct than the individual forecasts on which they are based. There are no specialist forecasters who have demonstrated a predictive ability regarding the stock market or a particular economic statistic, such as interest rates or inflation. Seasonality To better understand and appreciate the trading systems seen on this board Gambler's opinion... verses...Technical Assessment Break a bad habit "The truth is that trading, both successful and unsuccessful, is more about psychology than tactics." - Jack Schwager Multicollinearity... Bollinger Bands... CCI... NOISE...RANDOM...CHAOS...ORDER...STRUCTURE ...if you don't know where you are at...how will you know where you're going? Structure= creates Order out of CHAOS Keep Keeping It Simple...Buy low...Sell high...relative to what...? (one day will edit) Patience...Moving averages...CONFLUENCE..
3day moving average study...Grail QUESTion
...it may cure that gambler in you...with understanding ...gambling/fear gets replaced with confidence and patience... http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=78642915 SLV...3 cross 5 moving average Adapting Moving Averages to Market Action Quest of the TREND Definition for TREND...and...Momentum Volume speaks VOLUMES... Momentum volume and momentum Stochastics Accumulation/Distribution and how to use the Candle Glance Charts
Price gaps occur when the range of a price bar does not include the range of the previous bar. It acts as a reliable level of support and resistance for subsequent price action and should always be monitored. Does Momentum Investing Work? Momentum Investing With ETFs !PMOBUYALL...Percentage of PMO Crossover Buy Signals Sentiment Extreme Gold Silver www.vectorgrader.com $VIX... "Black Swan" $SPX:VTIX ratio http://stockcharts.com/public/1842472
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> http://www.informedtrades.com/trades.php?page=freetradingcourses In search of a system...
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> Plan B Economics...The Petrodollar | War Machine
Direxion Daily S&P500 Bear 3X Shares doubleBollinger
LVMUY interesting proxy for S&P Index Gleno's Moving Average and CCI System Ziko's...SPX-- Multi Time-Frame Analysis Hypothesis..."What IF..." and "IF Then..." Hypothesis...Master trading...price and Band outside 50,2BBs... >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> Basic TimeFrame Charts
This first set of charts...the settings have not been changed in over 5 years... http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=$SPX&p=5&b=3&g=0&i=p15343206561&a=153244594&r=260 http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=$SPX&p=10&b=5&g=0&i=p47281977067&a=209189259&r=6446 http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=$SPX&p=10&b=5&g=0&i=p73927284707&a=204070237&r=8484 http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=$SPX&p=15&b=5&g=0&i=p44095237932&a=202389515&r=5316 http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=$SPX&p=30&b=5&g=0&i=p78924320561&a=202389539&r=2291 http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=$SPX&p=60&b=5&g=0&i=p83426028267&a=202389579&r=4984 http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=$SPX&p=60&b=5&g=0&i=p19567325940&a=241456151&r=1009 http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=$SPX&p=D&yr=0&mn=6&dy=0&i=p05637132117&a=202930972&r=2627 http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=$SPX&p=W&b=5&g=0&i=p56314205415&a=204071390&r=458 $TICK...Histogram UCO TimeFrames etal
Technical Indicators http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=78161385 http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=B67apgoEBs4&feature=related http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=B67apgoEBs4&feature=related http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TlMYSD9R7gE&feature=related http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=88n-a3rUmJQ&feature=related
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> I long ago concluded that regression to the mean is the most powerful law in financial physics: Periods of above-average performance are inevitably followed by below-average returns, and bad times inevitably set the stage for surprisingly good performance.
These are ten of Bob Farrell’s most famous observations:
1. “Markets tend to return to the mean over time.” For those of you who’ve taken statistics, you know exactly what this refers to: stocks often move too far in one direction as euphoria or pessimism clouds people’s thinking. Investors lose perspective and start believing the little devil on their shoulders.
2. “Excesses in one direction will lead to an opposite excess in the other direction.” I think of it like bungee jumpers whose cords stretch out and then compress multiple times before they come to rest or achieve equilibrium.
3. “There are no new eras – excesses are never permanent.” As the latest hot sector climbs higher and higher, you inevitably hear variations of the chorus shouting “it’s different this time”. Of course, human nature does not change so it never really turns out to be any different.
