Novell, Inc. (NOVL)

[lightbeam]

Interesting.

DJ Novell Shares Jump, Surpass Hedge Fund's Offer Price


By Kerry Grace Benn
Of DOW JONES NEWSWIRES

NEW YORK (Dow Jones)--Shares of software company Novell Corp. (NOVL) surged Wednesday, topping an offer price announced late Tuesday from hedge fund Elliott Associates LP and sparking speculation another software company or hedge fund could step in with a higher bid.
Elliott, which disclosed it already holds an 8.5% stake in Novell, offered to buy the rest of the company for about $1.8 billion, or $5.75 a share. Shares were recently up 26% at $5.97 on heavy volume. The stock is up 43% so far this year.
The hedge fund, which began actively acquiring shares Jan. 5, said in a letter to Novell's board that it believes the stock has "meaningfully underperformed all relevant indices and peers" as the company attempted to diversify away from its original business with a string of acquisitions and changes in focus "that have largely been unsuccessful."
Novell has said it will review the offer.
Like many of its peers, Novell - which works with open source and proprietary software - is trying to control costs as revenue has fallen. The company has been trying to boost the presence of its Linux-based operating system, Moblin, in low-end netbooks, which have become very popular.
But analysts seems skeptical that Elliott's offer will get the job done.
Benchmark Capital analyst Brent Williams wrote in a note to clients, "We think this particular deal won't close. ...We think taking the company private to sell off the parts won't create much value for Elliott, and we think the fund doesn't have enough experience to operate such a complex business itself."
If a deal does get done, Williams said, it probably won't look much like Elliott's initial offer, since most of Novell's problems are structural, not management-related, so replacing current management wouldn't be likely to change the company's trajectory quickly.
"We believe that investors should be set for a long battle, which we ultimately believe will end up at best at a stalemate with Elliott taking one or more board seats and remaining in a holding pattern," Williams said.
Cross Research analyst Richard Williams said the stock has turned from sleepy into a riveting soap opera. In a nutshell, he said, if Oracle Corp. (ORCL) succeeds with its acquisition of Sun Microsystems Inc. (JAVA), which should be determined in a few months, other big tech companies are going to have to react because they'll need to come up with ways to integrate hardware and software like Oracle has been doing.
Elliott is either lucky or smart to make a bid now before Oracle is successful, because if it is, Novell could be worth $8 to $10 a share, he said. "Now it turns into a soap opera because Novell management has to find a way to stall until word comes out from Oracle" - which of course will be trying to keep things quiet so it can gain more market share, he said.
ISI Group's Abhey Lamba said it looks like management will negotiate with Elliott to get a higher price or there will be a bid from another entity, though he said it would more likely be a private equity firm than another large company.
The Linux business could be relevant to other companies in light of the Oracle-Sun tieup, but it would be tough for a strategic buyer to make use of all four of Novell's different businesses, Lamba said.
Broadpoint Amtech's Bradley Whitt said it's time for someone to acquire Novell, though he's not sure how its Linux business, which would be attractive to big tech companies, would be valued, since a big driver of the business has been its relationship with Microsoft Corp. (MSFT), which has been slowing sharply.
Whitt said he wouldn't be surprised to see Novell not take the first offer out there. The Elliott offer might create a sense of urgency for a bigger software company that might be interested in some of Novell's assets.
Last week, Novell reported its fiscal first-quarter profit surged 89% on higher margins and fewer charges, though its revenue declined 5.8%.

-By Kerry Grace Benn, Dow Jones Newswires; 212-416-2353; [e-mail]
(Kathy Shwiff contributed to this article.)

Click here to go to Dow Jones NewsPlus, a web front page of today's most important business and market news, analysis and commentary: http://www.djnewsplus.com/access/al?rnd=ZFvZhHdDeMBVOMFOL6XyoQ%3D%3D. You can use this link on the day this article is published and the following day.


(END) Dow Jones Newswires
March 03, 2010 09:59 ET (14:59 GMT)
Copyright (c) 2010 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.- - 09 59 AM EST 03-03-10

[lightbeam]

Whats up here?????

[jscot]

Last Price (USD) $ 3.83
Change -0.28 (-6.81%)
Bid 3.80
Ask 4.00
Volume 4,669,534
Day's Range 3.82 - 4.074

[jscot]

Last Price (USD) $ 4.11
Change -0.24 (-5.52%)
Bid 2.55
Ask 5.02
Volume 6,488,493
Day's Range 3.97 - 4.28

[jscot]

Novell today announced a set of IT software products designed to manage and enforce policies governing the way users access corporate data. The Novell(R) Access Governance Suite delivers visibility, simplicity and accuracy to the complex process of defining and managing user access. As a result, organizations can automate their certification process and make business managers accountable for meeting their compliance requirements

http://ih.advfn.com/p.php?pid=nmona&cb=1224819615&article=28838540&symbol=N%5ENOVL

[jscot]

Large Independent Bank Secures its IT Infrastructure with Novell
WALTHAM, Mass.—16 Oct 2008—

[jscot]

Last Price (USD) $ 4.77
Change -0.08 (-1.65%)
Bid 3.88
Ask 7.84
Volume 4,176,311
Day's Range 4.53 - 5.04

[lady sofia]

took a position this morning....selling soon!