4. “Exponential rapidly rising or falling markets usually go further than you think, but they do not correct by going sideways.” The smart money locks in profits which leads to significant selling and inevitably to a correction.
5. “The public buys the most at the top and the least at the bottom.” It’s been this way since humans invented commerce.
6. “Fear and greed are stronger than long-term resolve.” Research in behavioral finance has shown that stock market gains make us exuberant; they enhance well-being and promote optimism which makes investors like to buy. Losses, on the other hand, bring sadness, disgust, fear and regret. Fear increases the sense of risk which thereby makes investors shun stocks.
7. “Markets are strongest when they are broad and weakest when they narrow to a handful of equities.” Think of it as strength in numbers. Broad breadth (i.e. market participation) and big volume is important. When wide ranging momentum channels into a small number of stocks, the top is near.
8. “Bear markets have three stages – sharp down move, reflexive rebound and a drawn-out fundamental downtrend.”
9. “When all the experts and forecasts agree, something else is going to happen.” Farrell suggests that patient buyers who raise cash in frothy markets and reinvest when sentiment is darkest can profit nicely.
10. “Bull markets are more fun than bear markets.” It has been my observation that historically the markets have rewarded optimists to a far larger degree than pessimists. I prefer to play in the bulls’ camp. Mean reversions out of extremes are the most powerful and profitable forces in all the financial markets. Riding one has enormous benefits for your wealth. Financial-market prices and sentiment are like a giant pendulum. The farther they are pulled to one extreme by excessive greed or fear, the farther they necessarily swing to the opposite extreme in the subsequent mean reversion. Like pendulums, these reversions don’t magically stop right in the middle at normal again. Their kinetic momentum carries them through to the opposite ends of their arcs. But overshoot extremes don’t last for long, as the universal greed necessary to fuel them quickly burns itself out.
Trade well; trade with discipline!-- Gatis Roze
86.5% of analyst recommendations are "BUY", they are wrong 50.2% of the time.
John Bollinger estimates that 85% of a security’s daily closing prices will fall within the channel.
Bollinger also devised a computation he refers to as %B, a ratio, to describe where the price rests within the channel. The calculation is the closing price minus the lower band, and this
difference is divided by the difference between the upper band and the lower band.
The popular 20-period SMA, two standard deviation–version of Bollinger bands and %B. The upper limit of the channel is 1, while the lower limit is zero. Thus, a %B of 0.5 rests in the middle of the channel and a %B of 1 or zero rests on the edges of the channel. Bollinger believes the probability of a price trend event increases when %B rests on the edge of the channel.
%B is price within the Bollinger Bands
Bollinger Bands and Fibonacci
Buy low Sell high..."relative" to what?
Price is the best indicator...
On-balance volume is based on the assumption that volume trends lead price trends. Granville and Fosback are insistent that on-balance volume
leads price; further, Fosback states in Stock Market Logic that negative volume “is one of the best bull market prediction indicators in existence.”
EMV...Ease of Movement
Rule based system...
Simple...Simple part 2...
***4th...If you're going to daytrade swing trade...You need to understand the $TRIN
Market Internals http://bigcharts.marketwatch.com/markets/default.asp
NYSE Tick & Breadth: Thinkorswim Chart Setup
The TICK is the number of NYSE stocks registering an uptick vs those registering a downtick.
Yet, according to what we have been stating here for the past two years, this historic and overly accommodative period is nearing its end, and the next bout of rate tightening is coming up in early 2016. Sometimes these aspects can start manifesting events symbolic of their dynamics a little before they actually hit, or during the time they are in strongest force, or even a little afterwards. In this case, we are looking at the Saturn/Neptune waning square, which makes its first exact passage on November 26, 2015, and its last of three passages on September 10, 2016. This single 36-year geocosmic signature has an exceptional correlation to the end of long-term interest rate cycles in the USA, and the start of new long-term trends, as discussed in depth at the recent MMA Investment retreat in Tuscany, Italy by several MMTA graduates.
Moon Cycle... or is it... Moon Psycho...in any case its a unique CYCLE and one day I may have more to say about it...
Stochastics....Master it... http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=82516774 The Last Stochastic Technique
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> Swing Traders Look for Fumbles and Interceptions
CandleSticks... http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1fB3EF7XeXU CandleStick Basics http://www.1option.com/ Options Links on Option Pricing http://www.1option.com/index.php/global/categories/option_trading/how_i_trade_options/ Also try... http://whatstrading.com/ http://www.optionistics.com/ http://www.stockta.com/ http://www.optionpain.com/OptionPain/Option-Pain.php http://www.historicaloptiondata.com/ http://www.nasdaq.com/quotes/short-interest.aspx Implied Volatility Introduction "Why Did My Call Options Decline on Positive Earnings?" http://www.investopedia.com/university/optionvolatility/default.asp#axzz1kxDvtIBY
Bear Put Spreads: A Roaring Alternative To Short Selling
http://whatstrading.com/wts-toolbox/ What is Implied Volatility? >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
In the parallel universe that financial markets inhabit...
Earnings forcast 2014 the price/earnings ratio 02/28/2014 http://www.multpl.com/shiller-pe/
Lynch was a firm believer that investors should only buy stocks when the P/E ratio was below the company’s historical growth rate. This equates to a PEG ratio below 1 and ensures that investors do not overpay for stocks. We should be willing to “pay up” for fast growing companies, but not to absurd levels that will inhibit future returns.
The ways of Wampum...through Indian eyes.
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> The Federal Reserve raised U.S. rates for the first time in a decade last December 2015, and is expected to lift them further this year. Higher rates dent demand for non-interest-paying gold, while supporting the dollar.
CandleGlance: US Treasury Bonds We've seen money flow into perceived safer segments of the ETF market such as long dated Treasuries (TLT), high quality municipal bond funds (MUB) (CMF) and short duration credit (CSJ).
AGG, BIV, BND, BSV, BWX, CFT, CIU, CSJ, ELD, EMB, HYG, IEF, IEI, JNK, LQD,MBB, MINT, MUB, PCY, SHM, SHV, SHY, TFI, TIP, TLT, VCIT, VCSH, WIP
Weekly 10 year AGG...Aggregate Bond Index. The index measures the performance of the total U.S. investment-grade bond market. The index includes investment-grade U.S. Treasury bonds, government-related bonds, corporate bonds, mortgage-backed pass-through securities, commercial mortgage-backed securities and asset-backed securities that are publicly offered for sale in the United States. The fund generally invests approximately 90% of its assets in the bonds represented in the index and in securities that provide substantially similar exposure to securities in the index.
http://finviz.com/chart.ashx?t="AGG&ty=c&ta=1&p=d&s=l"" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">; style="height:340px; width:700px">
...from John Murphy, StockCharts.com
JUNK BOND DIVERGE FROM STOCKS ... Another caution sign is coming from the bond market. Treasury bond prices hit a new 52-week high in a flight to safety, possibly from growing overseas tensions (more on that later). High yield government bonds (junk bonds), however, have had a bad July. The daily bars in Chart 3 show the iBoxx High Yield Corporate Bond iShares (HYG) falling during the first half of the month on rising volume. This week's bounce was turned back at its (blue) 50-day average, which is now acting as a resistance barrier (blue arrow). Junk bonds are the riskiest part of the fixed income space and are the most closely tied to the stock market. That July divergence between high yield bonds and the S&P 500 (black line) is another troubling divergence. That's because the two markets are highly correlated. Chart 4 show the two markets rising together over the last five years. The 50-week Correlation Coefficent (below chart) shows a positive correlation of .96 between the two. During 2011, both experienced large downside corrections. They've risen together since then -- until this month.