[StreetInvestor101]

I would have expected a lot more activity on this board as well as the stock price of NOVL after announcing the deal with Microsoft. This stock should have ran much higher when they announced the deal. I can't figure out why the market didn't welcome this news with any enthusiasm.
Is there anything negative about this company that investor's might not know about???

[ditch72]

Microsoft to pay Novell under Linux pact
SEATTLE (Reuters) - Software maker Novell Corp. (Nasdaq:NOVL - news) said on Tuesday Microsoft Corp. (Nasdaq:MSFT - news) will make two separate up-front payments totaling $348 million to the company under an agreement to allow Novell's open-source Linux software to work with Windows.

Microsoft will pay Novell $240 million up front in subscription fees to allow the world's largest software maker to use its Linux software. Microsoft will pay an additional $108 million up-front for use of patents, Novell said in a filing with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.

Last week, Microsoft and Novell entered a broad set of business and technological agreements to make their products work together better to serve corporate customers using both Linux and Windows computer servers.

Linux is the most popular variant of open-source software. Unlike proprietary software, open-source software lets developers share code and add functions, and users only pay for custom features, maintenance and technical support.

Microsoft agreed not to sign a similar agreement with any other Linux distributor for three years. Microsoft's pact with Novell dealt a blow to other Linux distributors such as market leader Red Hat Inc. (Nasdaq:RHAT - news), according to analysts.

Under the pact, which will run until at least 2012, Novell will also pay Microsoft at least $40 million over five years for use of Microsoft's patents based on a percentage of its revenue from open-source products.

Microsoft also agreed to spend $12 million a year to market scenarios where users can virtually run Linux on Windows machines and vice versa. Microsoft will also spend $34 million over the life of the agreement to put in place a sales force devoted to the combined offering, Novell said

[seaflies]

test

[mattbarrett]

Please read this to be informed!

From a prior article:

Perhaps most surprising is Microsoft's commitment to distribute 70,000 coupons for SUSE Linux Enterprise 10 subscriptions to its customers that want to use Linux in Windows environments. As part of the deal, Microsoft and Novell also pledged to align their sales and marketing engines to promote use of Windows and SUSE Linux together.

More research! -Lets compare Red hat and Novell- Red hat is Novell’s competitor, and has been doing a little better in recent months, but what does the Partnership with Microsoft mean?

Let’s look at the Earnings reports and Fundamentals please.

Red Hat-
Stock price -16.67
Annual Sales- 335 million
P/E- 43.80

Novell-
Stock Price -6.66
Annual Sales- 1.043 Billion
P/E- Around 40.

What did the partnership do-?
The Partnership gave Novell a step up on Red Hat, which means increased future growth, which means more Annuals Sales and we should have a higher P/E.

So what does the fundamentals say- WE ARE HEADING HIGHER

[mattbarrett]

This just blew up, could see 9.00 soon! great news partnering with Microsoft.

[gogetrtx]

I'm here... I watch wireless stocks, like most recently I read about ErFw: subsidiary receives $1million contract for secure wireless network from Louisiana bank. What about you?

[3GDollars]

Anyone here?

What's the take on today revenue.

Below the expected number, which is bad. But on the positive side, the Linux traction is good, the increase deferred revenue is good, and the slowing of Netware revenue decline (my take, mainly due to OES) is also good too.

One more quarter for revenue improvement, maybe?

[yarxxx]

Buy rating by Bank of America Securities will help with I believe an $8.00 target.

[fatty129]

thanx im in for the long haul on this just added today right near the lows @ 6$ a share . good luck to you also holding leaps for 2006 7.5 calls and also a few for jan 2007 7.5 calls.when the mainstreem gets ahold of this stock i dont see any reason why this wont go back to at least twelve bucks .talk to you soon .

sincerely noah.

[evans6161]

look at the chart. triple bottom at 6. great entry point. suse better and selling better by every metric. enjoy the ride. be patient. don't sell too early. 14 no problem.

[fatty129]

why is nobody talking about novl they are going to be huge one day . insiders have been buying recently and i expect this stock to go back to at least 9$ from current 6$ range.good luck to all novl'ers hehe.

[evans6161]

suse to dominate. buy novl here.

[dangit]

Novell Acquires SUSE LINUX

With the open source expertise of SUSE LINUX and Novell's award-winning networking solutions and services, Novell can now deliver enterprise-class service and support for Linux from the server to the desktop. The combination of SUSE LINUX and Novell will deliver not only complete enterprise Linux software solutions, but also worldwide channels and industry-leading partnerships. The combined company will help promote a thriving, global open source ecosystem that creates innovation and choice for developers, users and organizations alike.

http://www.novell.com/news/press/archive/2003/11/pr03069.html

[bbgold]

Hi Dangit
Sorry if I stepped on someone's toes. Just thought I would put in my two cents worth.
Good Luck Dangit! :^)

[dangit]

bbgold, Yes you're the first...After I created the new Novell board I offered first post rights to someone else but ya beat him to it, so congrats. I see you've been around awhile on IHub. Don't be a stranger!

dangit

[bbgold]

Here is a similar stock
I remember back in 1987 Novell and 3Com were contemplating a merger. Looks as though the stocks might be following each other here?

[bbgold]

Hi Dangit
Hey, I get to post the first message? Novell does indeed seem to finally be getting some interest. Quite a surprising move recently.
Good Luck with it! :^)