HYG... "" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">;" href="http://seekingalpha.com/author/fraud-research-institute
" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">http://seekingalpha.com/author/fraud-research-institute http://www.pennystockresearch.com/tag/pump-and-dump-alerts/ ... http://seekingalpha.com/instablog/5786461-penny-stock-realist/1344451-ltch-is-a-pump-and-dump http://www.ddmachine.com/ Cloud http://www.campdenfb.com/article/copy-investing-3d-printing KNDI On 22 August 2016. Kandi Technologies Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:KNDI) announced that Kandi Electric Vehicles Group Co., Ltd. (the “JV Company,” a 50/50 joint venture between Kandi and Geely Automobile Holdings Ltd.) has unveiled its new pure electric vehicle (“EV”) model named the “Global Hawk K21.” This new all-electric sedan is equipped with automatic braking technology, a voice control system, a infotainment system, remote software update capabilities, and a fully-integrated electrical control system. Packaged with the ternary battery, the vehicle has a top speed of 100+ km/h and a driving range exceeding 150km on a single full charge. The Global Hawk K21 joins the ranks of mid-tier luxury pure electric vehicles offered by the JV Company. An Electric Car Vending Machine Four-Passenger Pure Electric Sedan Vehicle
The Betrayal Of Adam Smith The Corporation An "existential danger" is one that either destroys humanity entirely or prevents any chance of civilization recovering. Walmart Working With FBI Dec 5,2015 ... How Walmart Keeps an Eye on Its Massive Workforce
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> In "Brave New World" non-stop distractions of the most fascinating nature are deliberately used as instruments of policy, for the purpose of preventing people from paying too much attention to the realities of the social and political situation. Aldous Huxley, Brave New World Is this you...?... Murmurations of the Crowd ...thePeople's ISSUE: Demosthenes (384-322 BC) stated that a democratic state perishes if the rule of law is undermined by wealthy and unscrupulous men, and that the citizens acquire power and authority in all state affairs due "to the strength of the laws".
..... Elites are busy at work replacing law with power. US SLIPS TO 12TH IN ECONOMIC FREEDOM
The 4 Horseman
What is Wrong With Our Culture [Alan Watts]
“Our Political process... is badly flawed, because of the dependence of lobbyists, campaign contributions. That is why a lot of people view we need to restructure our political processes to give more voice to the ordinary citizen and less voice to the interest groups, to the money groups, to those who have taken a large roll in shaping our tax code, our regulations and so forth.” The Democrats and the Republicans are beholden to corporate interests and until they become unbeholded to those corporate interests we will never have a well governed Republic." Colonel Lawrence Wilkerson, Former Chief of Staff to Colin Powell FOUR HORSEMEN is free from mainstream media propaganda -- the film doesn't bash bankers, criticise politicians or get involved in conspiracy theories. It ignites the debate about how to usher a new economic paradigm into the world which would dramatically improve the quality of life for billions. ...thePeople's ISSUE: ...the PEOPLE'S ISSUE
Who's in charge here?
No wonder members of Congress scratch their heads when days after passage of spending bills, all sorts of last-minute wasteful insertions are discovered.
The movement was described in a column in Monday's Journal Star written by Kevin Ferris of the Philadelphia Inquirer.
One campaign in the movement calls for members of Congress to sign a pledge not to vote on health care reform until they personally have read the bill and until the final version of the bill has been posted on the Internet for 72 hours.
The congressional habit of approving massive bills inches thick that no elected members had time to read has bothered the editorial board for years. In 1998, the board opined, "The way the 105th Congress handled the $520 billion spending bill was irresponsible, dishonest, mindless and disgusting. The bill itself, which was 16 inches thick and weighed 40 pounds, is a monstrosity, something put together like the Frankenstein monster. We know this is true. Members of Congress themselves said so."
Giving the public a chance to read the legislation also holds potential. As Colin Hanna, of the conservative group Let Freedom Ring put it, "We have the technology to make complex legislation available for public and media inspection. We're not being true to the ideals of democracy if we don't take advantage of that technology."
Other organizations on the "read the bill" bandwagon are the Sunlight Foundation, the federation of U.S. Public Interest Research Groups, the Center for Responsive Politics, Citizens for Responsibility and Ethics in Washington and the National Taxpayers Union, who support legislation that would require all legislation to be posted online 72 hours before they are debated.
Some members of Congress have declined to sign on the grounds they refuse to sign pledges of any kind. Fine. A verbal promise would do just as well for now, followed by a vote in support of putting legislation online. ...the PEOPLE's ISSUE...
CEO pay verses the lowest worker of the company...
"Wage labor is hardly different than slavery." IMBALANCE of CEO pay
Go to 1:15 on video Plato said 6? to one was fair pay...1923 JP Morgan thought 20:1......I'd say 10:1 and that minimun wage laws would not be an issue if CEO and other management pay wasn't so out of balance)
verses the lowest or average worker *** note date here is from 2010... http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2010/jun/03/public-sector-pay-cameron-executive-bonuses
Statement by Ralph Nader on the Walmart Announcement Raising its Minimum Wage February 20, 2015
After meetings with Walmart representatives, public letters to the company’s CEO, and picketing Walmart stores over the past several years (see timeforaraise.org and give1010avote.org), we see that Walmart now decides to be one step ahead of several pursuing state laws that are raising the minimum wage.
Still, Walmart’s increase to $9 an hour in April and to $10 an hour next February is less than what Walmart had to pay its workers in 1968, inflation adjusted. That would be $11 an hour.
Moreover, Walmart workers want more than part time hours to even try to partly make ends meet. Walmart’s announcement does not address this problem for their workers, beyond making part-time scheduling notices more predictable.
At $11,000 an hour plus lavish benefits, Walmart CEOs still have much to do to make it possible for their workers to make ends meet.
Just what is fair pay? Plato said the income of the highest paid in society should never amount to more than five? times that of the lowest paid. ForDavid Cameron, a ratio of 20 times between the highest and lowest paid is the maximum tolerable – in the public sector, at least. The new prime minister has yet to state what the comparable private sector figure should be.
In the corporate world the figures speak for themselves. The pay gap between the boardroom and the shopfloor of Britain's top firms has almost doubled in size over the last decade. The chief executives of the UK's 100 largest companies overall earned 81 times the average pay of fulltime workers in 2009, against a ratio of just 47 nine years earlier. Hardly a Platonic relationship.
It is, of course, in banking that the scale of rewards has become most out of kilter. And it hasn't escaped the public's notice that only a year or so ago Britain's banks were saved from collapse by an unprecedented injection of billions of pounds of taxpayers' money.
My worry is that scepticism about the world of high finance is spilling over into other sectors: the public is questioning the very nature of business and its benefits for the wider community. "Why, the public will ask, should we continue to support a business structure where bosses simply see the aim as enriching themselves, with little regard for the environment or society generally?"
The public is also starting to grasp that the misalignment of bonuses with corporate strategies is threatening businesses's very survival. The cult of shareholder value has fostered a short-term focus which has led to excessive risk-taking and contributed to business collapse. In some industries long-term strategy and long-term sustainability have been relegated to minor roles.
So what should right-minded executives, directors and owners of companies do?
Enron was a clear example – its corporate culture was based on a single performance metric: maximising its share price without regard for employees, customers or other stakeholders. More recently, the failure of Lehman Brothers has been linked to outsized executive pay deals. Analysis by the Harvard Law School found that the top executive team extracted $1bn in cash bonuses and equity sales during 2000-08, suggesting their pay deals encouraged them to take excessive risk.
This leads to the second principle, which is that there must be a close link between the potential rewards and the risks an employee is taking on behalf of the firm. For those who take long-term risks, such as building a mortgage book with a 10-year maturity, it seems sensible that bonus payments should be over a similar time. Bonuses could be paid annually in one-tenth parts, or retained in a fund until retirement, or paid only in shares of the employer.
The third principle is the most important – that there should be a better balance between the rewards given to the owners and the employees of a business. No single employee can deliver success alone. Every hotshot trader or hard-working manager depends on an overall strategy hammered out by their company, access to capital and market intelligence, corporate reputation and back-office support.
According to the New York authorities, Wall Street banks will pay $20bn in bonuses and retain $55bn in profits this year. Does this really reflect the contribution those individuals have made? This is a question that a company's remuneration committee, which has all the facts about the business at its fingertips, should be able to answer.
There is hope. Some bank executives have waived their bonuses. Moreover, investors are attempting to clamp down. Five company reports on pay were voted down by investors last year.
Not all bonus payments are bad. The fact that 70,000 partners in the John Lewis Partnership will share in a £151m bonus pool is seen as a fair and proportionate reward. But if the public can see no link between a bonus and performance, they are entitled to object.
Excessive bonuses are a market failure and it ought to be possible to solve them through market pressure. But owners must show they are prepared to take action. Any crackdown on public sector bonuses should send a clear message to the private sector: address excessive pay or it will be addressed for you.
Plato was right – there is an implicit agreement in society that the rich cannot simply exploit their power to unreasonably enrich themselves.
MEDIAN CEO PAY CROSSES $10 MILLION IN 2013
Last year was the fourth straight that CEO compensation rose following a decline during the Great Recession. The median CEO pay package climbed more than 50 percent over that stretch. A chief executive now makes about 257 times the average worker's salary, up sharply from 181 times in 2009.
...Change is the essence of life. It's extremely difficult to break free, but it's entirely possible. In order to initiate change, one must change their thinking. In order to change thinking one must acquire gnosis or new information. These type of lectures provide eternal truths for ears that can hear. Are you listening with entertained ego
- or with the heart of seeking truth.... Dont hurt the PLANET. Or there will be hell to pay. Dancing With The Breakaway Civilation
...if she wants to run for president I would support the campaign. Are we going to keep killing and stealing form other people or are we going to find a way to grow-up. Map Reality or kiss up to the tapeworm
“We are not human beings on a spiritual journey. We are spiritual beings on a human journey.
” Stephen R. Covey
RON Paul penned the book End the Fed in 2009, and is now the chairman for the Campaign for Liberty. The organization's website says its mission is to promote and defend liberty. As part of that mission, the non-profit organization opposes the Fed "for economic and moral reasons." It says the U.S. "central bank's ability to create money out of thin air transfers wealth from the most vulnerable to those with political pull," and that the Fed had "reduced the value of the dollar by 95 percent since it began in 1913." In an interview with Bloomberg Businessweek, Senator Rand Paul ( R-KY), who is Ron Paul's son, said his preferred choice for the next chairman of the Federal Reserve would be either Friedrich Hayek or Milton Friedman, both of whom are dead. To keep America in the race, the Federal Reserve will print another $1.14 trillion in new money in 2013 through its so-called quantitative-easing activities, Martenson notes. "This is an unprecedented experiment, which might end well, or it might end badly." He believes the odds of an unforeseen shock to our fragile, debt-laden systems are a lot higher over time than the odds of the Fed's plan actually succeeding in spawning significant growth. Meantime, the Fed's money-printing schemes continue to widen the gap between America's rich and poor, ensuring more economic instability, he said. "The recent explosive widening in the gap between the uber-wealthy and everyone else is largely a matter of simple Fed policy, not a failure of tax code," http://www.peakprosperity.com/
Keiser Report: Bankers and miracles
Keiser Report: Fanatical Central Banking
The end results of "deregulation is crony capitalism...Dr. Paul Craig Roberts http://kingworldnews.com/kingworldnews/Broadcast/Entries/2013/3/16_Dr._Paul_Craig_Roberts.html
"We're gonna keep growing......Okay? And, obviously, I'll say it: 'If you're growing, you're not in recession, right?'. I mean, we all know that!" - Henry "Hank" Paulson, fmr US Secretary of the Treasury and Goldman Sachs Stooge http://dollarcollapse.com/
"When you try to push problems into future, you increase the severity of problem," Jeff Gundlach, CEO DoubleLine Total ReturnBond (DBLTX) said, noting that is exactly what the Fed is doing with quantitative easing.
April 4, 2013 Bank of Japan came in with a massive new quantitative easing program akin to $75B+ a month. That is almost as big as the Federal Reserve's $85B but considering that the Japanese economy is a third the size of the U.S. it is massive in a relative sense.
This announcement crushed the yen, and drove the Nikkei up.The few Japanese stocks on U.S. exchanges also rolled higher as we continue to live in a world of currency wars and central banks intervening in supposedly free markets. "It is no measure of health to be well adjusted to a profoundly sick society." Krishnamerti
Source: TARP Report, August 26, 2013 http://seekingalpha.com/article/1670612-what-is-the-most-dangerous-global-institution-and-banks-to-avoid-revisited?source=feed
Why Banks Are Fighting Against Any Limits On What They Can Do
Senior bank officials want to make a lot of money, and they can't justify their pay-checks if they can't take big risks. Taking risks are a win-win proposition for bank executives. If they guess right, they make a lot of money and justify their salaries. If they guess wrong, governments bail them out. Have any of the big bank presidents lost their jobs as a result of the banking collapse in 2008? No.
After the recent Morgan loss referenced above, Senator Merkley suggested to JP Morgan President Dimon: "If you want to be the head of a hedge fund, be a hedge fund…. Terminate your access to the Fed's discount window, terminate your access to deposits, and then we have no quarrel." Fine with me.
Bank gambling with depositors' money cannot be effectively managed. The Basel Accords are a joke. What to do? Don't allow depository institutions to gamble. How? As I have been arguing since 2009, limit government deposit insurance to banks that hold the loans they make to maturity and do not trade on their own account. Does this sound like the 1933 Glass-Steagall Act? It does. The authors of that bill were right: trading is too dangerous for depository institutions.
Jim Rogers predicted it could be 2015 before the Fed begins to reduce its huge monetary stimulus, but there will be no avoiding the harm to an inflated stock market when the tapering finally begins.
"These are not very smart people," he said of U.S. central bankers such as outgoing Fed chair Ben Bernanke and Yellen. "They are government bureaucrats and they think like government bureaucrats."
VULTURES and Bootleggers
Bankers are..."Just doing God's work"
07/14/2016...Helicopter Ben is in Japan telling them how its done...
Bernanke ringleader of the counterfeiters and is known on the street as 'Helicopter Ben'.
Known accomplices, Hank 'The Hammer' Paulson, Timothy 'Turbo' Geithner, Jack 'Citiboy' Lew, Jamie 'The Cufflink' Dimon, and Lloyd 'The Squid' Blankfein.
By Andre Damon 18 April 2015
Ben S. Bernanke, the former Federal Reserve chairman who funneled trillions of dollars in government funds to Wall Street, has been hired by Chicago-based hedge fund Citadel LLC, where he will presumably make millions of dollars.
Bernanke’s new job constitutes little more than a kickback for services rendered to Wall Street and the financial elite more generally. As a result of policies he implemented during his eight years as Fed chairman, the profits of Wall Street banks and hedge funds, including that of his new employer, have soared to record highs.
If the United States were a genuine democracy, the announcement of Bernanke’s new job would prompt vituperative public denunciations by senators and congressmen; hearings would be held, documents would be subpoenaed, and federal bribery charges would be drawn up against him.
Yet, since the story broke Thursday, the silence has been deafening. Not a single public official has prominently commented on the development, and major newspapers responded to the news with, at most, a shrug of the shoulders.
While Bernanke’s pay package has not been publicly disclosed, commentators noted that it is likely to be at least seven figures. In the fourteen months since he left office, Bernanke has raked in hundreds of thousands of dollars in speaking fees, charging $200,000 per appearance, more than he made in a year at his job at the Federal Reserve.https://www.wsws.org/en/articles/2015/04/18/bern-a18.html As a cartel...aka...CROOKS...aka...Bankers Currency Wars= "Ben Bernanke is more dangerous to the U.S. than al-Qaida." Currency Wars and Economic Battles Crisis Put the CROOKS in jail Crooks...a few names of the more crooked crooks
"Dollar depreciation leads to higher inflation and ultimately forces foreign creditors to question their rationale and indeed their sanity for continuing purchases of U.S. Treasuries." -Bill Gross
The right course of action is for the Congress to take back it's authority to print money from the Fed and start issuing interest-free currency. Without all that interest to pay, both the debt and the budget become more manageable. As it is, we can't possibly pay back all the federal debt because there isn't enough currency to pay both the principle and the interest.
Is there anyone out there suggesting a credible way to get back to some form of sound monetary policy in today's reality? One thing's for certain: it won't be the Federal Reserve. So what alternative ideas are out there?
In economist Edward C. Harwood's day (1900-1980), his suggestion would have been three-pronged:
First, reinstate the gold standard. Second, return the responsibility for credit creation to the commercial banks, basing it only on goods and services coming to market. Third, legislate the strict separation of commercial and savings banking from investment banking, a la Glass-Steagall. (For more about Harwood and his ideas, click here to access my newly published biographical sketch.)
But we seem far from these options today.
What about a market-evolved solution, like Bitcoins? In the abstract, it seems possible that the market would evolve towards some kind of sounder monetary system than what we have now if it were left to its own devices. But in reality, the political likelihood of our getting there is next to nil. Whether or not it's a viable alternative, Bitcoin producers and users are currently under attack from the government.
One of the reasons for this is that, now that the government has seized control of money creation through the Fed, even well organized citizens will find it hard to wrench that power from its hands to return it to the private sector. Very few governments in history, if any, have given up the right to control money without a fight to the de